Trading the Trend with Strong Weak Analysis

Ok, here is my idea, We form a Trading Team ( and a new thread) , using the same model as the MIT Blackjack Team from the 1980’s. Brief history, Blackjack is the only game in a casino that the house advantage is not fixed, and for brief moments the odds can favor the player, The way you know when the odds favor the player is through card counting. Now it can take a long time before the odds favor the player so the purpose of the team was to place one card counter at each table playing the table minimum then when the card count favored the player they would signal the big money player to come to that table with the big bet. This is why casinos are unfriendly to card counters, and card counting teams.

So the way this would work for us is we would have one team member assigned to each of the eight major currencies ( just like the card counters at each table) They would study the Technicals and Fundamentals of their assigned currency and report to the team if they spot something that could lead to a sudden price move. An example of the way this would play out is to say the person following USD spotted some change in the Technicals or Fundamentals that they felt made USD a buy, and at the same time, the person following the CAD saw something to suggest CAD was a sell. This would give each member if they choose to, the opportunity to go short CADUSD

With such information in hand, it would enhance the conviction in our SW trades and maybe get us in the trade a day few days before they become SW trades

I don’t think this would be too hard to achieve as most of you a very aware of the events going on in your own country and how it is likely to affect your currency. So obviously the person covering AUD should live in Australia and the person coving GBP should live in Great Britten and so on.

So what is everyone’s thoughts, am I crazy or does this sound like something you would like to participate in

I welcome your comments

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Definitely has merit, not crazy at all, I’m in, can do AUD on my own or as part of a down under team if there are many volunteers. At the very least we will get different views and probably learn about other trader’s concepts of strong vs weak and the all-important trend.
I had a similar idea for a group with each member having one pair to analyze; thinking about it now, the outcome probably would have been hilarious, so be interesting to see where this leads. :rofl:
The format could be as a weekly outlook on Monday, daily observations, and a weekly wrap on Friday or Saturday.

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Not a bad idea at all.

You could even have a small team of 2 or 3 working with each country’s currency just in case something is missed.

Or, have each team member specialize in areas that influence that country’s currency, like how OIL can affect CAD.

Might be overkill, Oil’s not that exciting…but that’s one example.

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I would say it is a brilliant idea !!! :nerd_face: :nerd_face:

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This is a fine idea Dennis. Traders using the site would definitely benefit from greater perspective that greater specific knowledge would enable. They need to take into account far more than just the pin bar they see on the H1 chart for USD/TRY.

For myself, I can’t bring anything of value to the table with regards fundamentals - not even concerning my own GBP. I try to get perspective from assessing price behaviour across the spectrum of GBP pairs and the rest. I don’t read/view any financial news. But I love this thread.

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MattMoney sent me
image

Just browsing…

I’m based in Qld, Australia and can help with the AUD analysis.

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This is an interesting idea Dennis. I have quietly followed your thread for a couple of years and will certainly sign up to your new thread if it gets off the ground

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It has been an active week with CAD nudging out USD for number one giving us GBPCAD* as our new Top Trade. Looking at the chart for GBPCAD this has been a wild one the last several months, if you trade it be ready for a wild ride

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Nothing beats teamwork. I’m in. Still learning the trade. Will contribute what I know now. Based in GB.

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US stocks are taking a beating, one would expect the Safe Haven currencies to be doing well today but that is not the case, go figure?

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EURCAD* is our newest SW trade, looking at the chart price is at support but if it breaks this has a long way to drop

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Strong day across the board for Yen pairs, but that strong USD is still out of place here

US stocks also look like they are trying to put in a bottom here, October is known for market bottoms

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Hey, guys, how are you doing?
Who would kindly explain this strategy to us and is it profitable with my greetings :pray::pray::+1:

Or, here’s a genius idea…bear with me…cause this is going to sound wild…

You read the thread?

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It was mostly a down day for Yen pairs but everyone rallied in the second half of the day, so let’s see if that rally carries into tomorrow

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Bit of a risky trade trying to fade the extended move on the GN.

CADJPY - Major trend line broken with SW strength

On Monday I posted this

and now we see the Drop, EURCAD* is up over 100 pips , mark that down as a winner

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Another big day for CAD, CADJPY will be our new Top Trade

Stocks are acting like they have put in a bottom here, and the risk-on trade is being lead my CAD

Markets have been having bad weeks following good weeks, I sure would like to see two good weeks in a row before I jump in

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