Which model of market do y use?For example y have hypotesis market is in flat 90% of time and 10% of time in trend
You recognise low volatility periods(flat) and unusual movements which show be described like start of trend?
What do y using to recognise in which state are market now?
Which rules i should use?
Do y using indicators to recognise small volatility(flat period)?
Or y using your eye?
When you know exactly that new trend start(and it is not just error,noise better than 3 sigma historical period for previus 5 minutes for example?
2/What do y using for short term volatility prediction?
I and also Trading Central use M30 14-RSI to determine trend - if the value is around 45-55, market is “flat”. Also look for bollinger band width increasing and the price relative to bands.
To confirm the trend look the 50 and 200 moving average directions…
Also classic PA geometry is useful - keep the strong supports and resistances in mind, and check if the price respects some trend line.
Trading Central has quite nice help on technical analysis, all brokers don’t have access to it though.