hi xxxx peeps,
so the US has a new head of the central bank and she has recently said somthing like 'i will coninue to gradually reduce the amount of assets the fed will purchase each month, ie wind down QE.
i would like to know what are peoples ideas about how, if at all, you think this will influence the USD over the mid term (for the duration that the tapering takes) and the reasons why you think this will happen?
im no econamist, but i am gonna have a stab at it. ok;
so tapering suggests that the US econamy is recovering - strong econamy = strong currency
there will be less USD’s flowing in to the US financial system, and therefore world FX markets. ie a reduction in supplly / ‘selling’ should = a strenghtening currency.
so i would guess to see the USD broardly strenghten.
how wide of the mark am i?
i feel bad about keeping on asking questions, like baby pips and its contributors are some kind of service.
so thanks to all thoses deseminating their hard won knowledge / ideas.