Some have noted they arenāt getting enough entries off CBLās on just the 1H and 4H charts, so I will touch on that a moment. Another method I like is breaking of a retracement trend line. Itās simple and reliable. All it requires is that you identify what the long term trend is in a pair and watch for retracements against that trend. A retracement that runs a half day to several days is perfect for this type of entry. I rarely trade retracements but I will draw in their trend lines just to remind myself they are there. After having traded these for so long I donāt need to draw in the trend line as I can just visualize it by looking at the chart, but the trend line reminds me itās there and to watch it. When the retracement ends, as the vast majority will, and the trend line is broken and price is returning to the direction of the long term trend, a perfect entry on a peak point is generated. Often on some time frame a cbl will be generated at the same time. Getting a strong retracement trend line break and a cbl at the same time is like finding free money. I usually can easily find a third good reason to enter the trade, like fundamental information or an s/r line that the price bounced off in the first place to break the retracement trend. If there is an s/r line that price just bounced off of, I can place the stop just on the other side of the s/r line for a tight stop and enter for maybe a 20 to 30 pip stop and often make 100 or more pips on the trade. It takes a bit of practice, but itās simple really and itās good direct price action confirmation of an entry point.
There are many other good entry methods and when trading is slow you can try them out in demo. DO NOT try new entry methods in your good account as you will mess up your good account with them. It takes months to practice a new entry method before you go live with it. Even then it is suspect until it has proved itself with W/L and R/R ratio analysis and produces MAEās and MFEās as good as your other methods. Each methodās results need to be broken out separately and carefully analyzed to determine which are performing the best.
Now Iāll go into the hardest entry method I know, joining in on a trend in progress. This is very difficult for me and for anyone I know that has tried it, but with LOTS of demo practice and LOTS of patience it can be done. I only know how to do this when the trend in progress is on a longer term chart, like the 4H, daily or above. Iāve tried it on the shorter term charts like the 1H and below, but itās just not been reliable, for me at least. Donāt try this live. Practice it 100ās of times in demo before trying to take it live.
The point is what looks like a steady trend on a longer chart, like a 4H or daily chart, can look like up, down, sideways or ranging price action on a shorter TF chart, like 1H, 30M or 15M. The goal is to enter say a strong 4H, daily or weekly trend in progress by making the entry on a shorter TF.
Say the 4H is strongly trending up. If you wait long enough you might get a valid up CBL on the 1H chart, but you might have to wait a very long time, and you might never get one at all. You can drop down to a 30M chart and you might get one twice as fast, or you might not ever get one in a strongly trending market.
Of course, a 1H CBL would be perfect to enter in the direction of a strong 4H trend. I spoke to one trader who used this method exclusively with wonderful success not losing a single trade this week (I could use a nice Rolex, not sure what Tymen wants, maybe audio equipment? ;)). But often you just wonāt see a good 1H cbl in the direction of a strong 4H trend for a very long time unless you just happen to get lucky, so Iāll look down. For instance, Iāll look at the previous 24 hours or so of price action on the 30M chart. If there hasnāt been a valid CBL, I figure I might have to wait longer and Iāll move down to the 15M chart. If I see CBLās occurring there every few hours or so, that will be my target entry chart. Usually about two time frames below the strong trend are all I can reliably handle. Occasionally I can make a 5M entry work for a 4H chart, but itās a lot of work and unreliable. So letās say Iāve decided to try to enter this 4H trend in progress two full timeframes below, on the 15M chart.
First of all, I donāt want to enter if the time frame above me, the 1H, is going the wrong way. If it is, I have to wait until it turns, in which case sometimes I will get a good entry on the 1H chart on the turn anyway. But if not, and Iām intent on getting in on this 4H trend, Iāll make sure the 1H is trending in the direction I want to go and wait for a 15M CBL or retracement trend line break in the direction I want to go. When I get both a valid CBL plus a retracement trend line break, itās almost always good if traded right. Iāll time my entry by looking at the lower timeframes as previously explained and enter the 15M trade.
Now what Iām hoping for is this peak good entry point on the 15M chart will also correspond to a peak good entry point on the 1H chart and that will also correspond to a peak good entry point on the 4H chart. But I know from having tried this about 2,000 times that this peak good entry point on the 15M chart will only correspond to a peak good entry point on the 1H chart about 1 in 5 tries, and a peak good entry point on the 1H chart will only correspond to a good entry point on the 4H chart about one in 5 times. So the chances that this entry point on the 15M chart will provide a good entry on the 4H chart is only about 1 in 25. Does that mean that all is lost and we should give up? NO! We are traders, we never give up.
