Paxforex: Secrets of Market Wizards

Weekly Trading Forecasts (March 11 - 15, 2013)

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
There has been a recent potential reversal on this pair. The bullish reversal is noteworthy, but not significant enough to override the major bearish outlook. It is better to wait for further confirmation before new positions are opened (at least for a few more trading days). Whether the current scenario is a transitory rally in the context of a downtrend or it is the beginning of a new trend remains to be seen.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
Despite the current pullback in the market, the long-term bullish bias on the USDCHF still holds. Since the beginning of February 2013, this pair has moved upwards by more than 300 pips – a slow but steady progress indeed! Right now, the pullback in the market is not expected to go below the support level at 0.9400 or at worst, it should be halted by the immediate support level at 0.9350, after that. It is expected that this pair goes in a continuous bullish journey.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
The Cable continues its weakness – a scenario that is expected to hold out longer than this. There is still a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, as indicators support a bearish bias. Any rally in this market is simply an opportunity to sell short and sell dearer. The trend is never over until it is actually over, so it is possible for the price to reach the next accumulation zone at 1.4900 in the long run.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
This is a bull market, and it has risen by around 170 pips recently. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart; the price is still expected to continue going upwards. There could be some temporary bearish corrections pulling the price backwards to the market levels at 94.50 and 94.00 respectively. But eventually, the buying pressure should push the price towards the supply levels of 95.50 and 96.00.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
This cross traded in some tight range recently, before the price broke the market zone of 122.00 to the upside. Shortly after this, the price shot northwards by more than 250 pips on Thursday (March 7, 2013). Now, the new bullish signal has been confirmed. This seems to just be the beginning, and while transient bearish corrections could occur along the way, the price may trend upwards and reach the supply zones of 125.00 and 126.00.

Conclusion: The major bias would invariably exert a strong influence on the possibility of profitability of your speculative methodology. We cannot afford to use a method suitable for an equilibrium market when following a great trend; which means that a trading method suitable for equilibrium markets ought to be used in equilibrium markets. Nevertheless, should the price show any sign of great momentum, it should be followed.

This article is concluded with the quote below:

“Your goal should be optimal profits, not emotional comfort.” - Ziad Masri

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

“Children are very precious. Parents are also very caring. Do you know these?”

Most parents want the best for their children, and they strive to achieve their aims, even in the face of stubborn obstacles and difficulties. A serious religious parent teaches her/his children about their faith when they’re still very young. In fact, a famous proverb says: “Train a child in the way he should go, and when he is old he will not turn from it.” When an average child is asked, what do you want to be in life? The common answer is: “I want to be an engineer or a doctor or banker or a pilot or a lawyer or a footballer,” etc. No-one will say, “I want to be an online trader.” Why? It’s because this is the mindset that is impressed into them by their folks, since they themselves are yet to grasp the potential of online trading. Those who know about it think it’s too risky, without knowing the principles that can lead to everlasting victory in the markets.

Forex trading is one of the best vehicles that can be used to shield yourself from the persistent pecuniary uncertainties, widespread unemployment and sudden dismissals from jobs, which are so rampant nowadays. Many were having high aims when young, but now they’ve been disillusioned. The idea of going to school, studying hard to get good grades, and then getting a good job, no longer works always. Why are there very few genius traders? It’s because many people aren’t exposed to the world of trading until they’re very much older. If teens are exposed to trading on demos, as they practice risk-free on the virtual accounts that are subject to the real market data and conditions, their trading genius would be awakened. Wouldn’t you want your child to be a trading genius before the age of 22? Would it be possible for anyone to be a genius in other fields of human endeavors if they’re not yet a genius by the age of 22?

Teens should be taught the art of trading, but they should be restricted to demo accounts only, until they reach the legal age in which they can make independent financial decisions on their own. Yes, teens shouldn’t open live accounts until they come of age. However, they can play with demo accounts (as if playing Nintendo games) until their skills are improved. In this regard, demo accounts are a unique tool in teaching your children. If a child will become great in life, observant parents will notice some traces of greatness in the child while he or she is still young. Your children would learn, by experience that uncomplicated methods of speculation ought to be used. If you really love trading and know that it can bring financial freedom (as it’s done for countless known and unknown people), why can’t you teach your children (especially your teens) how to trade? You can show them how to do this when they’re on holidays or long vacations, and encourage them to do further research on their own and practice their own ideas.

It’s a pity that there are still many people who procrastinate. They don’t know that what can be started today shouldn’t be postponed till tomorrow. Some say: I’m not yet settled down. Once I’m settled down, I’ll start learning Forex.” Others say: “There are some things I’m doing right now. Once I finish those things, I’ll start learning trading.” The fact is that, there’ll always be things you’re doing. So if you don’t start learning, there’ll always be alibis. The earlier one starts the journey to financial freedom, the better. The earlier you start learning about the markets, the earlier you attain the level of trading mastery. My regret is that I didn’t start Forex trading earlier. If I’d started it far earlier, I’d have gone very far in attaining my trading goals and ambitions. But, thankfully, I’m now in the race.

As for me, I’m going to teach my son on demos, while he minds his formal education, I’ll also teach him how to spend less than one hour per week on the markets, and yet be a profitable trader. I want him to be become a market wizard, becoming financially independent in future, unless he chooses otherwise (since I’m not going to force my opinions on him).

Jeff Cooper, when he was still young, learned the art of trading from his father, and he later became a legend of the Wall Street. He had love for trading that kept him searching until he discovered the secret of permanent success. Mike Baghdady learned from his father, and has now become a blessing to the trading world. Peter Soodt learned from his father, and he’s now a celebrated and profitable trader/coach. Joe Ross was taught by his uncle when he was as young as age 14, and he’s now one of the most experienced and the most eclectic traders in the world. He trades for a living and has insatiable passion for teaching how the markets work. Philipp Schroeder and Valentine Rossiwall are both young and highly profitable traders. Philipp and Valentine have other goals in mind, yet they take trading serious. Oh, how bright and beautiful the future of these young men would be! Anton Kreil started trading while in his late teens and he retired from the investment banking industry at the age of 28. He now trades his own money and enjoys financial freedom, and he’s still in his early 30s. Kenneth L. Fisher learned about trading from Philip Fisher, his father (who was a great investor) before he founded his own investment firm. He’s on the 2011 Forbes 400 list of richest Americans. He was worth $1.7 billion in the year 2012. As of 2010, his company manages $41.3 billion in 38,521 customer accounts and has been called the largest wealth manager in the United States.

