Hello rb619.
Thanks for sharing.
I personally found your honesty to announce that you are still learning refreshing when most posters on a public forum would rather pretend to be someone they are not. In return, perhaps I could shed some further light on your path if you are positively open to feedbacks.
All traders go through the phase of moving averages or some type of trend confirmation coupled with an oscillator. ADX is an oscillator. Traders place MAs, trend confirmation indicators, oscillators on their charts because it shows them what they wish to see, “i could have entered there, exited here, profited here, small loss here, large win here, another win there”.
And all this adds excitement for the new trader because the mind chooses what they wish to see and at any traders learning stage, mind usually choose only to see the $$$$.
Such phase can last a long time for some. Some finally snap out of it, some never do. They continuously move from one set of indicator/method/system to the next not realizing all their effort is misaligned.
Your described method is a very stressful road to take. But you might say, “as long as I make the BIG dollars I can take stress!” Once again you are only seeing the $$$$$$$. Please don’t get me wrong, trading is not easy and there are times I feel strained but the stress I am referring to is different and it is caused by the structure of your method.
Once you start demo trading your method (I recommend that you jump into a live account with a very small amount, $500) you will notice things that you will be thoroughly surprised with your method. You are surprised because you found that you have overlooked so many things which is now starting to show in live trading.
I can bet that one of them will be the range of the moves that you ‘think’ you saw on the backtest. A long string of red/blue candles that you believe to happen frequently actually happens infrequently but on top of that it only works out to be 30-50 pips. And you have spent hours/days and few losses already just to arrive at that point only to find that ‘good’ move doesnt even cover half of your losses let alone your efforts.
Chances are you will blow your $500 but consider that as a cost for a great lesson.
Hopefully you do not go back to the drawing board and pull out new set of indicators in preparation for your 2nd live account.
If you do go pass this ‘phase’ (and I hope you do) that I keep referring to, you will notice that trading is all about entering the market and surviving long enough till the big money (banks, funds) move the price to your favored direction. Your exit should be some type of long term trailing or even time based exits because there is a direct correlation between length of time position held vs potential profit levels.
I have been trading for quiet some time. I was shown the ropes years ago and was thoroughly surprised to find that it was so much simpler than I first imagined. Remember profitable trading existed before computers was invented, ever wonder how those traders (e.g Jessie Livermore) managed to profit? Their method is still profitable and have stood against the test of time. Don’t get creative but look for tried and true methods.
Lex