[TW] 11-11-2011 EUR/USD (Short) by Pip Devil

I’m back!

EUR/USD 1-Hour

See chart here:


Long or Short: Short
Entry Point: 61.8% Fib or 1.3700
Stop Loss: 1.3750 (above Fib)
Profit Target/s: 1.3550 (but scale out every 100 pips to be safe and move stop also)
Reward-to-risk Ratio: up to 3:1
Risk percentage: 2%
Indicators used: None
Trade Rationale:

Fundamental:

  • Risk aversion
  • Uncertainty surrounding euro zone debt crisis

Technical:

  • The recent move up seems to only be a retracement.
  • 1.3700 is both a Fib level and a major level (two 0s)

Test trend line’s resistance


I agree with the short EU, but

Why wait for 1.3700? It is 1.3748 at the moment.
Stop @ 1.3750? Why here?
Why not target @ 1.3500?

My idea, I don’t trade anything that requires a stop of 50 pips.
Risk % is nice according to the books, in real trading it is not workable.

If I would trade a short here it would be:

Short: @ 1.3750
Target: 1.3500
Stop: none
Risk: low

We are trading roughly in a grid 1.3900 - 1.3450
Technical: trend is down
Fundamental: trend is down