Price Action Only

Hello traders,
My name is Edwin and I’m a trader from Belgium. I’ve been trading for about 3 years now, the last of which has been quite profitable.
In my first two years of trading I’ve tried almost every strategy and technical indicator known to humankind and I still failed to achieve success. But that all changed when an experienced trader and a good friend of mine told me that I needed to find the trader in me before developing the strategy that suits me.

Before I continue I would like to point out that just because I’ve been successful for a whole year doesn’t mean I’ll be profitable for the rest of my life no matter what. If there’s one thing that I’ve learned in my three years of trading is markets are changing constantly. And those who survive in the long run are the ones who easily adopt to the new conditions. The key to success in this business is discipline, flexibility and good money management skils. The trading system itself comes second. No wonder you’ll hear people say give the world’s best trader the world’s worst trading system and he’ll still be profitable. Give the world’s worst trader the world’s best trading system and he still won’t be able to make money. So it’s not about the system we use, it’s about how we use it.
The reason why I’m starting this thread is because of a project I’m working on currently.
I won’t be discussing any trading strategies here (at least not in depth and not yet) but I will share my trades with you for the coming months.

About my trading strategy. It’s designed with 2 things in mind:

  • It’s a low maintenance, “set and forget” type of swing strategy. It literally requires only 2 minutes of your time each day.

  • It doesn’t use any lagging indicators. The only indicator this system uses is price action.

The risk/reward ratio is never less than 1/2. There will be times when it’s as high as 1/7. So it’s a high reward low risk strategy. Average risk in terms of “pips” will vary from time to time (different market conditions at different times) but it will usually be within 50-150 range. The win/loss ratio is about 40%. The system generates about 4 trades a month on average.

We’ll only be trading 15 pairs. Those pairs are:
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CHF, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF, EUR/AUD, EUR/CAD, GBP/CHF, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD.

I’ll be posting my trades once a day at 23:10 CET. The entry level, the stop and the target will clearly be indicated in my post.
The entries should be done with limit orders. That way you don’t have to be there when the price is at that level.
The updates associated with a working trade (such as the trailed stop loss and everything else) will be posted a day later at the exact same time.

I suggest everyone who would like to follow the trade ideas posted by me to trade on a demo account for at least 3 month.
Because this is a swing strategy we won’t be having trades each and every day. And because we can’t judge a system based on a few trades, we need to focus on quarterly results.

That’s pretty much it for now. I wish profitable trading to all of you.

This should be an interesting thread to follow as its almost the complete opposite to the way in which I trade.

  1. I trade daily trades, each day
  2. Only one currency pair every time
  3. Same time session each and every day
  4. Same stop loss and profit limit ratio (not to be confused with same pip amount)
  5. Same trading approach each and every time, and have done for the past 24 months or so
  6. Same risk reward ratio

Good luck

Look forward to watch your process!The big three Discipline,Moneymanagement,Method.Nice ratio with hit rate at 40 percent!

I’m glad you are interested Jezzode. Good luck to you too.

I do have to tell you that I don’t take breakevens into account when I calculate the win/loss ratio. So for example if we have 10 trades, 3 of which are winners, 3 losers and the other 4 breakevens, to me that would be a 50/50 win/loss ratio and not 30/70. Despite the fact that those breakevens are technically losers.
Good luck Letseethepips.


Date: 08/25/2011

Symbol: EUR/CAD

Buy at: 1.4199

Target: 1.4377

Stop: 1.4110

Note: Cancel the pending order (EUR/CAD) if not triggered by 23:00 CET (08/26/2011)


Yes, it would be an interesting thread to follow, if I knew why these trades are being taken, will this system be shared to the public or remain private? How much do you plan on charging for signals or lessons?

ClarkFX, I’m glad you asked that question. All I can say now is that the signals provided here are free and will remain that way for the coming months. Just see this thread as a way of forward testing the system and sharing the live results with the rest of traders.

Traders, I would like to inform you that starting from today I’ll be posting the signals 5 minutes earlier at 23:05 CET each day instead of 23:10 CET.

Hello traders. Our pending long entry from yesterday (EUR/CAD - 1.4199) has been triggered during the Asian session. And because today is friday the updates will be available a little earlier than usual. At 22:30 CET to be exact.

UPDATE


Date: 08/26/2011

Symbol: EUR/CAD

Trail the stop to: 1.4199 (breakeven)

Target: 1.4377 (unchanged)


Ok traders, so just to recap, yesterday we bought EUR/CAD at 1.4199. The market moved in our favor by some 100 pips during the European session today, but pulled back later on the day. Currently trading 1.4225 as I type.
The stop is trailed to breakeven ahead of the weekend. We’ll see how things develop next week. The profit target remains unchanged at 1.4377.
Have a great weekend. See you all next week.

Will you be sharing your reasons for trade entry’s, or is this going to be a “watch me trade” thread?

This is going to be a “free forex signals” thread.

if so, then please move it to “Free Forex Trading Systems” forum… and change the title of the thread… :wink:

Thanks for the suggestion yunny1, but since we are not discussing a trading system here, I don’t see a reason why this thread should be moved to the systems section. The title of the thread is fine as well cuz the strategy I’m using is purely based on price action :wink:

well I think this forum should be use to contribute to the learning process of a newbie… nobody will follow trading signals without a rationale behind it… and if it is PA then you should at least support any trade you take…
:wink:

No point in posting entries or trades without charts. New traders need guidance not blind entires.

I don’t agree, why should charts be required to make price entries easier.

If you cant find a quoted price on your own chart then god help you when it comes to trading off your own knowledge. There are obvious starting points to any learning curve, but this is like learning to drive and being told how to open a car door before hand. Pointless

You see, most traders in this forum should not be taking Signals. Its a learning forum not a BLIND ENTRY giveaway.

I would liken it more to being given directions by a visually impaired individual. The title of the thread implies Price Action will be included in the thread itself. I dont see any.