My trading journal, based around VSA, Harmonics and Price Action

So this is my first thread here at babypips, it is going to be about me making the transition from demo to live trading

Now a little about myself:
I’m based in London and am 28 years old, I have been trading forex on and off for roughly 18 months. i started around January 2012 and made the stupid mistake of opening a live account after about 2 weeks of demo trading and blowing that account in about 2 weeks!! It wasn’t massive but the loss made me give up on fx before i had even really got started. I didn’t even look at a chart for about 9 months, then i decided that i would give it another go and before even opening another demo i went through babypips school properly.

About my approach to the market:
I have now been trading on demo since February of this year and had a terrible first couple of months. After a brief stint, as I’m sure all newbies have, with about a thousand indicators on my charts i found a PA thread here and really liked the simplicity of the strategy. I still believe if you have very little time pure price action on the higher timeframes is the way to go as its simple to grasp and when executed properly can be a very good, high probability system with little drawdown. However, personally i like to trade more often then PA, based just on support and resistance and candle stick formations, allows so i started looking at other threads. I happened to come across one on Harmonics and one on VSA trading, the thing i liked about both of these systems is that they still relate to price action. things like support and resistance, trend lines, Fibonacci and candlesticks without the need for a lot of indicators (I use volume for VSA but thats it). I also personally believe that you limit yourself by only sticking to one strict strategy. That approach doesn’t allow you to be flexible and adaptive to market conditions.

My progress so far:
By no means am i saying i have mastered any of these strategies, I’m still learning about all of them and will continue to enhance my understanding of them at any opportunity. i would say that i have the basics of each system but beyond that i will let you guys be the judge. I am still in the process of writing my trading plan and will not go live until this is completed. I’m not sure how traditional the plan is as i have multiple entry and exit rules, I am however very strict about capital preservation, risk management and money management. I never exceed 3% risk per trade (and the full 3% only when i believe the trade to be very high probability with multiple confluences) or 12% total risk to my account split over open positions. As it stands writing this my most recent demo account (i have had to close several due to the broker only allowing them to be open for 1 month) was opened with IBFX 2 weeks ago and my overall gain in that period is 13.96%, my previous pepperstone account that was active for 1 month was up 23% at the time it finished. The account before that was also profitable so if my IBFX account is profitable at the end of the month i will have been consistently profitable for 3 months.

What this thread is about:
As the title states i am going to post as many of my trades, both prior, during and after they happen as my time constraints allow, I would also really like it if others got involved and posted their analysis and ideas and also commented on mine. No offence will be taken to any criticism of my methods, I still consider myself a newbie with much to learn and hope this thread will make me more disciplined and controlled in my trading and allow the sharing of ideas with traders of a similar mindset to my own.

I wish everyone who joins this thread good luck and safe trading

The first chart i am going to post is gold




the top chart is H4 the bottom is H1
as you can see from the top chart there is a significant resistance level around 1300.00 that was tested several times before it broke. this level also line up perfectly with the 61.8 retrace of the most recent bullish move, and the trendline of the move. there is also higher volume around the recent lows and lower volume around the recent highs showing us that there is more buying then selling going on. with all this in mind i will be looking for long entries around the 1300 handle. if price gets down to this level i will switch to lower tf’s to pinpoint an entry and get the best RR possible

I’m short on cable @ 1.5378, don’t have time to post the chart until later but there was a lovely pinbar rejecting the 1.5400 level on H4 plus a lot of volume around the high on M5 indicating a lot of selling pressure, my SL is placed at 1.5420 and initial target is 1.5250, when 1:1 RR is reached I will move my stop to break even and start picking off profit along the way

[QUOTE=“Wookie1985;513398”]I’m short on cable @ 1.5378, don’t have time to post the chart until later but there was a lovely pinbar rejecting the 1.5400 level on H4 plus a lot of volume around the high on M5 indicating a lot of selling pressure, my SL is placed at 1.5420 and initial target is 1.5250, when 1:1 RR is reached I will move my stop to break even and start picking off profit along the way[/QUOTE]

As has been the way with me pretty often I’m not being patient enough with my entries! I’m still in the trade and it looks like it might be forming a double top so could still work but we will see, also am starting to look for long entries on usdjpy, again I’m not at home so I can’t post charts

So I’m closing my cable short around break even, it’s halfway through Friday trading and things tend to die off around now, also I haven’t found a good usdjpy setup, I will continue to be dollar bullish next week as I think the recent rallies against are all nearing completion, only time will tell though

its the start of a new week and I’m just starting my pre market analysis
the first chart i will post this week EURJPY
im looking for longs around 128.00





the top chart is daily, second is H4 and third is H1
as you can see from the higher tf’s there is a harmonic pattern (cypher) setting up with its D point around 128.00, the D on this pattern is the 0.786 retrace of AC
this D has multiple fib confluences with other moves, namely it has confluence with the 0.382 retrace of the move from 119-133.80 on daily (the confluence is roughly 18 pips), it also has near perfect confluence with the 0.618 retrace of the move from 125-132.70 on H4
there is also confluence with an important sr level from daily at 128.00
VSA wise we can see on H1 that there is more volume coming in at the lows showing that there is hidden buying happening
the cons of this are that technically price seems to be consolidating in a range and the buy point is near the middle of the range so i will want to see some strong VSA/PA signals to go long around here
again i will switch to lower tf’s if price reaches this level to pin point an entry for best possible RR