I know - I said I’d leave DailyFX alone, and I will. Right after this. I feel a need to post about this because its message to us is so profound.
Currently Mr Kruger are in 4 trades, 3 of which have no stop losses.
[I]GBPAUD long from 1.6650, position size 5X equity - no SL
EURCHF long from 1.4275, position size 5X equity - SL at 1.4225
EURAUD long from 1.5175, position size 5X equity - no SL
EURCAD long from 1.4375, position size 5X equity - no SL[/I]
Now, EUR made a bit of a comeback during Friday, but I’m interested in seeing how bad a drawdown he had at the worst. I’ve calculated it and here it is:
EURAUD -19% (roughly -570 pips at its worst)
EURCAD -28% (roughly -780 pips at its worst)
EURCHF negligible
GBPAUD 13.5% (roughly -370 pips at its worst)
With an account that’s already down 10% since its start at New year, that means what?
Well, if the trades had been closed at their worst, [B]the account loss would now have been 70.5%!!![/B] That’s pretty stunning don’t you think?
DailyFX run a quasi trade recommendation service that, at one point last week, had an account worth 29.5% of the starting balance, if adding unrealized losses and realized losses together. :eek:
Now that’s what I call good sound trading! :rolleyes:
What sort of a person in his/her right mind would endure a 780 pip drawdown? Well, the answer is apparently Joel Kruger… I feel for any unfortunate soul who’s been following him. I bet he’s not risking his own money on this… only thing at risk here for him would be his job. And seeing how the trades are still deep in it, he and his job aren’t out of it yet…
Now, I’m currently in drawdown myself, but the difference is that I know exactly how much I may lose. And even if I do lose the current two trades, I’ll still be positive for the year so far. I sort of wonder what would happen if EUR just keeps dropping, when will Mr Kruger accept defeat and close for huge losses? My guess is he won’t, he’s in the realm of all or nothing now. A place a trader [B]NEVER [/B]wants to be in. That realm is reserved for gamblers.
Al right, this about that. Now I really promise I won’t be nagging more about this.