Decline within the general market trend
ADAUSD is actively declining as part of the general market dynamics, being at 0.6448.
On the global chart of the asset, the price is trading in a stable downtrend, turning into a full-fledged trend at the end of March after overcoming the Fibonacci 61.8% full retracement level at 1.2230. However, recently the quotes have been actively rising, having reached the level of an initial Fibonacci retracement of 23.6% at 0.6400, in case of fixing above which the local growth will continue until reaching the level of a complete Fibonacci retracement of 61.8% (0.9298).
Technical indicators confirm a likely upside scenario, reversing towards growth: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator have already crossed the signal line from below and began to expand the range of fluctuations, while the AO oscillator histogram has moved into the buy zone, having overcome the zero level, and continuing to form rising bars.
Resistance levels: 0.7480, 0.9298 | Support levels: 0.4546, 0.3
ETH USD, H4
On the four-hour chart, the Bear flag price pattern formed, which has completely completed its formation, reaching 1079.74. At this support level, sellers met resistance caused by forming a “bullish” Engulfing pattern, which included a reversal model of the Hammer candlestick analysis. In this situation, it is obvious that the asset is strongly oversold, and the “bulls” will be able to win back part of the lost positions successfully. After the breakout of the resistance level of 1429.97, the upward dynamics will continue to the area of 1746.30–2153.01. If the support level of 1079.74 is held, the quotes may go down to 898.98–565.22.
ETH USD, D1
On the daily chart, the Downwards triangle price pattern has completed its formation, and now there is the formation of a “bearish” Three black crows candlestick analysis pattern, which signals a continuation of the downtrend. At the support level of 1079.74, a Hammer reversal pattern is formed, indicating a possible reaching of the base price. After successfully forming this pattern, the scenario with an upward trend seems to be the most probable. Consolidating of the “bullish” positions above the resistance level of 1429.97 will allow the asset to head higher to the range of 1746.30–2153.01.
Resistance levels: 1429, 1746, 2153 | Support levels: 1079, 898, 565
XRP USD, the downtrend continues
Although the court hearings between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the case of an unregistered sale of securities under the guise of XRP tokens for a total of 1.3B dollars are still ongoing, the company is actively developing and offers its partnership to large international brands. So, yesterday, the Brazilian platform for international transfers, Remessa Online, announced that it was able to significantly increase its cross-border payment traffic thanks to the cooperation with Ripple, which supplies enterprise blockchain solutions based on RippleNet technology.
Yesterday it became known that the popular wallet for storing coins, Xumm Wallet launched an update, thanks to which its users could make transactions from XRPL accounts, avoiding entering a login and password. The solution also allows users to issue a limited set of rights, which significantly increases the safety of user data.
In general, despite the general fundamental background, cryptocurrency quotes are declining, like the entire market, and there are still few prospects for growth, especially yesterday, the US Federal Reserve meeting, the decision of which may strengthen the position of the US dollar, which is the quoted currency in the pair.
Asset quotes are falling within the global downward channel, approaching the support line. Technical indicators maintain a stable sell signal: indicator Alligator’s EMA oscillation range is quite wide, and the histogram of the AO oscillator forms downward bars in the negative zone.
Resistance levels: 0.3712, 0.5022 | Support levels: 0.2785, 0.2
ADA USD, trading within a local downtrend
On the global chart of the asset, the price is in a stable downtrend, continuing unsuccessful attempts to break the year’s low of 0.4340, which significantly increases the likelihood of a more significant rebound and upward correction. After the completion of this local growth, the downward dynamics may increase to the initial trend of 61.8% on the Fibonacci extension, around 0.1555.
At the four-hour time interval, trading is taking place within the Expanding formation pattern, within which the formation of the fourth wave has begun, which should become ascending, reaching the resistance line around 0.8731.
Technical indicators confirm the probable upward scenario, reversing upwards: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator began to actively approach the signal line, narrowing the range of fluctuations, and the AO oscillator histogram is close to the transition level, although it forms bars with a downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.6451, 0.8731 | Support levels: 0.4340, 0.1554
Read more market news
BTCUSD, the crypto market remains under pressure
The BTC USD pair continues its rapid decline for the third week in a row and fell below the 18000 mark, but currently the price has returned to the 20000 area, which is seen as key for investors.
The main factor of pressure on the cryptocurrency sector is still the sharp tightening of the monetary policy of the US Fed, which creates serious risks of recession in the American economy. As a result, bidders are increasingly abandoning risky assets, including investing in shares of technology companies and cryptocurrencies. It should be noted that at present, the stocks of focused on the digital sector MicroStrategy, Coinbase, Silvergate Capital and others are subject to the greatest negative impact. Thus, the loss of MicroStrategy due to the fall of the market amounted to 1B dollars. Last week, it also became known that the cryptocurrency hedge fund Three Arrows Capital is exploring the possibility of selling its assets, and the Asian-focused crypto lender Babel Finance announced the suspension of work.
