USD/JPY: long positions preferred
Since the beginning of Asian session today the USD/JPY pair fell.
The pair was pressured by poor data on the Chinese manufacturing sector that showed further cooling of the Chinese economy. In addition, pressure on the pair comes amid investors’ expectations of further monetary policy easing in the eurozone because the Yen serves as the safe-haven currency during market instability.
At the same time the pair is supported by expectations of an interest rates hike in the US in December and further monetary policy easing in Japan as it was mentioned before by Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda.
Support and resistance
On the daily chart, the pair is moving along an ascending channel with the upper border near the level of 124.50, while the last 4 weeks it has been trading in a range between the levels of 123.70 (23.6% Fibonacci correction) and 122.50 (38.2% correction).
The pair is prevented from further fall by strong support levels at 122.50, 122.25 (ЕМА144), 122.00 (ЕМА200 on the 4-hour chart), while a breakout of the level of 123.70 would send the pair to 125.00, 125.65 (year highs).
On the 4-hour, daily and weekly charts, OsMA and Stochastic recommend long positions.
Support levels: 122.50, 122.25, 122.00, 121.50.
Resistance levels: 123.50, 123.70, 124.00, 124.50.
Pending buy orders can be placed at the levels of 122.50, 122.25, 122.00 with targets at 123.00, 123.50, 123.70, 124.00, 124.50 and stop-loss at 121.70; and at 123.30 with targets at 123.50, 123.70, 124.00, 124.50 and stop-loss at 122.80.
Pending sell orders can be placed at the level of 121.40 with targets at 121.10, 120.70 and stop-loss at 121.70.