Yes, AUD/USD seems to have respected the Resistance zone on the Daily and could be turning around, peeped above the Monthly Pivot and stalled around 1.0719, so could be looking at some downside now, but there are recent highs above the current level so I would still have mixed emotions about it.
I find that the sort of range-bound approach out of horzontal Resistance that you suggested for the AUD/USD setup does work better, for me at least, when that range is taken from the Daily chart. A good example of this is the middle of February this year - I had 5% trades Short on CAD/CHF, GBP/CHF and USD/CHF around that time, applying exactly what you spotted on this occasion for AUD/USD but on the Daily chart. It really doesn’t take many setups like that to make a good return - I was on around 15% for February just on those three trades. Once one has the confidence to know that setups like that will come along, it is easier to sit tight and resist taking any setup that seems to have any counter-argument.
Recent trades I have taken - I shorted EUR/CAD out of the strong Resistance level at around 1.4340, I was Long on AUD/NZD from the Support at around 1.2815, and I was Short a couple of days ago on SGD/USD, out of some Support become Resistance that high-tested out of the Monthly Pivot. I had Fib support for each of those trades, and now have good pips locked in, have closed SGD/USD for around 1.5% profit I think.
I generally don’t like tipping specific setups ahead of time - I am strongly in favour of doing one’s own research, not as a selfish thing, but rather as it is important for my psychology to find my own setups and know why I am in a given trade and, importantly, that I could replicate that same trade later. But what am I looking at now? If USD/CHF retraces up to around the 0.8555 level then I would look at shorting it, there are quite a few factors coming together, there. Am being cautious, though, as Price might want to retrace higher to continue the downward channel/intersect with a more powerful ema, perhaps the 50, which is has previously respected. CAD/CHF is currently retracing, will look for a similar setup there. 0.8920 is looking like Support become Resistance, Monthly Pivot, Fib, 50ema all coming together within a downtrend, so I am eying a Short there once the current retracement plays out. CHF/JPY has also been trending nicely, recently, so has given some nice intraday opportunities.
So that is a couple that I am looking at. I find that cross pairs work very well on the Daily, they give good, concerted moves when they do go. I like intraday trades on the Majors, as the moves are quite concerted and one can find ‘clean’ spaces between the big news announcements.
I am not surprised that you are finding something of a slump at the moment - the market is in a bit of a state of flux, the Eurozone is very uncertain, many currency pairs have hit all-time/recent year highs or lows, and that always introduces a bit of uncertainty to the market. I am finding intraday setups harder to come by - EUR/USD and Cable have both been a bit of an unpredictable mess, recently, compared with easier times, and that obviously communicates to much of the rest of the market. USD/JPY has not been giving much compared with recent months, either - imho it was nice and clean to trade prior to the March earthquake, but has still not quite decided what it is doing since. I am not saying that there are no good opportunities on the Majors, there absolutely are, I have made some decent intraday pips on the EUR Hourly chart recently, but the picture is not as clear as it could be.
Anyway, apologies, I am both rambling on and beginning to sound like a Forex preacher, when noone knows the answer, really, we just grab the successes where we can and try to limit the losses.
I hope that you have found some of the above of interest, at least, and don’t find it condescending at all, that is absolutely not my intention.
As you will know, slumps happen, it will just be a blip. The market always gives setups, they are just sometimes rarer than others. I think that we are in a bit of a thing period currently. For me, the picture also gets clearer through the month - I make better pips in the second half than the first, as a rule.
Anyway, apologies for the extreme length of this post!