The XRPUSD pair is trading within a wide descending channel. At the beginning of last month, the instrument reversed from its upper limit and declined to the area of 0.6000, where it is at the moment.
The market is waiting for the results of today’s meeting of the US Fed, at which the interest rate may be raised from 0.50% to 1.00%, and a decision has been made to reduce the regulator’s balance sheet. Any hint of a slowdown in the pace of monetary policy tightening due to the threat of a possible recession may be perceived positively by investors and push the quotes of the digital asset up. In these circumstances, the news concerning the trial of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple recedes into the background, however, it is worth noting the recent comments of the head of the company Brad Garlinghouse, who in an interview with Fox Business channel expressed the hope that the court will make a positive decision on the case by the end of this year. Nevertheless, most experts are inclined to believe that this will happen no earlier than the beginning of 2023, since the regulator is delaying the process in every possible way.
We also note the publication of the Ripple report for Q1 2022, according to which the growth in popularity of the On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service based on XRP led to an increase in the volume of transactions to 15B dollars. Given the likely tightening of US monetary policy, these data are unlikely to be able to provide significant support for XRP.
Technically, the price is close to the key level for the “bears” 0.5859 (Murray [0/8]), which acts as a fairly strong support, since it has been repeatedly but unsuccessfully tested by bidders in January. If the price consolidates below it, the decline will continue to the levels of 0.5371 (Murray [-1/8]) and 0.4883 (Murray [-2/8]), otherwise the quotes will be able to resume the upward dynamics and return to the levels of 0.6836 (Murray [2/8], the middle line of the Bollinger Bands), 0.7324 (Murray [3/8], the upper boundary of the descending channel).
The downward trend persists, which is signaled by a downward reversal of the Bollinger Bands and an increase in the MACD histogram in the negative zone, but the Stochastic is directed upwards, which does not exclude a corrective growth.
Resistance levels: 0.6348, 0.6836, 0.732 | Support levels: 0.5859, 0.5371, 0.4883