With time, your kids would be forced to be disciplined – in the face of negativity and uncertainties they face on demos. This really calls for rock-solid discipline, meaning that one needs to stick to one’s time-tested trading plans. Negativity shouldn’t be termed as stupidity, for that notion can’t help their trading mindset. If they follow their trusted trading rules and they make profits on demo, they’d be happy. It’s joyous to see your efforts bringing great results and that your goals are being achieved.

Conclusion:
The world needs traders – profitable traders. Would your kid be one of them? Successful traders came from many areas and different walks of life. They have individual personalities, various strong points and weaknesses. As your kids have a feel for the markets, they’ll forever remember their mistakes and a number of beautiful trades – a great experience that’ll pave the way for trading mastery. They’ll quickly metamorphose into mature traders. Sharing trading facts with others bring us more satisfaction than keeping the secrets to ourselves.

This article is ended with a quote from Louise Bedford:

“You see, studies have shown that those who believe that they can alter their behavior and their habits to create a different outcome are happier people. They persist for longer. They score better on tests… Those who think they can’t change, and that intelligence is fixed tend to quit at the first sign of trouble and don’t stick around long enough to master a skill.”

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

Excellent post. That guy knows what he is talking about!!!

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
Though the primary trend on this pair is bearish, the trend is in a serious jeopardy. There is currently a conspicuous rally on this pair: oscillators have given a bullish signal but momentum indicators like long-term MAs are yet to confirm that. Trading an unconfirmed bias is not recommended at this stage. Should this rally continue further for a few more days, it would see the end of the current bearish outlook. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for further confirmation before opening a new order.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
In the opposite manner, the outlook on this market is nearly similar to that of the EURUSD. There has been a significant bearish pull on the pair; the oscillators support this, including the price action. It is more likely that this bearish pull would continue, but it is wiser to wait for further confirmation of the supposedly new trend before taking any action. As soon as this is confirmed, the primary bullish trend would be over and short trades would be sought.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
This formerly helpless instrument, which has been battered by the bulls, is now exuding some form of protracted stamina. There has been a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, and long trades are recommended now. This is still a pretty new trend and it is best to take advantage of it when the price yet remains in its trough. Indicators (including oscillators and momentum technical tools) support this new outlook. Very soon, the price would reach the distribution zone of 1.5300.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
In recent times, the price on this pair has been moving in a sideways manner. At the time of writing this article, there has neither been a break above the resistance level of 96.50 nor a break below the support level of 95.50. What can be said is that, though the market is in a form of consolidation, the primary trend remains bullish. So when there is a break out of the consolidation, it would possibly be to the upside.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Like most JPY pairs, this cross is in a bullish mode, for the indicators on the chart confirm this as the primary trend. There is still a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, so the price is expected to continue its journey upwards. There would be some bearish corrections along the way, but these would be transitory (not expected to take the price below the market zones of 125.00 or 124.50). Eventually, the price would reach the supply zones of 126.00 and 127.00 respectively.

Conclusion: It does not make sense to keep on following a direction that is no longer valid. Whenever there is a shortage of speculators to continue going in certain direction, the existence of that market direction would be jeopardized. When the price movement is rejected at a significant market level, it is most likely that the trend would turn at that level… In the face of new biases, there would usually be corrections - a result of struggle between the bulls and the bears and medium-term smoothing of positions.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
The dominant bias here is bearish, and this is expected to continue, especially in the face of perpetual weakness in the Euro. There could, however, be some short-term rallies in the price, probably taking the price towards the resistance line of 1.3000. For the bearish trend to be valid, the rally ought not to go beyond the aforementioned resistance line. Meanwhile, the price could reach the support line of 1.2800 in the trading days to come.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
Recently, the USDCHF pair has traded in a tight range. The pair is expected to shoot out of the equilibrium zone very soon. When this does happen, it is more likely that the pair would go northwards, for the indicators on the chart confirm northward possibility in the market (especially as long as the USD has more stamina than the CHF). Any short-term pullbacks are not supposed to take the price more downwards than the support level 0.9400, while the bullish pressure may take the price towards the resistance level of 0.9550.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The trend on the Cable is now bullish and would continue to be bullish. Recently, this wonderful instrument has moved upwards by more than 110 pips, even in the face of recent volatility and turbulence. The indicators on the chart shows a Bullish Confirmation Pattern, plus the current event in the market has proven that buyers have been able to reject any bearish threats. The price may soon reach the distribution territory at 1.5300.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bearish
There is a ‘sell’ signal on every JPY pair and the USDJPY is no exception. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, and it would sound judicious to seek short trades at this moment. In spite of transitory rally that may take the price to some supply level of 95.50, the demand level at 94.00 is not a lofty target, and further southward determination may bring the price towards that area (in due course).

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bearish
There is also a bearish signal on this cross. With the current Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart (indicators support a bearish bias), the price actions that support the bears would not be a surprise, should the price plunge towards the demand zone of 121.00. It must also be added that there would be some serious volatility along the way. In the near-term, any bullish correction could take the price back towards the supply zone of 123.00, but this is not expected to last too long. In the meantime, the price ought to reach the aforementioned, price zone.

Conclusion: If it happens that a price penetrates an accumulation or distribution territory, breaking through some important levels or shooting out of an equilibrium zone, it usually behaves with some intensity. Following this first shooting out, the price may slow down in its momentum. This is to allow it to decide that the novel bias is tenable. The price may revert towards, or even breach, the recent high or low in the market. Should a speculator who is caught in a wrong direction smooth his positions, and other speculators enter the market in favor of the novel bias, the price might be given a new lease of stamina as it shoots out again, going in the direction of the new bias. At this juncture, traders are advised to stay with the novel direction, not speculating in a contrarian manner towards it.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

Meta Trader is the most popular trading platform among currency traders. If you are using one in your trading, congratulations! The author was about to write another helpful trading article when he was suddenly inspired to write a poem about this world-famous software.

