State of The Markets | Taper Talks Buoyed Dollar

STATE OF THE MARKETS

Taper talks buoyed Dollar. US S&P 500 (+0.18%) made an all time record high while Nasdaq (+0.74%) made a second attempt to break it’s all time high on Monday as markets expect Feds to stay put this week. On the other hand, blue chip Dow (-0.25%) and small cap Russell (-0.41%) closed lower as investors continue on profit taking ahead of FOMC. Bonds were of less demand as the 10Y benchmark yielded higher, back at 1.50%, but Feds taper talks have buoyed Dollar (DXY) above the 90 mark for the past two weeks.

Crude futures were at a brink of offers as EIA reported that shale oil is expected to add 7.8 million barrels of supplies this July. The black gold settled above $71/bl after hitting as high as $71.78/bl before New York closed. Taper talks sent gold to as low as $1,844.57/oz before bids emerged and settled around $1,866/oz.

In the FX space, King Dollar sustained a firm bid across the board ahead of the FOMC decision this Wednesday, while sending the comdolls on offers. Euro and Sterling have been in a tug of war for 4 weeks now. Yen and Swiss went back on offers in the short term, while medium and long term saw more Swiss demand than Yen.

OUR PICK – AUD/NZD

Re-enter as shorts remain valid. Recent rally in AUD/NZD was mere short covering as Aussie bonds yields have become less attractive and remain inferior to Kiwi. We re-entered shorts with new stops and targets.

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