This is a way out there prediction but if you look at the Cable and Fiber’s August lows and price did in fact reverse on both of the pairs in the OTE’s at the TT’s 262% extension, we would have a huge SMT Divergence were the Cable would break below the Aug. lows and Fiber wouldn’t be able to break below it’s August lows.
I’m not saying this to be condescending, or mean or anything, but as a new trader, you really should focus more on learning at the beginnning of the thread, and those trading concepts first. Selling at the high of the day above the CPP, or buying at the low of the day below the CPP. Those are the highest probability trades, which is why ICT started us off with those trades. If you try to keep up with the thread before you learn how to trade the concepts first introduced, it will probably have an adverse effect on your trading and learning curve. Once you try to trade on information overload, you will see your account balance dipping way down. If you are intent on learning about fib extensions in the TT, there is a recent video explaining it.
I think it’s a good idea to keep a watch on it to see what happens. If a 4 hour divergence occurs, it will be nothing short of a big move. Check your charts for past 4 hr divergences. I keep a 15 min and a 4 hr overlay open to keep watch, and change my 4 hr to 1 hr periodically. Now that AK mentions the weekly chart, it probably would not hurt to watch for a weekly divergence as well. Does anyone have a link to the seasonal tendencies chart that was posted some time ago? I have not been able to find it
hey buck, i believe that chart was from ICT himself lol…i didnt personally find it anywhere, it was in a video i think ?
Either that or someone else posted it up from another source…sorry i really can’t remember:33:, i just took a “screenshot” image of it , and then saved it into the never-ending forex files on my computer
There’s a 14day trial, I think I’ll check it out and see if I can find the seasonal chart for Fiber muahaha
edit:
Okay, I actually signed up and I’m seeing [B]up-to-date[/B] seasonal tendencies charts. Quite amazing, there is option for 5-year/15-year/30-year seasonal tendency on Cable. The chart ICT provided in his powerpoint is from 1975-1999, so technically 11 years of data is missing from that. Maybe this older data is good enough? The latest and greatest is available however for $50/month…hah I intend to take them up on their 14day refund because I can’t afford that just yet
edit2:
Found a great article titled “Why Seasonals Work” while looking around the Moore Research site… Why Seasonals Work
“You take the blue pill, the story ends, you wake up in your bed, and believe whatever you want to believe.
You take the red pill, you stay in Wonderland, and I show you just how deep the rabbit hole goes.”
-Morpheus , The Matrix