The Canadian employment report out on Friday is expected to be positive and I am rather bearish on this currency pair. The USDCAD has rallied strongly and broke out from previous resistance, but I think we will see a correction in this currency pair. The bullish pressures on the Canadian Dollar after a strong employment report coupled with the current chart formation should allow for a 200+ pips correction. That is just my take on it and please do not take it as a recommendation you should follow blindly.
Technical analysis of USD/CAD dated 2015.01.06
USD/CAD was in a strong and consistent uptrend during the recent weeks that buyers were successful in achieving the highest price of 1.18355.Price by reaching to the round resistance level of 1.18000 and the resistance edge of up channel has stopped from more ascend that shows buyers used this price level to exit their trades.There are Shooting Star candlestick pattern and also Harami Pattern in top price of 1.18355 that warns the potential for formation of a successful top price and Vulnerability of ascending trend for buyers.With close of the next bearish candle, this signal will be fix.
As it is obvious in the picture below, there is AB=CD harmonic pattern with ratios of 61.8 and 161.8 between the bottom price of 1.01841 and the top price of 1.18355 that warns changing price direction from D point.RSI indicator in Daily time frame is in saturation buy area and warns about descending of price according to the next cycle during the next days.(and confirms the harmonic D point)Generally until the Top price of 1.18355 is preserved, there is the possibility of decrease and descend of price in this currency pair.
USD/CAD was in a strong and consistent Uptrend during the recent months that Buyers were successful in obtaining the highest price of 1.27981.price with reaching to the important round level of 1.28000 has stopped from more ascend( Buyers used this level to exit their trades) and with formation of a top price in weekly time frame has prepared a field for descending of price.
According to the formation types of price movements on the chart, there is a descending Bat harmonic pattern and by completion of the D point of this pattern, there will be a warning for descending and changing price direction.Generally according to the current situation, until the top price of 1.27981 is preserved, there is the potential for ascending of price and reformation of ascending trend.RSI indicator in weekly time frame is in saturation Buy area and warns the possibility of stopping of the ascending trend by the next cycle.