In general, digital assets are under serious pressure, and the situation will continue to worsen as the US Fed further increases interest rates.
Technically, the key zone for the “bears” is 20000 - 18750. If it breaks down, the decline can continue to 15625 (Murray [1/8]), 12500 (Murray [0/8]) and 10000. With a breakout of the level of 21875 (Murray [3/8]), an increase in the area of 25000 (Murray [4/8], the middle line of the Bollinger Bands) is not excluded, but it is unlikely to lead to a reversal of the current downward trend, the persistence of which is confirmed by technical indicators: the Bollinger Bands are reversing downwards, and the MACD histogram is stable in the negative zone.
Resistance levels: 21875, 25000, 31250 | Support levels: 20000, 18750, 15625, 12500, 10000
ETH USD - Murray analysis
The ETHUSD pair continues to trade within a wide descending channel and last week fell to its lower border in the area of the lowest values since December 2020 at 880.
Currently, the price is making an attempt to grow, but for a serious recovery it needs to break above the level of 1562.5 (the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, Fibo retracement of 23.6%, Murray [1/8]). In this case, the movement will continue to the levels of 1875 (Fibo retracement of 38.2%, Murray [2/8]) and 2187.5 (Fibo retracement of 38.2%, Murray [3/8], the upper line of the Bollinger Bands). The key for the “bears” remains the level of 937.50 (Murray [-1/8]), at the breakdown of which the downward dynamics will continue to the area of 625.00 (Murray [-1/8]), 500. The current downward trend persists: the Bollinger Bands have reversed downwards, while the Stochastic is directed upwards, and the MACD histogram is decreasing in the negative zone, which creates the probability of a corrective growth, but is unlikely to lead to a reversal of the current trend.
Resistance levels: 1562.5, 1875, 2187.5 | Support levels: 937.5, 625, 500
Read more market updates
XRP USD - Murrey analysis
The XRP USD pair is moving within a wide downward channel but has been consolidating around 0.3200 for the second week already and, unlike other leading cryptocurrencies, has not yet been able to recover significantly.
The long-term downtrend continues, but for further decline, quotes will need to break through the zone of 0.3200–0.2930. After that, the price will open the way to 0.1953 (Murrey [2/8]) and 0.0977 (Murrey [1/8], the lower border of the downwards channel). The key “bullish” level is 0.3906 (Murrey [4/8]), the breakdown of which will give the prospect of prices recovering to 0.4883 (Murrey [5/8]), 0.5859 (Murrey [6/8]).
Technical indicators do not give a single signal: Bollinger bands are directed downwards, the MACD histogram decreases in the negative zone, and Stochastic is directed upwards.
Resistance levels: 0.3906, 0.4883, 0.5859 | Support levels: 0.2930, 0.1953, 0.0977
Read more market news
ADA USD - Murray analysis
The ADA USD pair continues to trade within the framework of a long-term downtrend. At the beginning of this week, the quotes attempted to grow, rising to the area of 0.5065, but then resumed the decline.
The key for the “bears” is the support zone 0.4310-0.3906 (Fibo retracement of 0.0%, Murray [4/8]), at the breakdown of which the cryptocurrency will fall to the area of 0.2929 (Murray [3/8]) and 0.1953 (Murray [2/8]). Meanwhile, the middle line of the Bollinger Bands (0.5257) is an important benchmark for the “bulls”. Consolidation of the price above it will allow the quotes to continue the corrective growth to the levels of 0.6202 (Fibo retracement of 23.6%) and 0.7361 (Fibo retracement of 38.2%).
Further downward dynamics of quotations seems preferable, which is confirmed by technical indicators: the Bollinger Bands and the Stochastic are reversing downwards, the MACD histogram is stable in the negative zone.
Resistance levels: 0.5257, 0.6202, 0.7361 | Support levels: 0.3906, 0.2929, 0.1953
BTC USD - Murray analysis
The BTC USD pair continues to trade within the framework of a long-term downtrend, however, over the past week the price has consolidated around 21000, waiting for additional drivers of movement.
The key for the “bulls” is the resistance zone 21875-23000 (Murray [3/8], the middle line of the Bollinger Bands), with a breakout of which we can expect the price to return to 28125 (Murray [5/8], Fibo expansion 61.8%) and 31250 (Murray [6/8]). Otherwise, the decline in quotations will resume to the levels of 16900 (Fibo extension 100.00%), 12500 (Murray [0/8]), 10000.
