Hm. Iâm not going to respond with a speculative answer, a response regarding expectation, or about the fallacy of information that is pervasive in the financial community. Iâm just going to respond with a list of examples of a few people who have made more than 10% in a year:
Warren Buffett - over $50 billion from the markets - average ROI approx. 20% per year for 50+ years
George Soros - multi billion dollar profit - average ROI approx 22% per year for 35+ years
The following is a list of people interviewed in the market wizards books, and some of their accomplishments:
Randy McKay - ran $2000 up to $70,000 in his first 7 months trading, and then went on to build a personal fortune of
approx. 15 million in 14 years, and in 20 years, only had 2 very small losing years. at the time of the interview, his personal
net worth was approx. 100 million + in 1992.
Bill Eckerhardt - using mechanical systems, averaged a 60% return from 1978 - 1992âŚthe year of the interview.
Monroe Trout - averaged a 67% return from 1984 - 1992, never having more than an 8% drawdown at any time EVER, and
only had a couple losing monthsâŚnever a losing quarter or year.
Al Weiss - from his trading in 1982 - 1991, a 9 year period⌠a $1,000 investment would have been worth over $50,000
Stanley Drukenmiller - averaged a 30%+ return for over a decade trading multibillion dollar accounts
Gil Blake - who using a fund timing strategy and statistically determined outcomes has acheived over a decade of
making 20%+ ROI per year⌠and has a 95%+ chance to do that EVERY year⌠statistically speaking
Marty Schwartz - for the 7 years prior to the interview, averaged a 25% ROI MONTHLY⌠this is 1,400% per year,
for 7 straight years trading primarily stock index futures and options.
Ed Seykota - who has a highly mechanical approach acheived a 250,000% ROI over a 16 year period. THatâs rightâŚ
itâs not a typo. two hundered and fifty thousand percent ROI in 16 years.
Richard Dennis - who started trading in chicago with a $400 grubstake, and in less than 20 years, ran it up to over
one hundered million dollars.
Gary Bendtfield - who starting from home, with nothing more than a telephone, a newspaper, and a dream, took $1,000,
and over 25 years, grew to be the single largest Bond trader in the world - trading positions measured in thousands
of contracts. FYI - his âaverageâ risk amount per trade is 1 point. A one point move on a single contract is worth $1000. Gary Bendtfield trades positions measured in the thousands of contracts. Gary Bendtfieldâs average risk per trade is approx. $100,000 now. His average target is anywhere from 2 points or more.
Tom Baldwin - who in 1982 took $25,000, started trading t-bondâs, and made over $1,000,000 his FIRST year. after 6 years of trading, a very conservative estimate would put his net worth at over $30 million.
Now, traders I know not in market wizards or in the public eye in any way, yet who do better than 10% per year -
over a dozen home based retail tradersâŚhalf of which regularly gross 100% ROIâs per year. I will not mention real names
or even screen names because I do not know if they would want this publically known, but many are participants on this very website.
Myself - who, after approx. 6 months of trading full time, had a return in excess of 120% my best month.
Iâve also started a little âproject accountâ with $1,000 in the last week of october, 2011. After 3 months (2 of which were not traded due to the holidays) I am up approx. 10%, with an average risk per trade of 0.3%. Had I risked 1% on each trade, my account would be up over 30% in 3 months. You can see this progess here:
http://forums.babypips.com/newbie-island/41466-how-start-100-turn-into-1-million-100-trading-days.html
There are others who have public track records verified by an independent 3rd party company, myfxbook.com
some of note are here:
PAMM asta_uni_02 System | Myfxbook - over 100% ROI in 4 months
Ian Bezek System | Myfxbook - over 100% ROI since august 2011
Asset management System | Myfxbook - over 500% ROI since 2009
Also, I recently have started a to keep a more formal âpublic recordâ of my trading. I trade this public account exactly
as I trade my own personal, primary forex account. you can see the progess here:
XSquaredTrading System | Myfxbook - over 10% ROI in 7 days of trading
And as for my own trading⌠I average well over 10% ROI per month, and have for approx. 2 years. In 2011, I
had no losing months, and didnât ever risk more than 2% of my trading capital on any trade.
I went âfull timeâ with an account of less then $10,000. At the time, this was my entire net worth. Since that time, Iâve
had outside investment of no more than $50,000. My net worth is now into the low 6 figures, Iâve returned a good portion of that outside investment back, and I take monthly withdrawals of my profits and put it in a bank account. If I had kept all the capital in my trading account, my net worth would likely be much greater than it is now. But what can I sayâŚiâm just an ultra-conservative money-in-the-bank kinda guy.
I could easily quadruple the length of this list⌠but I think the point has likly been made.
Whatever youâve heard about 10% a year being a very good⌠in the world of professional, independent trading, or even in the world of top hedge fund management⌠that number is completely and utterly false.
80% of mutual funds donât achieve greater than a 10% ROI. over 85% of home based independent traders lose money.
Well⌠so what.
80% of Snails in the world cannot move faster than 10 M.P.H. but 100% of cheetas can.
There are millions, probably billions, of snails in the world.
there are less than 13,000 cheetahs in the world.
So, you wonât find many cheetahs in the world. youâll find lots of snails. just because someone (or even a lot of someones, including famous TV someones, animal show someones, and your pet store owner someone) told you that a snail that moves at 10 MPH is considered one of the fastest animals in the world, would just mean that these someones actually didnât know anything worth listening to when it came to animal speeds⌠because frankly, a cheetahâŚalbeit much more rare than a snail⌠does exist, numbers in the thousands, and is faster than anything on land.
So. the moral? Choose not to be a snail. Just choose to be a cheetah. And when the world says it isnât possibleâŚ
just know they they are absolutly, positively, 100% unequivically wrong. period.
I mean⌠I said cheetah⌠not unicorn. Just because you havenât seen one on your morning stroll doesnât mean it
doesnât exist.
Jay