XAUUSD Analysis Today

I’m expecting gold to push toward 4200 from the 4039 level. I entered a long position at 4039 and I’m currently up over $5,000 on a standard lot.

What’s your outlook?

Gold is holding above $4,115 as investors turn to safe-haven assets ahead of two major US releases this week: the Fed meeting minutes tonight and the delayed jobs report on Thursday.

Both will guide expectations for the Fed’s next policy step. Early signals point to a divided committee, while the jobs report is expected to show modest hiring of roughly 50,000 after recent increases in unemployment claims.

Expectations for a December rate cut have cooled, with markets now pricing a 46% chance compared with 63% last week. Ongoing concerns about stretched tech valuations are also weighing on risk appetite, helping support gold as equities trade with a softer tone.

In summary, safe-haven demand, policy uncertainty, and fragile tech sentiment continue to keep gold supported within its current range.

Gold Softens After Jobs Report

Gold fell to about $4,060 on Friday and is poised for a small weekly loss as expectations for a December Fed rate cut weakened after the delayed jobs report. September payrolls rose 119,000, beating forecasts, while unemployment increased to 4.4% and wages grew 3.8%, pointing to a cooling but steady labor market. With October data folded into November and Fed officials urging caution, the probability of a December cut has dropped to about 40%.

From a technical view, support is seen near $4025, while resistance is positioned around $4110.

R1: 4110 S1: 4025
R2: 4150 S2: 3990
R3: 4215 S3: 3950

Hello
Do you think we’ll break 4,000 down?