Nifty 50 Index Bullish Sequence to the All Time Highs

The Nifty 50 Index has a bullish sequence from the lows to the all time highs. The index currently shows nine swings up from the all time lows into the 2018 highs. It is now correcting the cycle higher from the February 2016 lows. This is noted on the chart with the red 8 label. In this article there is not an Elliott Wave count on the chart as it’s the natural swing count the price and momentum indicators suggest. Notice from the all time lows to the 2008 highs appears to be 3 swings as noted with the red 3 on the chart. Next, the dip into the 2008 lows was strong enough to suggest it was then correcting the whole cycle from the beginning. That was the 4th swing.


From the point of the 2008 lows there are a couple of preferred ways to put Elliott Wave labels on the move. I will focus toward the possibility of there having been a leading diagonal wave one with the 2008 lows being a wave two. If so, then it already saw a wave three that subdivided in three swings into the 2015 highs. That is marked with the red 7 and is similar to the wave one.

Continued below chart.

Nifty 50 Index Swing Sequence

The dip into the 2016 lows was strong enough to suggest it was correcting the cycle from the 2008 lows. This affirms the idea wave four is at the 2016 lows marked with the red 8. The bounce from there into the 2018 highs of course is the swing marked with the red 9. At this point of the 9th swing high, another option is possible as far as an Elliott Wave count. This 2018 high can be the larger wave three high of the cycle that started in 2008. The other is it only half of the fifth wave which would still need another swing higher.

In conclusion, there are several other correlated instruments and world indices with bullish sequences. All of these are only correcting the cycle up from the 2016 lows. It is all one market and his index should be no different. The longer term bullish up trend has temporarily stalled. After this correction of the cycle up from the 2016 lows it should see another move higher.

Nifty Elliott Wave View Showing Perfect 5 Waves Advance

NIFTY is trading in the powerful super cycle degree wave ((III) and should have further upside in the next few years. The rally started at 2009 low and we believe the cycle will continue until 2020-2022. The minimum target of the cycle is $11507, but it can extend even higher to 12634 area, which is where 1.618 Fibonacci extension within the Grand Super cycle degree will be reached.

We do not see any reason to sell yet, and in contrary, the Index gave us a good long opportunity earlier this year. The Index should continue to make a new all time high, and the right side still remains to buy in 3-7-11 waves back. The following chart shows our view and the video also explains The One Market Concept and how The Index should still trade higher within wave (III).

NIFTY long term Elliott Wave Analysis

From the chart above, we can see the rally from all-time low is unfolding as an Impulse Elliott Wave Structure. The Index is currently within Super Cycle degree wave (III). The rally to 11171.55 on January 2018 high ended Primary Degree wave ((3)) of V, and the pullback to 9958.55 on March 2018 low ended Primary Degree wave ((4)) of V. While pullback stays above $9958.55, expect the Index to extend higher to $11507-12634 to end Cycle Degree wave V of (III). Then the Index should pullback in Super Cycle degree wave (IV) to correct cycle from 2009 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the Index.