Index Strat Risk Target DJIA [B]Long[/B] 7792 9860 NASDAQ [B]Long[/B] 827 1080 S&P500 [B]Flat[/B]
To review: “The decline from the October 2007 high is in 5 waves, therefore a multi-month countertrend 3 wave advance is underway. Fibonacci resistance does not begin until 8736.” Wave B within an A-B-C corrective advance from 6470 is complete at 7792. The Dow should rocket higher in wave C in the next few weeks. One possible target is 9864 (100% extension).
The Dow fell back below resistance at 843 the 61.8% Fibo extension of the 9,654-6,470 decline. We may see a slight retracement at that level before the blue chip index looks to extend its gains. 9,000 may be the next level where we see major resistance.
The S&P count is the same as the Dow count. A B wave is complete at 827. A target is 1086 (100% extension).
The S&P 500 fell back below resistance at the January 9th high of 910 . Considering current momentum we could see a test of the January 6th high of 943 before any major retrace.
The Nasdaq is in the same position as the other US indexes although the short term pattern is not clear. The index is nearing the 38.2% of the entire decline from the 2007 top. A deeper corrective rally is likely though; perhaps to the 61.8% at 2094.
The Nasdaq found resistance ahead of 1,785-the November 4th high which sent it back below the 200-Day SMA at 1,7333. We may see support today at 1,700 which could lead to another test of resistance. Upside potential remains with major resistance at the 50.0% Fibo level at 1,868.