Poem for Meta Trader

You connect me to a marvelous world
Where profits are gathered not with words
You enable me to engage and play instruments
You’ve features for me! Ideas inspired into men!
If an instrument looks sexy,
You show it to me, not being pesky,
You couldn’t care less about a trader
You show facts as put by your makers
You’re firm. You’re detached. You’re cute. That isn’t lowly!
Price changes are what drive you
(And the mastery inherent isn’t for fools)
Though I can’t see tomorrow, I’ll make the most of now
To do my best, and manage best, I vow
So that I go in the path of market wizards
So that I remain safe when prices are gripped by blizzards
This is the most popular trading platform! The most used trading software!
This is the trader-friendly means. This is what’s put in the hardware!
(Please listen great traders… Would you suppose I might abandon a means that’s helped me get attention?)
Going back to Meta Trader… I’m relentless
So as not to be any time defenseless
Then concerning the calls… when they get to us
…Oh! How about open orders as if in a bus?
Trading isn’t about avoidance of losses?
Speculation isn’t about leaving bosses?
Now. Great. I’m aware of this. But I trade for a reason
You’re great. And I cherish you. And my portfolios. And the season
And likely I’ve fallen in love for a reason
The Meta Trader… looks dense… Yes that’s me
To speculate and arrange my orders as I see
I expect we realize our aims together
(This is the ultimate aim… but I bet I’m tethered
Perhaps I’m a trader who’s metamorphosed
To call trades, to close trades, I’m not forced
With the cutting-edge tool, I’m hooked)
Congrats! Meta Trader users.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
The outlook on the EURUSD is bearish. Recently, the market dropped by more than 230 pips from the weekly high of 1.3046. Further bearish plunge is expected, but not without short-term rallies which would invariably proffer good opportunities to sell short in a downtrend. The indicators on the chart confirm this bearish scenario and the price could plunge towards the support line of 1.2700. In the near-term, any short-term rallies are not expected to take the price above the resistance line at 1.2900.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
Due to its inherent nature, I would like to term this unique pair as being slow and tardy. The outlook here is bullish, but we would do well to note that, no price moves in a straight line (no not one). This means that, now and then, there would be some southward retracement in the price, which is not expected to go below the support level at 0.9450. Since any bearish correction would proffer an opportunity to go long in the face of the extant outlook, the price may go upwards towards the resistance level of 0.9600 (in the next several trading days to come).

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
In spite of the recent turbulence in the market, in which the bear occasionally dominated the bull, the major bias on the Cable is to the upside. The indicators on the chart show a Bullish Confirmation Pattern. In recent times, serious bearish pressure nearly rendered the bullish outlook totally invalid, but the bull came back and pushed the price upwards. Because of the currently dismal outlook on Europe, the expected further bullish run on the market would not be that much strong. But at least, the price would reach the distribution territory at 1.5300.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bearish
Recently, the pair has traded in a sideways manner. Overall, the price has not gone above the supply level at 95.00 and neither has it gone below the demand level at 93.50. There must be a clear break above or below one of the aforementioned levels before there can be a clearer direction in the market. If none of the supply and demand levels mentioned here is broken, then note that the market is still in an equilibrium phase. However, I would like to mention that it is more likely for the price to break below the demand level of 93.50 when a breakout does occur, for the major outlook on the USDJPY market is bearish.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bearish
This cross has lately dropped by more than 300 pips! There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, for the indicators support this. Even, in the face of this strong bearish pressure, the price has not been able to break the demand zone at 120.00 to the downside. This is a significant barrier in the current scenario: for the bearish outlook to continue to be valid, the price must break the demand zone at 120.00 to the downside, closing below it and trading further downwards. Before this can be done, there would be a serious struggle between the bear and the bull, but it must be done, for the general bearish outlook on this cross not to be in jeopardy.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
Although the EURUSD went upwards recently, the major bearish bias remains unchanged, and for it to be rendered invalid (for it is being threatened), the price would need to trend further upwards for at least, a few trading days. Even, should the price touch the resistance level at 1.3000, it is not supposed to breach it to the upside. Ultimately, the price could plunge towards the support level at 1.2800, especially within the next several trading days. One could either short the market at 1.3000 or wait for further bearish pull before going short.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bearish
This slow pair traded in a range recently, before it finally showed the direction it would take. The price has been bearish lately, and it is expected that the coming fundamentals would even add more to further bearish pressures (which would definitely take the price to additional support levels). Right now, there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart. Any short-term rallies may not atke the price beyond the resistance levels at 0.9500, and in the meantime, the price could touch the support level at 0.9300.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
Recently, the Cable regained its weekly loss. Yet, the gain was so significant enough to override the extant bearish outlook completely. Only a scenario in which the Cable trades upwards for a few more trading days would render the bearish outlook ineffectual. Should further bullish attempt prove abortive (which is not supposed to take the price beyond the distribution territory at 1.5300), the price would plunge downwards - enabling certain speculators to go short at a higher price – probably reaching the accumulation territory at 1.5000.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Following an exponential weakness in the Yen, the USDJPY pair recently shot skywards in a significant manner. This enabled the pair to regain its more than 2 weeks of losses. There is now Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the Chart (as most indicators support that). Further northward journey is expected, but not without some near-term retracement in the price. The retracement ought not to take the price below the demand level at 95.00, for the current outlook to be valid. Ultimately, the price would go towards the supply level of 97.00.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Like the USDJPY and other JPY pairs, this market moved upwards by more than 530 pips on Thursday, April 4, 2013 (from a low of 119.10). This noteworthy occurrence helped the market to regain more than 2 weeks of losses. There is now a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, supported by technical indicators. Over the time, the northward journey would continue, but there could be some bearish retracement towards the demand zone 123.00. It is not expected that the price should go lower than that zone, or else, there could be a serious threat to the present northward outlook. Eventually, the market could reach the supply zone of 126.00.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

GOLD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Since the year 2012, the outlook on the world-famous gold has been bearish. This highly-sought precious metal has plummeted by more than 13500 points since December 2012, when the model used for this analysis gave a long term short signal. The outlook is bearish and the price would continue to respect that, for the Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart remains extant. The recent bullish correction would not take the price upwards beyond the resistance level at 1580.00 while the price may ultimately reach the support level at 1530.00.

