Some Things everytime happens to me and i don`t know why


hello everyone

i am a beginner in forex trading i start learning forex from babypips.com now i am practising in demo account last thuersday6th june after all the ecnomice event realeased GBP Asset Purchase Facility GBP Official Bank Rate USD Unemployment Claims after watch one hour when i seen nothing will happen in market i close my mt4 platform and go for another work,next day wen i open mt4 and see my charts than gbp\usd go up from 5410 to 5615 and i wonder how this will happen which thing i not analyzed this thing every time happen with me i never which is the action time when mkt have voltalite few days ago i was reading article which was related when you enter the mkt and he said in the article You need to analyze the market using technical indicators and/or fundamental economic criteria to find high probability trades to execute.and but i dont know he he said it macd,moving avarage stochestic, rsi ,problic sar will tell the what will happen in mkt and if we talk about fundamental analyze here i make a report on excel sheet where i seen in may and june bothe of the month economic data in gbp favour but in may2013 gbp/usd goes 500 pips down and in june form 1st june to  till date gbp/usd goes 500 pips up so how it happens how i hav to analyzed i cant understand..

economic data may and june 2013

1.5.2013
GBP Manufacturing PMI 49.8

USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 119K

USD ISM Manufacturing PMI 50.7

2.5.2013
GBP Construction PMI 49.4

USD Trade Balance -38.8B
Unemployment Claims 324K

3.5.2013
USD Non-Farm Employment Change 165K
USD Unemployment Rate 7.50%

9.5.2013
GBP Manufacturing Production m/m 1.10%
Asset Purchase Facility 375B
Official Bank Rate 0.50%

Unemployment Claims	323K

13.5.2013
USD Core Retail Sales m/m -0.10%
USD Retail Sales m/m 0.10%

15.5.2013
GBp Claimant Count Change -7.3K

USD PPI m/m -0.70%

16.6.2013
USD Building Permits 1.02M
USD Core CPI m/m 0.10%
USD Unemployment Claims 360K

17.5.2013
Usd Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 83.7

21.5.2013
GBP CPI y/y 2.40%

22.5.2013
GBP MPC Meeting Minutes 0-0-9
GBP Retail Sales m/m -1.30%

USD Existing Home Sales 4.97M

23.5.2013
GBP German Flash Manufacturing PMI 0.30%

USD Unemployment Claims 340K
USD New Home Sales 454K

24.5.2013
USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 1.30%

28.5.2013
USD CB Consumer Confidence 76.2

30.5.2013
USD Prelim GDP q/q 2.40%
USD Unemployment Claims 354K
USD Pending Home Sales m/m 0.30%

3.6.2013

GBP Manufacturing PMI 51.3

USD ISM Manufacturing PMI 49

4.6.2013

GBP Construction PMI 50.8

USD Trade Balance -40.3

5.6.2013
GBP Services PMI 54.9

USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 135K
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 53.7

6.6.2013
GBP Asset Purchase Facility 375b
GBP Official Bank Rate 0.5

USD Unemployment Claims 346k

7.7.2013
USD Non-Farm Employment Change 175
USD Unemployment Rate 7.6

The movement in price is not governed solely by figures, but governed by how much is being bought and sold. This can somewhat be predicted by technical indicators and economic data but not by a great deal of accuracy. Your analysis might be correct, but if an Arab Prince decides on that day that he wants to buy a British Football club there is nothing you can do about it. Likewise there are a million other market participants that can influence the market including governments, military, oil billionaires, major corporations, major funds, state pension funds etc etc in every single country.

so what i have to do according to you

I think you have to understand how the market works and that there is uncertainty. You then need to find areas of the market that are more predictable and use those areas to gain profit.