Thread Title: [TW] 10-31-2011 - EUR/USD (Long) by PureMuscle
EUR/USD, H4
[U]Long or Short:[/U] Long
[U]Entry Point:[/U] 1.4156 (market)
[U]Stop Loss:[/U] 1.4070 (below the 38.2 fib level)
[U]Profit Target/s:[/U] 1.4350, 1.4400
[U]Reward-to-risk Ratio:[/U] 2.33/3.33: 1
[U]Risk percentage:[/U] 1%
[U]Indicators used:[/U] Chart pattern (Pennant); Fibonacci retracement
[U]Trade Rationale:[/U]
Alright, so I’m really going out on a limb here, since no one really knows what is going to happen next after this massive rally.
Fundamental:
Not much to go on besides the current positive sentiment, which seems to build more based on positive info coming from either Europe or the US. Things in Europe are essentially improving, in my mind at least.
Technical:
The price has consolidated solidly on Friday, and has formed a pennant on the H4 chart. This could break on Monday and lead to a further bullish move upwards.
From what I can see, it looks as though the trend is still holding, and the price will come down a bit and then lift higher again.
[U]Trade Adjustments:[/U] Obviously this trade will depend heavily on sentiment, and should bad news come out of Europe, it may end any hopes of a further upwards push.