SILVER
Dominant bias: Bearish
Since February 2013, this market has fallen by over 400 points, following some futile but noteworthy bullish effort that was seen in January 2013. The dominant trend is bearish (there is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart), for the indicators in our model support this. In the short term, some bullish attempts may take the price towards the distribution territories of 28.00 and 28.50; yet the bears are expected to prevail, for the price could be pushed downwards towards the accumulation territory of 26.00.

PLATINUM
Dominant bias: Bearish
Irrespective of what happens in this market, the major outlook remains bearish. For example, the market traded in some defined equilibrium zones in most part of March 2013, yet the bias is to the downside. Recently, there is a bullish attempt in the market, but this only proffers a good opportunity to sell short at dearer prices, while the market is still in the context of a downtrend. There are supply levels at 1560.0 and 1565.0, which should contain any bullish threats: meanwhile the price could reach the demand level at 1500.0.

PALLADIUM
Dominant bias: Bullish
On Palladium, our model gave a ‘buy’ signal in November 2012. Since then, the precious metal has moved upwards by more than 15600 points – topping at the supply zone of 787.50 on March 8, 2013. Since then, the price has a kind of moved sideways, and right now, there is a serious threat to the long-term bullish bias on the chart. Despite this, the outlook is bullish, and short orders are not yet recommended (unless they are done on a short-term basis). Whether the event in the market would lead to a ‘sell’ signal or the bulls would push the price upwards remain to be seen - so one would do well to wait for further confirmation before taking a decision.

Conclusion: However, some financial instruments which were reaching for the skies now seem unable to regain their recent losses. Why? Researches have revealed that financial instruments there were formerly going northward perpetually, spurred on by incessant bullish pressures, are now unable to sustain their former biases, whereas instruments that once seemed hopeless now showcase the tendency to maintain constant stamina. These are the instruments that make headlines when they hold out longer than expected in their northward determination.

This article is concluded with the quote below:

“Trade to make money, not to fill some other unfilled emotional hole.” - Mike Dever

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The EURUSD is no longer in a bearish mode. This famous pair has shrugged off any bearish pulls and has resumed an extended bullish mode. This is a fact that is supposed to be valid for the next several trading days, though there could be some southward retracements along the way. The retracements ought not to take the price below the support line of 1.3000. Meanwhile, the price could reach the resistance line around 1.3200.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bearish
This pair remains bearish, but the bearish steam is not that strong, since there has always been some cut-throat tussle between the bear and the bull. This is the reason why the bearish momentum is not that strong. Recently, the price was hovering around the support level at 0.9300; there must be some perpetual movement below that level for the bearish bias to be valid, otherwise, there would some northward correction that could touch the resistance level of 0.9400.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart remains extant (the indicators also confirm that the Cable is in a bullish mode). At the upside breach of the territory of 1.5400 to the upside, the price could go on towards the distribution territories of 1.5500 and 1.5600. Yet, there would be some bearish pulls along the way, but the pulls are not expected to take the price below the accumulation territories of 1.5300 and 1.5200 at worst.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Since the bullish runs on all the JPY pairs started, the USDJPY has gone upwards by close to 700 pips (from a low of 92.71). Nevertheless, there is a very big supply level around 100.00 and the price would have some great difficulty in breaking that level to the upside. It can be said that there would be sharp reversals around this level, but they ought not to take the price below the demand levels of 99.00 and 98.50. For the current bullish outlook to be valid, the price must break the supply level at 100.00 to the upside.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
From the low of 119.10, the price on this cross has skyrocketed by more than 1100 pips. The Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart is extremely strong, but the price is now approaching some important supply zones, which must be broken to the upside, for the primary trend to continue to be valid. Any short-term pullbacks ought not to take the price below the demand zone of 129.00. In the long run, the price might reach the supply zones of 131.50 and 132.50.

Conclusion: Market approaches that are based on prognosis ought to be done with some form of rationality. If you are not aware of the recent facts in the market, how can you deal with the future facts? When you know the recent developments in the markets, and the right thing to do next, then you have a profitable trading approach.

This article is concluded with the quote below:

“Markets exist to facilitate trade. That means making it easier for buyers and sellers to transact.” - D.R. Barton, Jr.

Source: Forex | Online Forex Trading | Forex Broker - PaxForex

hi, did ur analyst is weekly o day?

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The outlook on this popular pair remains bullish, and it is expected to be so. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart (with the indicators pointing to further northward possibility). A long position may be judicious on the EURUSD as long as a stop is put around the support line 1.3000. This is the line at which any bearish threat is supposed to be checked seriously. Meanwhile, the price could reach the resistance line of 1.3200 eventually.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bearish
Though reluctantly, this pair is moving downwards. Recently, it only went down a little. Yet, there are serious bearish pressures in the market, and long trades are not advisable right now. Should this analysis prove to be correct, the price would touch the support level at 0.9200 within the next several trading days. Any short-term rallies ought not to take the price above the resistance level of 0.9400.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the GBPUSD is still valid, though the price has been very volatile recently. There was a sell-off that nearly overrode the extant bullish trend, but at the time of writing this article, the market has re-gained its recent losses. The indicators on the chart support the bullish trend, and the price could reach the distribution territory of 1.5500 within the next several trading days.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
This instrument experienced heavy bearish pressure after topping at the supply level of 99.93, after which it recovered its recent losses and trended upwards again. It has been said that it would be unlikely for the price to break the great supply level of 100.00 to the upside. The outlook on the instrument is bullish, but one would do well to use the aforementioned supply level as the target.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
There is still some bullish determination on this cross, and the bulls would continue pushing the price upwards. Recently, there have been serious battles between the bulls and the bears (with the latter winning temporarily). The bulls, however, have shown their supremacy and have been pushing the price upwards. The demand zone at 128.00 serves as the ultimate barrier to any bearish threat, whereas the price could reach the supply zone of 131.50.

