Well yes its consolidating the last couple a days, shown better on smaller time frames. The tweezer bottom its now showing at the past resistance level strengthen my bullish bias. I will be looking for long entries in the week ahead.
I entered Long after the tweezer bottoms formation on the 1H time frame. However I was a bit skeptic about the trade(I should stay out) seen that theres a counter down trend line above which 40% of the time acts as resistance, so I exit early below the counter TL for just 60 pips. I should stay with the long seen that daily is saying Long with those nice tweezer bottoms. I’m now looking for a break and test of the counter down TL.
Opened a short eur/jpy position earlier this morning due to head and shoulders pattern in the Dow on a 1 hour chart. Up about 30 pips at this point, so will move to break even, but the fact that stocks have moved from positive back to neutral is promising for the trade.
Back to the markets, from the hiatus. Held onto EUR/JPY from last thursday. I’m thinking a break of 132 could mean a drop to 130. Interesting article on the “september effect” for stocks that could have an impact on JPY pairs for this month September Effect Could Push S&P 500 Lower, Japanese Yen Higher
Head and shoulders from last week’s Dow chart panned out. Looks like next step for the Dow could be 9125 and EUR/JPY has broken through the 62% retracement level if you look at a 4 hour chart . A full retracement would target 128.
I agree with that reversal. We now have a reversal crown on the daily which is a strong bullish reversal formation. Also counter down trend line has been broken and gave entry on 1H. I’m looking for it run to the fib. extension 127/81.00.
Considering my recent performance in the JPY crosses, I’m not touching the JPY pairs just yet :D. Do less of what’s not working, right?
The failure of GBP/JPY to rally with equities is disturbing. Maybe the reality of a struggling UK economy is setting in since the GBP pair in general hasn’t rallied that hard along with the other pairs vs. the dollar.
I still like AUD for the fundamentals but would rather trade it against the USD myself.
I understand what you are saying. I was also anticipating a rally on the gbpjpy but its now trading below an up trend line while the eurjpy, nzdjpy and audjpy has shown bullish potential. Guess its as you said, UK struggling economy. I pay little/no attention to fundamentals so I’ll continue take what the charts gives.