I have traded with and without a news calendar open many times now. And I have been left wondering what all the acronyms mean (PMI, YoY, MoM, etc.). Of course I have been able to research them on my own and decipher what they mean but what I would really like is a book that details the forex economic news calendar and explain how each piece of data effects the markets.
Does anyone have any suggestions? I’m looking for a comprehensive read.
Hey, I totally get where you’re coming from - the acrynoyms can be really overwhelming in the beginning. I would suggest reading “Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Indicators and Their Impact on the Market” by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton. It talks about the indicators you mentioned and how they move in the market.
You can also check out “Day Trading and Swing Trading the Currency Market” by Kathy Lien. It’s not specifically about the economic indicators but it does talk about the data points and their affect on the currencies.
Good suggestions by @ChelseaR . But, you may also check investing.comEconomic Calendar and may check the upcoming events on a daily or weekly basis as shown in the screenshot and link attached.
Let’s say today Two US events are to be released at 18.30. So you can click any event and get brief info about the event as well as what its Actual value will impact if it is announced below or above the forecasted value. The screenshot and link are mentioned below.
Hey Sufshiken, great idea - I was cruising write ups like these earlier on in my journey. They are definitely helpful.
It seems you may be on to something new for me though as they specifically mention how to interpret the news with the “expected reading”. Care to elaborate more on your experience?
I think you need to know only 5-6 indicators or releases which impact markets to the extent that it is noticeable and present market opportunities due to increased volatility. Such reports are NFP, inflation reports, PMI data, GDP, initial unemployment claims (US data), JOLTS open vacancies data (US Data). The rest are central bank speeches.
PMI: Purchasing Managers’ Index (it monitors monthly economic activity changes in the manufacturing sector of the economy).
YoY: abbreviation for “year-on-year” or “year-over-year” (in other words “annual change”).
MoM: abbreviation for “month-on-month” or “month-over-month” (“monthly change”).
There are loads, and I strongly recommend avoiding all of them, because ploughing through any of them would be a dreadfully bad use of your time.
A very concise summary like this one is all you need, on an ongoing basis -
There are two major points, here, worthy of your attention:
“Fundamentals” are one of the areas where independents (retail traders) can never possibly compete with the institutionals (banks, etc.) who are employing teams of economists and analysts. Use your time honing your skills in the areas where you can compete with them (leverage, agility, some price-action TA, etc.)
Although it’s absolutely essential, as an independent, to be aware of and to avoid scheduled news which may affect your currency trades, appreciate that fundamentals are for the most part already pretty well reflected in technicals by the time charts reach us.
Any macroeconomic book will explain how changes in some key macroeconomic parameters impact decisions of central banks to change monetary policy. The rest is estimation how well are markets prepared to consensus reading or deviation from from forecasts which basically drives price changes. Understanding of the latter is all about experience and constant monitoring of preliminary data which helps market to understand what to expect.