Conclusion: Some people fear what would happen when they open new trades. However, you must open new trades so that you can make more profits. No trades, no profits. Granted, not all the trades would win, but expert traders also experience the same thing. As long as we make more money than we lose, then we are all OK. So why shouldn’t we trade? Trading is not easy – it will always be hard. Bear this fact in mind and continue to your trading success. Even when there is a loss, you already know that it is a normal part of doing any business. Even if you fail to see a great opportunity in the market, that is also a normal part of doing any business. Remember this fact when there are challenges. The truth is that you are going to win at last! It is totally wrong to say that those who persevere cannot win. You can be a market wizard, plus you will be victorious, though it is not easy.

This article is concluded with the quote below:

“But quite honestly, I take the rough with the smooth. Some months will be negative. Some months will be positive. That’s OK.” - Max Munroe

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex

The trading technique described in this article is one of the trader’s entry techniques available for traders. This one comes with the Simple Moving Average period 12 (SMA 12), and the Commodity Channel Index period 20 (CCI 20). Here, the way the CCI is used is unique because it isn’t according to the uses suggested by the conventional trading wisdom. Conventional trading wisdom suggests that any CCI reading above the +100 level is an overbought situation (which would make a trader seek short trades), and any reading below the -100 level suggests an oversold situation (which would make a trader seek long trades). However, with this strategy, the CCI overbought and oversold situations are done away with; only the level 50 is used with the idea that any reading above the level 50 means an uptrend and any reading below the level 50 means a downtrend. This is true no matter how far the CCI is above or below the level 50. In a strong uptrend, the price will be above the SMA. In a downtrend, the price would be below the SMA. When the SMA shows a strong uptrend and the CCI supports it - no matter the extremity of the CCI – then any transitory bearish correction that pushes the price towards the SMA is a high probability buying opportunity. When the SMA shows a strong downtrend and the CCI supports it - no matter the extremity of the CCI – then any transitory rally that pushes the price towards the SMA is a high probability selling opportunity.

Details of the Strategy
Strategy name: A Trader’s Trick Entry Technique
Time horizon: 4-hour charts
Suitability: Good for both part-time and full-time traders
Indicator 1: SMA 12
Indicators 2: CCI 20, level 50
Instruments: Use any pairs and crosses whose spread is not more than 15 pips each.
Long entry rule: Buy when the price dips and touches the SMA 12, while the SMA is sloping upwards and the CCI is above 50 (no matter how far above 50). The long trade is best opened as soon as there is a bullish candlestick which follows the scenario above.
Short entry rule: Sell when the price rallies and touches the SMA 12, while the SMA is sloping downwards and the CCI is below 50 (no matter how far below 50). The short trade is best opened as soon as there is a bearish candlestick which follows the scenario above.
Stop loss: 100 pips
Take profit: 250 pips
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:2.5
Lot sizes: Please use 0.01 lots for each $2000 (and thus making it 0.1 lots for $20000); or 0.1 lots for each 20000 cents in a cent account (making it 1.0 lots for each 200000 cents)
Trade management rule: Move your stop loss to breakeven after you’ve gained up to 70 pips or more on a trade. Lock about 100 pips of your profit thru a custom-set trailing stop after you’ve gained up to 200 pips or more.
Maximum trade duration: 2 weeks

A Trading Instance
There are numerous trading examples that can be taken in bull and bear markets. In order to prove that the strategy also works in bear markets, the trading instance shown here is a short trade. The vertical red line on the left pinpoints where the trade was entered, and the vertical red line on the right pinpoints where the trade was exited. On the attached chart, it would be seen that both the SMA 12 and the CCI 20 show a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart while the price was trading below the SMA. On February 22, 2013, the price rallied in the near-term and pushed against the SMA. Then it traded in a range, showing indecisive candles. We wouldn’t have taken this trade if the price crossed the SMA 12 to the upside and closed above it. If that happened, we’d not take the trade. But in this particular scenario, the SMA 12 was acting as a kind of barrier to the bulls’ interests. That same day, there came a bearish engulfing candle and the opportunity was quickly taken: going short. The spread wasn’t considered here.
Instrument: GBPJPY
Order: Sell
Entry date: February 22, 2013
Entry price: 142.207
Stop loss: 143.207
Trailing stop: 141.202
Take profit: 139.707
Exit date: February 25, 2013
Exit price: 139.707
Status: Closed
Profit/loss: 250 pips

When It Goes Out of Sync with the Markets
The only thing that can go wrong is when we’re on a wrong side of a trade. When this happens, the instrument that has been going up for several months (even years) would just hit a great distribution territory and begin to fall from the pinnacle of its strength, just like Napoleon after Moscow. Stop Loss limit assists in checkmating risk, but since we’re not 100% sure whether or not a particular trade would be positive, the strategy trades each valid signal until there is a winning trade. But that’s part of the probabilistic win-loss proportion that must be agreed with from the outset. There’d be losing orders, but we’ve confidence in the expectancy ratio that confirms that the strategy would soon become profitable again and recover some recent negativity. One needs not get mad because of a losing trade. Even Market wizards also sustain negativity, yet they beat the markets on annual basis. It’s too bad to take some negativity too serious and quit an activity that could ultimately give you some decent returns in a foreseeable future. Therefore the more stable (that is, the more vivid) a winning or a losing period is, the more dependable the strategy could be, especially, in those periods that a market type is not favorable to it. If negativity and positivity are statistically weighed the strategy would possibly appear more effectual and perhaps might be more profitable or the returns would be increased, irrespective of some uncertain assurance for tomorrow. A protracted winning or losing period would proffer vivid indications when a market type is not favorable to it, as those periods materialize. Conversely, the alternate losing and winning periods is enhanced in favor of the trader, portending a more robust strategy.

Conclusion: Mature traders exude rectitude when it comes to being loyal to their trading plans. In this aspect, mature traders aren’t remiss. This is one of the keys that can make us stay long in trading, for this is our major aim. Any temporary loss that’s encountered won’t deter us from taking new trades that could possibly go in our favor. So we’re advised to:

  1. Speculate only on what we see, not what we want.
  2. Use small position sizing so that we’d only have small losses which can be recovered quickly. This idea is very helpful to the trader’s mindset.
    As emphasized in this conclusion, if we’re faithful to our trading rules, we’ll end up being victorious in the markets.