Due to the fractal nature of price action, what works on the 1H and 4H time frames also works on the 15M time frame. Itās just that on the 15M time frame, profits are 1/4 of what they are on the 1H time frame per trade and spread takes about 4 times a bigger bite out of the profit margin. But thatās OK here since we didnāt want to trade the 15M timeframe anyway; we just wanted to get a very reliable and cheap entry into the 4H trend already in progress. Anyway we donāt have any choice, we are in a 15M time frame trade and we have to trade it to squeeze out every pip of profit possible. Essentially, at this point we forget the 4H or 1H time frame even exists. We are trading the 15M time frame to minimize risk and maximize profit and all the rules apply. We donāt change the rules of our winning system just because we have a dream of joining a 4H trend in progress. We trade it as though we wanted to trade the 15M TF all along. Of course, everything that makes our system win on longer time frames must be adjusted for the shorter 15M time frame. Thatās another reason to trade this entry for a few months in demo. Everything is different on the shorter TF, MAEās, MFEās, stop loss, take profit points, etc. It takes a lot of demo trading to get the reliability in a 15M trade that you get in another longer timeframe if you have always traded longer TFās. It can be done though and some people do quite well at it and really prefer it.
Now if we employ the exact same rules as we would use trading a higher time frame with adjustments to the numerical values, due to the fractal nature of price action, we should get the exact same W/L ratio and Risk Reward ratio, ignoring spread as we know it will take a slightly larger bite out of profit. But it turns out that difference is smaller than you would at first think and we can discuss why some other time. So we can do this 25 or more times if need be and make good pips while doing it. It will probably take me more like 50 entry tries because of all the early exits I make. But thatās OK, I have a plan and Iām making pips trading my plan. I could get lucky and get what I want in just a few tries. That just happens sometimes.
Eventually, say after about 10 good entries or so and having made good pips on the 15M TF, I will find myself in a trade that provides a good 1H entry point. Essentially, the good entry on the 15M chart also turns out to be a good entry on the 1H chart. The 15M trade will run far enough that I can kick in the 30+ pip take profit rule on the 1H chart. That is the point I usually leave my entry process behind and switch on my take profit process, as described earlier.
How cool is that? So I jump up a time frame to the 1H chart, switch on my 30+ pip take profit rule and trade it just as if I was smart enough to pick this odd but good 1H entry point in the first place. I trade it with all the rules and values I would normally use in a 1H chart trade that has gone +30 pips in my favor, and I should get the same results as I normally would in a 1H chart trade. Iāll pocket at least 15 pips and probably more and be a happy trader at the end of the trade, as I usually am.
However, odds do not favor this good 1H trade becoming a good 4H entry trade in just one try. Odds are, my good 1H trading rules will take me out of the trade before I can call it a good 4H TF entry with +90 pips or so. Remember that once Iām in the 1H trade, I forget the 4H exists. The 4H wonāt help me win a 1H trade once Iām in it and I always trade to win. So odds are Iāll be expelled on the 1H trade by my 1H trading rules before I can ever call this particular entry a good 4H entry as well. Thatās OK in that whatever happened in the 1H trade, over the long haul Iāll make 4 times the profit (with 4 times the duration) as in the 15M trades, but with less spread bite. And since the true risk, the MAE, of the 15M trade that I entered with is much less than that of entering a 1H trade directly, my risk to reward ratio is great for this type of entry.
The only problem is, now Iāve been expelled from the 1H trade by my 1H trading rules, with profit of course, and Iām probably not at a point for a good entry back into another 1H trade in the direction of the 4H trend, that is, no cbl or retracement trend line break. So I have to go back down to the 15M and start all over again. After another 10 or so tries and 5 or so good entries making small pips on the 15M chart, Iāll find myself at another good entry on the 1H chart with +30 pips ahead, so I move back up and trade the 1H chart again.
I keep doing this over and over until at some point the 1H trade goes +90 pips or so, the point where my usual take profit rules kick in on a 4H trade, and I move up and trade the 4H just as if I had entered it at just a perfect entry point in the first place. That is, if the 4H trend hasnāt ended by then.
Of course, at any point where all my trading rules are satisfied for a 1H entry, like three good reasons to enter with one being direct price action confirmation of the entry, I can skip the 15M chart and go directly to the 1H chart.
Well, thatās the way itās done. Itās a long tedious difficult process that may only yield a few pips off 15M chart trading all day, or can rarely yield hundreds of pips reward for about 12 to 15 pips risk. OK, if you read all this, you deserve to know the really cool thing. The really cool thing, the positively fantastic thing, is the same process allows you to trade the 1H chart as you normally would and rarely, about once every month or two, get a really good and really cheap entry into a strong daily trend that will run for months and yield 1000ās of pips. It may take weeks or a couple months of 1H trading to get that cheap entry, but hey, what else are you going to do, just jump in the daily and lose 300 pips on a hunch? Not my style. Iām cheap, really cheap. As always, let me know if you have any questions or corrections