Is Facebook really worth over $100bn?

If Facebook is really worth $100bn, and if my small business were growing at the same pace as FB did, I would now be a billionaire!


Personally I hate facebook. I hope something comes out and does facebook better than facebook can. No adds period is what I’m talking about.

I’m an affiliate and Facebook is one of my favorite traffic sources so I know a bit about them. The info they have collected on all their users is very valuable. No other traffic source has this kind of info on its users in such a large scale. It has been rumored for a while that Facebook will be launching an “adsense killer”. Basically FB style ads using the users info on sites that choose to use their ads. If and when they come out with this feature they will be worth a lot because this is how google makes the bulk of their income. Currently Facebook has a ton of mobile inventory which is not monetized which will add a lot of revenue whenever they develop it.

From what I read yesterday in an article, if facebook is able to appeal to more mobile users and make more off of adds, then they will have a steady income for the next several years. Also on CNBC they said that India is going to be the largest player in terms of amount of users within the next few years. Even though I don’t like facebook, if I had extra money I would buy FB stock.

Facebook is looking for ways other than the standard mobile ad spots to monetize their inventory. They like being different when it comes to ads but they need something fast. India traffic is dirt cheap though. Even though they probably have 10-30x the traffic, their clicks are .01-.08c in volume. The major countries average .20 - .70c per click depending on how well the ad is doing.

its worth 100 billion of monopoly money …wait and see all the suckers that lose every penny they own buying into facebook.

No it’s not worth $100bn, it’s worth a few million, I think they earned just over £3bn last year, so at that rate would give them a p.e. ratio of over 33, so they are basing the value on the current exponential rise in earnings, but the trouoble with exponential earnings growth is that at some point it will plateau, so as a sound investment at the valuation, I dont think so, current valuations should be no more than $25bn maximum, and they have no track record of income growth.

Nice find. But if they can use mobile ads to make a source of income, the more users the higher the chance more clicks will be achieved. So in a sense, long term it’s going to constentally grow because newer generations are getting to the age that they would be using the site as well. No facts to base my statement, so take that into consideration.

Mobile traffic is way cheaper than website traffic. Harder for advertisers to convert with and less screen space. Also mobile as a whole is in its infancy still. In the last year or so it has been blowing up with more and more ad platforms. It is true that with growing generations fb it will be worth more. Younger traffic is cheaper while 40+ traffic gets more expensive.

Facebook really has to make sure it can keep users on the platform. A new leader can emerge and take all the users if they aren’t careful just like how Myspace fell.

all these social networking sites have a used by date. People just lose interest in them. in 5 years facebook will be where friendster is now and something else will be captivating everyones attention.

Absolutely although facebook has gotten huge and some wonder if another network could reach their height. The major update that will make FB worth a lot is going to be the offsite ads. They recently updated their privacy policy that inserted the ability to use the users profile info while on other sites. I can’t wait for this feature!

All it takes is new technology. Thats how you gather attention from the public

Well, Facebook is a C type investment, it means it only goes up until a competitor arrives. Instead an A type is crisis proof, something that alway will be there no matter what happen such as coke or any branded beer. B investments type are much like A types but can dissapear if something new is invented just like happened to kodak.

Facebook can be a good earning income for short term investers, not for value investers. Every change in the website like it happens all the time can cause tremors in the stock prices. I think this is Suckerberg act of showing off than a real financial decisition. What is facebooK? How does it make money? Is something you really need? Don’t forget it was founded in a swindle, one of the partners was lied about the earlier participation and lately changes in the website does not show any respect for users privacy.

Regards.

I wouldn’t invest, the software is flaky, half the privacy settings dont work properly, the whole concept is Ok, but there are some serious flaws in the system, I’m amazed no has picked up on this, it wouldn’t be hard for a competitor to come in and take a big slice of that market, it’s got open doors all over, it wouldn’t take much for a company to develop an app that could swallow parts of it up!

They have how many members? it’s all how they evolve from here… if they do nothing and stay the same…of course… new technology, etc, will come and take over. look at myspace, etc. any company which doesnt evolve will eventually become history.

Is it worth 100bln? Definitely has an opportunity to be worth much more…

Remember Google? Same talk… it was just a search engine back in the day… look at how they are doing now and how they evolved… $600+ dollar stock at 18 p/e? not too shabby.

But FB has one thing that many others do not… it’s the most trafficked site in the world.

FB populations are already declining in high-value countries like the US.

Why Facebook Is Losing U.S. Users

My hunch is that a user-pay social network will rise to compete with FB. FB will become the “GeoCities” of social networks i.e. you’re too scumbag poor to pay for membership on a proper social network. I’d be happy to pay a $10/month subscription for a social network that actively policed and protected its users. FB has become a hive of antisocial activity (racist, sexist groups etc) and I took down my account in disgust. FB doesn’t even bother to answer media enquiries. It’s a fly-by-night operation founded by a suspected swindler.

Like all technology on the web, there will be new services pop up. Some of the biggest Retail businesses are counting on Facebook and other social networks for customers. I don’t use Facebook myself, I don’t like privacy issues, but if it is gonna make some doe in stock go for it. Might be worth the investment in the short hall.

twitter will be around longggggggg after FB folds, I use neither, and myself wouldnt invest, I see the House of cards starting to shake right now anyways…

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Look at today for instance, 1/2 hour delay in opening? are you serious?

BUT, they did gain 16$Billion today, but they also got sued for $15 Billion today, huh, Just to much headscratching scenarios running amuke over there.

And to be honest, I dont like the " Owner", just something about him,

But hey, each there own…

IPO, LOL, what just happened? What the -------------------------------, Really, are you serious?

You are comparing oranges with chickens. Google is not a Nasdaq nor NYSE company and offers serious services. For example email and not talking about gmail i am talking something just like microsoft exchange, i used to work in a company that uses google services for mailing. Google also gives you the opportunity to make a little cash for publicity. In case you wanna make money with fb you have to buy stocks trough a broker and opening a stock account is really hard, is not like forex.

Can you tell a real useful service that facebook provides?

Online Stalking