The article is concluded with a quote from Dr. Van. K. Tharp:

“I think the most important trait that all top traders have (or top people in any field) is the ability to assume total responsibility for what happens to them. And for top traders and investors, this means that they assume total responsibility for their investments results.”

Disclaimer: This is not a trading recommendation. The article in this piece is just about what the author is doing, not what he wants others to do. There’s risk of loss in trading.

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex

My analysis is weekly in outlook. Thanks.

Pro-cyclical currency instruments would normally go northward in bull markets, as prices are breaking more and more supply levels. On the other hand, anti-cyclical currency instruments tend to exhibit a measure of strength only in bear markets, as prices are breaking more and more demand levels. Sometimes a confirmed bias may last longer than one imagines.

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
Recently it looks as though the EURUSD is not making any decisive directional move, although the current bias is towards the downside. Any possible bullish attempts are not supposed to take the price above the resistance line of 1.3150, whereas the bears could push the price lower towards the support lines of 1.2950 and 1.2900 respectively. For the next several trading days, I would assume a bearish outlook.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
The primary trend on this pair has turned bullish lately and it is expected that this scenario would continue to hold. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, and all indicators are in favor of the bulls. For this current outlook to keep on making sense, short-term bearish corrections should not take the price below the support levels of 0.9400 and 0.9350 respectively. Meanwhile, the price could reach the resistance level of 0.9550.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
There is a long signal on this instrument and it is currently valid. The indicators on the chart are presently in favor of the bulls, and therefore, there is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart. Since this signal was generated, the price has moved upwards by over 230 pips, and it could reach some distribution territories at 1.5500 and 1.5550. Nevertheless, some probable bearish threats could pull the price towards the accumulation territories at 1.5300 and 1.5250.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
In recent times, the USDJPY has been trading within some defined range, because it has been unable to breach the great supply level at 100.00 (a feat that must be accomplished for the current bullish outlook to survive). It is either the price breaks above the aforementioned supply level or it breaks below the demand level at 98.00 to the downside. Whatever happens as far as these two options are concerned would determine the next price action.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Just like most other JPY pairs, this cross is in some serious equilibrium zones and it is yet to make any significant bullish continuation determination. Momentum indicators still confirm the bullish bias – which is, in fact, still valid. But the oscillators are showing the possibility of the bears having upper hands. One would need to wait until the market showcases further confirmation of its intent, and until then it is better to stay out of this market.

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex

The markets are now at critical levels and thus require tact to handle. Prices are now approach major supply and demand zones. When open orders are smoothed, bulls go against bears and bears go against bulls. This kind of scenario would signal that, should Smart Money exit all their orders, the market would be forced to go southward. Should there be an absence of some bulls to push up the prices, the prices would nosedive. This kind of scenario cannot favor the bulls, since they would be unable to dump their stakes at the optimal market levels; for the prices have gone downwards as a result of a massive sell-off. Thus short orders are smoothed gradually until all the orders are no longer open.

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
The EURUSD moved upwards recently, but it has given up all the gains as a result of the stamina of the Greenback. There is a serious threat to the current bullish outlook: should the price continue to nosedive, the bullish outlook may be eventually rendered invalid. For the bullish outlook not to be rendered invalid, the price must stay constantly above the current support line at 1.3000.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bearish
Although the present long-term bias on this pair is bearish, there is a serious threat to it, and the price merely needs to move upwards for a few more days for the bias to be rendered ineffectual completely. Nevertheless, as long as the price is below the resistance level of 0.9450, the long-term bearish trend remains sensible. If that resistance level is breached and the price closes above it, then a new bullish signal is generated.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bullish
This unique market has been in a bullish mode constantly. However, the northward movement this week so far has been tardy, and that one has nearly been rendered invalid by the recent event in the market. There are mixed signals on the chart – oscillators confirm a change in the trend whereas the momentum indicators are yet to confirm this. As long as the price stays above the accumulation territory at 1.5400, the signal is ‘buy.’

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Lately, there was a threat to the bullish outlook, since May 2, 2013; the fundamental facts coming from the markets have made the USD a stronger entity. There is now clear a direction in the market, which means the price is going northwards. Nevertheless, it must be noted that the price is unlikely to go above the supply level at 100.00, since it is a significant level. The bullish activity would not be able to carry the price beyond that level in the next several trading days.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
The signal on the EURJPY cross is also a ‘buy’ signal. The cross was moving in some tight range (in which there are serious struggle between the bears and the bulls), right before the price broke upwards. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern on the chart, but the bullish move would be limited. It is not expected that the price would go beyond the supply zone of 131.00 within the next several trading days.

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex

Why aren’t we patient while trading? Why do we prefer instant results always? We’ve become an immediate gratification culture, and we expect profits to come quickly, efficiently in the way we want. When that doesn’t happen, we tend to become increasingly frustrated and irritable - a sign of impatience. One source says that, for one thing, in trading, impatience is linked to frustration, irritation, and even anger. Such emotions can raise our stress level, which in turn can harm our health. Impatient isn’t harmful only in trading, it’s also harmful in other areas of life. Author Marvin Lewis writes: “In an act of impatience, a man in San Francisco, California, tried to beat traffic by swerving around a lane of cars that had come to a stop. However, the lane he pulled into had just been laid with fresh cement, and his Porsche 911 got stuck. The driver paid a high price for his impatient.” (Our Daily Bread, February 19, 2012).

Impatience Can Be Harmful

These are some of the adverse effects of impatience in trading.

  1. Dithering: Impatience eventually leads to ironical procrastination in making trading decisions. Could it be that they felt compelled to postpone financially risky and highly competitive tasks of playing the markets, because they don’t have the patience needed to work on themselves until they become an expert?

  2. Bad Trading Decisions: Certain good strategies require patience before you can find the best setups. If one is impatient, one can make hasty trading decisions that violate one’s rules and later regret it. When some orders are also still open, an impatient trader can make some unwise adjustments to the open orders. It’s been found that impatient speculators often make hurried, dismal speculation choices.

