âI have an alternative strategy in the November competition if anyone is interested in reading/voting.â
No thanks.
âDonât shoot me down but it is not VSA ⌠lolâ
Bang, bang.
âSHI channel strategy.â
uggh.
âDidnât see the reversal coming this afternoonâŚâ
Obviously lol.
âI have a way to go before I get VSA sussed. Ah well next week is another week - only trading this on demo at present anyways⌠Back to the books and Peteâs videoâs look interesting too - will have a look at those tonightâ
Iâm just having fun with you man, good luck. :13:
I knew this sell off was coming. Just want to make sure I was interpreting it correctly. During the European session, the price was moving up, but volume was shrinking. So thatâs weakness right? There were a lot of pins over the course of this week on top of the bars, so thatâs SM selling into the rallys, establishing nice short positions? Mid week, the down moves had shrinking volume, how am I to interpret that?
Alright you guys - look I get the idea. I posted this trade idea before I found the VSA thread and started my real forex education. Letâs move on - Iâm sure we can still be friends
Traderjoo Iâm not sure why you are trying to analyze by looking at âshrinkingâ volume. Try applying the principles I teach in my videos on the 1hr chart.
What screams at you is Wednesdays VERY wide spread/high volume up candle, with a bearish reaction. That is a huge (literally) sign of weakness. At that point itâs the start of distribution by definition. (unless price weâre to continue up, but no)
Thursday had significant volume increases/pins when testing that high (weakness again), and friday was text book news manipulation, upthrust/fake break to end the distribution and start the markdown phase.
Now that itâs mark down phase, we look to sell rallies and NDs next week, unless we see large stopping volume to stop a down moveâŚthat would show us demand coming in.
I made this quick cheat sheet i have printed and put next to the screen to help me as i was getting a little confused sometimes even though I have been through the videos loads. Might be of use to someone, newbie like me
A âtestâ is a very general term so it depends where itâs testing. In the case of a buy climax, you may have a range that sets up to follow it. The bottom of that range would show remaining demand stopping the down move, so logically a ND test (low volume) would be ideal there to shortâŚwhich is a common setup. Break/low volume test/continuation.
You could also call a shakeout a testâŚon that we want to see high volume.
My video on nd/ns should help clear it up, as well as videos coming in the near future. If you have a specific question about a test, post a chart and weâll take a look.
Hang on now, can we clarify here, I understand it as a thrust being a fake move and so looking at a price reversal, but if itâs a fake thrust, does that mean itâs a fake fake so price will continue?
No problem, I just thought it was mentioned before and wanted to double check, yes I agree and looking at the chart now, itâs about ready to go short I think.
Hey guys, Iâm just getting on now. Maybe some caught that ND short for a decent scalp. It bounced right off smaller fib. though so maybe weâll get a test of the 1hr 61.8 soon and another shortâŚwith a bigger move as a result.
I have to note that the 1hr background, or âphaseâ is simply a range, as Iâve talked about. Looking at the 1hr, friday DID hit stopping volume on the down move, showing buying from there. However, we know there is weakness at the higher prices of last week. As long as we look to sell high and buy low as usual, we have no problem with a range.
I caught that one for about 18 pips. Iâm also watching this now and a high volume test on 61.8 would just be great! I donât think I made a single trade last week, maybe one though⌠I would really love some more action this week