The further development of the current trend is confirmed by technical indicators: the Bollinger Bands are reversing downwards, the Stochastic has also approached the overbought zone, and the MACD histogram is decreasing in the negative zone, not excluding an upward correction, but its potential is seen to be limited.
Resistance levels: 21875, 23000, 28125, 31250 | Support levels: 16900, 12500, 10000
XRP USD - Murrey analysis
An important support level of 0.2930 (Murrey [2/8], Fibonacci retracement 0.0%) is currently on the way of quotes, which the price has already unsuccessfully tested this month. Its breakdown will give the prospect of further decline to 0.1953 (Murrey [0/8]), 0.0977 (Murrey [–2/8]), and 0.0428 (61.8% Fibonacci extension). The key “bullish” level is 0.3906 (Murrey [4/8]). After the consolidation above it, recovery to 0.4883 (Murrey [6/8]), 0.5371 (Murrey [7/8], Fibonacci correction 23.6) may begin %), 0.5859 (Murrey [8/8]) is possible.
Technical indicators generally confirm the continuation of the downward trend: Bollinger bands and Stochastic are directed downwards, while the MACD histogram is stable in the negative zone.
Resistance levels: 0.3906, 0.4883, 0.5371, 0.5859 | Support levels: 0.2930, 0.1953, 0.0977, 0.0428.
XRP USD - Murray analysis
Currently, the price has come close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands in the area of 0.33, at the breakout of which the growth will be able to continue to the levels of 0.3906, 0.4395. The key for the “bears” remains the 0.293 mark, consolidation of the price below which will give the prospect of further decline to the level of 0.1953 (the lower limit of the descending channel.
The downward trend in the market remains, however, the upward reversal of the Stochastic does not exclude the continuation of corrective growth, but this is unlikely to lead to a reversal of the current trend.
Resistance levels: 0.3300, 0.3906, 0.4395 | Support levels: 0.2930, 0.2441, 0.1953
Read more market news
ADAUSD: the market is waiting for the launch of the Vasil update in the main network
Currently, the dynamics of the instrument is influenced by two opposite factors. The traditional pressure on the entire digital asset sector is exerted by the tightening of the monetary policy of the US Fed, which increases the risks of recession in the American economy. The minutes of the last meeting of the regulator confirmed that the rate increase will continue, even despite the economic downturn. In these conditions, investors refuse risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. On the other hand, the community is waiting for the Vasil hard fork, after which the price of the ADA token is projected to rise to around 1. At the weekend, the update was launched in the test network, but the participants of the main Cardano network will be able to prepare for it after at least four weeks. Thus, the fork is expected no earlier than the end of July. The update will increase the speed of operations, expand the possibilities of using smart contracts, as well as launch stable coins based on the Cardano blockchain, which in general should affect its popularity and support the position of ADA.
The key for the “bulls” is the 0.4882 mark, the breakout of which will give the prospect of further growth to 0.586) and 0.62. If the support zone breaks down 0.4310-0.3906, the decline will continue to the levels 0.2929 and 0.1953. Technical indicators do not give a single signal: the Bollinger Bands are horizontal and consolidate, as happens before a serious price movement, the MACD histogram is stable in the negative zone, and the Stochastic is directed upwards.
Resistance levels: 0.4882, 0.586, 0.62 | Support levels: 0.3906, 0.2929, 0.1953
Trust Score 4.9
Read more market news
BTCUSD Technical Analysis
Bitcoin closed slightly above $21,835 this morning. Stochastic and RSI are in overbought zone. Resistance is at $22,515, with a hold of this level the price is expected to decline to $20,000 - $18,629.
Trading idea
Sell targeting $20,000 - $18,600 | SL: $22,515
Read more market news
ETHUSD - Murray analysis
The ETHUSD pair is trading within a wide long-term descending channel, however, in the last three weeks the decline has slowed down, and the price has formed a sideways range of 1000 -1250. Currently, the quotes are close to its lower limit, the breakdown of which will allow the downward movement to continue to the levels of 750, 500 (the lower band of the descending channel). With a breakout of 1250, growth will be able to resume to the area of 1500, 1750.
The long-term downward trend in the asset remains, however, to strengthen it, quotes need to break through the current side channel. This may take some more time, which is confirmed by technical indicators illustrating the uncertainty of the market: the Bollinger Bands are horizontal, the MACD histogram is stable in the negative zone, and the Stochastic is directed downwards, but close to the oversold zone, which can become a catalyst for a reversal.
Resistance levels: 1250, 1500, 1750 | Support levels: 1000, 750, 500
Trust Score 4.9
Read more market news