  3. Margin Calls: The fate of most people in the financial markets is the consequence of undue patience, coupled with inordinate avarice. Lack of patience in trading has led numerous traders to overleverage their portfolio excessively (instead of using high leverage judiciously) because they want to turn a small portfolio to 5-figure income as soon as possible. Newbies who make huge gains and huge losses are less happy than those who go for small losses, and consequently small profits. The use of small position sizing and safe risk control doesn’t appeal to those who want instant gratification. According to Clem Chambers, you should strive to get rich slowly rather than to get rich quickly. Looking for instant riches tends to satisfy human emotions, but it can lead to quick penury.

  4. Loss of Reputation: No-one wants to be identified with failures. If you can keep your investors’ portfolios safe, even in spite of small profits, you’ll still be popular with them. But if you go after the biggest possible profits within the shortest possible time (this target is attainable, but rarely leads to everlasting success in the markets), and you happen to lose your investors’ portfolios, you’ll lose your popularity. Once one’s popularity is lost, it’s extremely difficult to gain it back. It’s better to be safe than to be sorry. Some gurus were popular yesterday, but because of impatience, they lost their reputation. I’ve always featured profitable generals of the markets, and will still feature many more. However, I’m not interested in market wizards that crashed and got burned. I’m only interested in those that are permanently successful. These successful trades have protracted periods of flat performances, followed by protracted periods of roll-downs, followed by protracted periods of consistent profits. The great thing about all these periods is that these generals of the markets remain patient throughout the successive periods, and they survive the markets in the long run.

Stop Being Impatient!
It does little good to worry over things you can’t control. The more patient you’re in the markets, the more likely you’re to have better results, make better decisions, and progress in your career. Instead of losing patience over circumstances that are beyond your control, try to identify things you can control as a trader, e.g. Have a realistic view of trading. First of all, in reality, things don’t often transpire as we want. Don’t forget that you can’t control everything that happens to you in life. Accept that time moves at the speed of time and not at the speed of your expectations. Accept that the markets cannot be forced to give you profits; you simply need to do the right things as a trader, and profits would take care of themselves. That’s patience. Study the secrets of market wizards and learn how you can trade less anxiously and more patiently. In time, patience can become a quality that comes naturally to you.

Conclusion: Most persons would attain their goals in life if they learn from their initial errors and try never to repeat them again. With step by step assimilation of the realities of their chosen endeavors, they master their various careers. The problem is that, most persons don’t apply the principles of success to their speculative activities. They approach trading with levity. They simply dash into trading and see it’s not that easy. They may stay away from trading briefly, only to come back and experience the same results, repeatedly. During this experience, they still fail to use it as leverage to trading mastery. They can use that experience to become astute speculators. Can that be the best thing to do? We approach university studies and professional courses with utmost seriousness, persevering in spite of obstinate hurdles. We approach highly competitive sports and other forms of commercial activities with staunch determination and unflinching commitment. But we tend to approach trading with levity. Trading is a very serious profession which we should approach with staunch determination and unflinching commitment.

A quote from Richard Russell ends this article:

“And if no outstanding values are available, the wealthy investor waits. He can afford to wait. He has money coming in daily, weekly, monthly. The wealthy investor knows what he is looking for, and he doesn’t mind waiting months or even years for his next investment (they call that patience).”

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex

The tactics, behaviour and mindset that can be learned from the world’s most successful financial traders

I’ve got to stick to your own rules, even if they make me look stupid sometimes. That’s the fact for survival. Irrespective of some negativity that may come my way in a month or, even on a quarterly basis, I know I’d be triumphant in the end. Any temporary negativity I may be experiencing right now has little or no effect on this fact. My expertise is measured by my faithfulness to my trading ideas. That’s the most important factor. If I follow my rules, then I’m making progress, but if I breach my rules, I need to go for psychological help. This has nothing to do with whether there is an ongoing positivity or negativity.

The game of speculation usually entails emotional hurdles to overcome. Going against the herd mentality can’t be over-emphasized. Speculating triumphantly needs self-awareness and the knowledge of how the markets work and positive expectancy systems. There is negativity now and then in trading; yet positive expectancy systems have enabled expert traders to enjoy everlasting success in the markets, whereas majority of traders cannot achieve this.

Following on from a popular blog on ADVFN.com, in Lessons From Expert Traders Azeez Mustapha brings you concise and digestible lessons from 20 of the world’s most successful traders.

By learning what these super traders did well, what techniques and attitudes drove them towards success, and the mistakes that they have made, you can take a step forward in your own trading.

For each personality profiled here, the author includes a short biography, the primary lessons that can be learnt from this trader’s career, and words of wisdom from the traders themselves.

Traders featured include: Alexander Elder, Benjamin Graham, Anton Kreil, Jesse Livermore, Adrian Manz and Lex van Dam, etc.

Approach your trading by first discovering how the most successful people in the field have operated - you are sure to pick up some invaluable lessons to improve your method.

Here are the ground-breaking lessons from expert traders: Lessons From Expert Traders by Azeez Mustapha | Harriman House

The currency markets are in vivid Trend Confirmation Patterns – both bearish and bullish. Recently, prices have become very volatile as they approach major accumulation and distribution territories. But it is expected that those territories would be breached as the markets go in the direction of the overall biases. Thus, market participants are bound to make more gains as they take more risk in the favor of the current biases. We’re naturally inclined to welcome gains and abhor losses, yet losses must be anticipated before gains can come. The less the magnitude of the stake, the less the expected returns and vice versa.

EURUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
The EURUSD is bearish and it is expected to continue being so, even irrespective of the current volatility and turbulence in the markets. There is a Bearish Confirmation Pattern on the chart (as supported by the indicators). Any short-term rallies ought not to take the price above the resistance line of 1.3000, for the current outlook not to be in jeopardy. Meanwhile, the price could reach the support line of 1.2700 within the next several trading days.

USDCHF
Primary trend: Bullish
Some resistance levels are acting as a barrier to the bulls’ interest, but those levels would soon be breached to the upside. The bullish scenario continues to be valid, as the indicators as well support it. The ultimate target on this pair is 0.9800, in spite of the hurdles to be overcome. Foreseen bearish attempts would not take the price below the 0.9500, otherwise, there would be a serious threat to the bullish outlook.

GBPUSD
Primary trend: Bearish
The bears are still present here. They are not only present, but they hold sway and in the face of this, any short-term rallies would end up being fake-outs. Normally the short-term rallies are not supposed to push the price upwards beyond the distribution territory at 1.5400. There is a need for the price to go below the market territory at 1.5200, for the bears’ interest to continue. There must be perpetual price position below the aforementioned market territory.

USDJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
Northward is the outlook on this popular major, though the price has not moved determinedly upwards in recent times. In spite of the recent volatility in the market, accompanied by a sideway move. One may think the market is indecisive, but one needs to be reminded that that was the condition on the market before the price zones at 100.00 and 102.00 were breached to the upside. The supply zone at 104.00 may soon suffer the same fate.

EURJPY
Primary trend: Bullish
This instrument has not made any significant bearish or bullish move within previous trading days, but the major outlook is bullish and it is expected to be so. In spite of stealth attacks from the bears, the bulls’ have succeeded in preventing the price to be dragged determinedly downwards. Now, it could be safely said that the demand level at 131.50 has been an effective check on the recent bearish attempts. The supply zone at 133.00 is the ultimate target.

This article is concluded with the quote below:

[B]“Many active traders make the mistake of assuming that a winning system for swing trading… needs to be complicated. On the contrary, the best trading strategies are typically the most simple because they can be more easily and consistently followed.”[/B] – Deron Wagner

Source: PaxForex Blog - PaxForex

Do you know how top traders handle their positions? Schools encourage us to multi-task flawlessly. The more errors a student makes, the worse the marks awarded and therefore less the commendation, for many errors. Mistakes are frowned on in the medical world, business world and the engineering world. Indeed, the willingness to be perfect in all fields of human endeavors is acknowledged – an inborn tendency.

The tendency to be perfect has made neophytes believe that good traders should never lose; or should rather have 85% - 95% probability. They think they need to win always in order to make gains. After a losing streak, some swear never to trade again. The fact is that people will do things that increase their enjoyment and refrain from what tends to aggravate their pains. People try to escape negativity by failing to trade new signals, since – psychologically – it’s thought that more loss is avoided if new signals are not traded. You would need to do away with bad thinking that has adverse effect on your trading. When you have a negative trade, try to find out why and how you could improve your trading. Do not dwell on your past bad experience since this does not help you. You would need to focus on more opportunities ahead of you, and not weighed down by the forgone events.

Those who wish for perfection while speculating would be quick to truncate their winners because they don’t want them to revert to negative territory. As a result of this, a trading system that has more than 70% should be evaluated in the context of the mean equity curve and drawdowns. Someone with 95% accuracy can receive a margin call on his account, if his position sizes are too big, and no stops are used, or the stops are too wide and take profit zones are too tight. Someone with less than 33% accuracy can become a permanent victor in the markets, if his position sizes are very small, and he uses stops, and rides his winners or he sets tighter stops and wider take profit zones. You can win 3 trades, lose 7 trades, lose another 7 trades and win additional 3 trades and still be a winner. Conversely, you can win 8 trades, lose 2 trades, win another 8 trades and lose additional 2 trades and eventually receive a margin call. It all boils down to money management, golden rules of trading and risk control. Therefore, in spite of being inborn, perfectionism doesn’t work in trading.

With much experience as a trader and trading systems developer shows that over a very long period of time, one would hardly be right far more than half of the time (if many signals are generated on monthly or yearly basis), even if it appears that one achieves 100% accuracy under certain market conditions. Very soon, a winning technique would undergo some losing streaks, whether on a monthly basis, or quarterly basis or yearly basis. There aren’t many speculators who can boast of more than 65% probability in many years. These traders are geniuses and would often apply common sense with any trading methodologies they use. There’s not much psychological benefit from a winning trade that’s realized when we violate our rules. That winning trade is only realized out of luck. We should accept that fact that we’re the ones that opened a losing trade as well as a winning one. This is a fact.

Are market wizards (generals of the markets) achieving 90% - 100 % probabilities consistently? If we analyze their trading performances since the beginning of their various careers, we’d see that this is far from being true. Think of Dr. Brett N. Steenbarger, Dr. Alexander Elder, Philip Fisher, David Harding, Adrian Manz, John Templeton, Michael Covel, Tim Knight, etc., these are successful names in the trading world. Yet, they got no 100% accuracy. With being right less than half of the time, they still achieve decent percentage returns. They simply make more money than they lose. You see, the market presents equal opportunities to everybody on earth. Everybody competes in the market, but only the skillful and the disciplined come out home and dry. How many percentage returns do you think Warren Buffet make on annual basis? Did you think he doubles his accounts every year? Even there are years in which Warren doesn’t even make a profit. There are also traders who perform better than him, only that they have smaller portfolios.

How could you end up winning with lower hit rate? That’ll be explained in another article. Wasn’t it 40% accuracy that gave me nearly 12000 pips (49%) in the year 2011? Wasn’t it only 35% accuracy that gave me 4500 pips (21%) in the year 2012? Isn’t less than 40% accuracy that has given me over 2200 pips (10.2%) so far in this year? Even with this, I usually have more than a few months of losses in a year. Sometimes, I even lose more than 10 or 5 trades in a row, and yet I don’t go down more than 5% or 8%. This is possible because of my very small lot sizes and risk control techniques. I got to cut my losers, or else I’m in trouble. I just make the losses to be so small, so that whenever the market conditions become ok for me, I shoot ahead. For example, if I win 10 or 15 trades in a row, I gain about 10% or 16% or even more.

Conclusion: It’s common that certain traders don’t consider exotic pair and crosses when they trade, because they’re not as popular as majors and because their spreads aren’t tight as those of majors. Should you trade on an instrument with a higher spread when the spread on the GBPUSD is much lower? Why would you trade the GBPCFH when the EURUSD is readily available? Some think that low spreads matter and that high spreads could magnify losses and reduce gains. This is true. But there are many wonderful opportunities on those exotic crosses as well, especially if you’re using a trend-following strategy. If the GBPNZD moves by more than 500 pips in one week, would it matter much if the spread on it is 20 pips?

This article is concluded with a quote from George Soros:

“I’m right in arguably no more than half of all cases, but I just make a lot of money whenever I’m right, and lose as little money as possible when I’m wrong.”

Source: Best Forex Broker, Online Forex Trading Broker - PaxForex