How Can You Trade Using Order Flow? 3 Trading Strategies
Understanding the intricacies of order flow trading unlocks the door to deeper market insights, revealing not just the movements of prices but the forces driving them. In this FXOpen article, we’ll explore how order flow works, its components, and how it can be used within three comprehensive trading strategies.
Understanding Order Flow Trading
Understanding order flow in trading involves examining where buy and sell orders might rest in the market. Essentially, it’s about understanding the action behind price movements rather than just the movements themselves. At its core, order flow reveals where traders are placing their orders and at what price, offering a glimpse into the potential future direction of the market based on the current levels of buy and sell orders.
When traders talk about order flow, they’re looking at the accumulation of these orders at various price levels, which can indicate areas of strong buying or selling pressure.
TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains While USD/CHF Regains Strength
EUR/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.0900 support. USD/CHF is rising and might aim a move toward the 0.9000 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today
- The Euro struggled to clear the 1.0950 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0870 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8900 resistance zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8910 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.0950 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0900 support against the US Dollar.
The pair declined below the 1.0875 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0840 level. A low was formed at 1.0841 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0896 swing high to the 1.0841 low at 1.0855.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
How Will the BoC’s Decision Affect the Currency Market?
The USD/CAD pair has been strengthening for the third consecutive week and is currently approaching the upper boundary of the three-month range of 1.3850-1.3600. The strength of the pair’s buyers is quite significant, which could lead to a consolidation above 1.3850 and a continued rise towards the psychological level of 1.4000. However, the news background for the upcoming trading sessions is so saturated that it could lead to either a strengthening of the current trends or the formation of reversal patterns:
- today at 16:45 (GMT+3) the release of the US Services PMI for July;
- today at 16:45 (GMT+3) the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision;
- today at 17:00 (GMT+3) the Bank of Canada’s press conference;
- today at 17:00 (GMT+3) the release of US New Home Sales data for June.
Experts surveyed by Reuters suggest that the Canadian regulator will not only cut the rate by 0.25% at today’s meeting but may also announce two more rounds of rate cuts by the end of the current year.
Technical analysis of the USD/CAD pair indicates the possibility of further growth, as the “hammer” pattern formed on 11th July remains relevant on the daily timeframe. In the event of a rebound from 1.3850, a corrective decline to 1.3760-1.3730 is possible.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Brent Crude Oil Price Is Declining Amid De-Escalation in the Middle East
On 8th July, we noted that oil prices were forming a large narrowing triangle, originating from 2022-2023, with its upper boundary being a significant resistance point.
As shown on the Brent oil price chart (XBR/USD), bulls have since failed to overcome the upper boundary resistance around $87. Subsequently, the price:
→ turned downwards, breaking the blue upward trend line;
→ eventually breached the support level at $84, which we highlighted on 8th July;
→ Formed a descending channel (indicated in red).
Bearish sentiment is driven by:
→ news of increased oil inventories;
→ reduced tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that an agreement with Hamas on hostage release is “maturing.”
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GOOGL Shares Decline After Report
Yesterday, Alphabet released its Q2 report:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $1.89, forecast = $1.847;
→ Gross revenue: actual = $84.742 billion, forecast = $84.208 billion.
The actual figures exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, today in pre-market trading, GOOGL’s price fluctuates around $178.60 per share, down from $183.60 at yesterday’s close. Investors might be disappointed by YouTube’s ad sales growth falling short of expectations ($8.7 billion versus the projected $8.9 billion).
It appears that GOOGL shares will join other tech companies whose stocks are losing ground in the stock market.
On 18th July, analysing NVDA’s chart, we noted that the bears had the initiative. On 19th July, we pointed out bearish signs on META’s stock charts. And on 22nd July, we highlighted bearish signs on MSFT’s price chart.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Order Imbalance Is and How To Use It in a Trading Strategy
Understanding the nuances of order imbalances is key for traders looking to navigate the ebb and flow of asset prices. Order imbalances provide a clear window into the supply and demand dynamics at play, offering strategic insights. This article delves into the intricacies of order imbalances, their causes, and a practical strategy for leveraging these market phenomena.
Understanding Order Imbalances
Order imbalance, a fundamental concept in forex, crypto*, commodity, and stock markets, refers to a situation where there is a disproportionate number of buy or sell orders for a particular asset. This imbalance of orders can significantly influence asset prices, pushing them up or down depending on the direction of the imbalance. Known also as fair value gaps, they offer a window into the underlying supply and demand dynamics shaping the market at any given moment.
TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
Nasdaq Composite: Worst Session Since Late 2022
As indicated by the Nasdaq Composite chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), yesterday’s decline was -2.62% in a single session.
Thus, tech stocks experienced the sharpest drop since late 2022, with around 75% of companies in the Nasdaq Composite index closing in the red.
Alphabet (GOOG) shares, the parent company of Google, fell by 4.9% due to higher-than-expected AI expenses and disappointing YouTube advertising revenues.
Tesla (TSLA) shares dropped by 12% due to a 7% decline in automotive revenue, missed earnings, and delays in the Robotaxi project.
Chipmaker stocks also suffered losses.
What is the reason for the Nasdaq Composite (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) price decline?
According to Business Insider, renowned Wall Street investor Ed Yardeni believes that:
→ Major market players started exiting tech stocks on July 11, as news of low inflation motivated them to rotate and shift capital into stocks sensitive to the anticipated interest rate cuts;
→ The stock market is overbought and undergoing a minor correction.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Analysis of USD/JPY: Yen Strengthens by 5.5% Against US Dollar in 2 Weeks
On Thursday, 11 July, the USD/JPY exchange rate was above 161, and today it is below 153.
According to Reuters, this could be attributed to effective intervention by the Bank of Japan.
While intervention was anticipated when the yen weakened to extreme levels not seen since 1983, Tokyo authorities were cryptic in their comments, maintaining uncertainty, making it harder for investors to predict when and how they might intervene.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks and How To Trade Them
In the intricate world of trading, especially within the forex markets, understanding the mechanics behind order blocks and breaker blocks is paramount. These concepts, rooted in the actions of institutional participants, offer a window into the potential future price movements. In this article, we’ll explore what these critical areas are and how to use them effectively.
What Is an Order Block in Trading?
An order block, also known as a supply or demand zone, represents a significant area on the price chart where large market participants, such as banks or institutional traders, have placed substantial buy or sell orders. They’re crucial in understanding the flow and direction of an asset, as they often precede notable movements in price. Particularly in the realm of forex, where the magnitude of transactions can be immense, identifying these zones can provide traders with a strategic edge.
TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
Analysis of AMZN Stock: Price at 1.5-Month Low
As shown in the AMZN chart, the stock price dropped below:
→ the psychological level of $180;
→ the mid-June interim low.
The last time AMZN traded below $180 was in early June.
Thus, AMZN has faced sell-offs, similar to other tech stocks whose charts we’ve published this week. A widely mentioned reason for the sell-offs is investor rotation, moving capital from overbought tech stocks to shares in other sectors.
Will AMZN’s price drop further?
Fundamentally, bulls might find hope in speculation that:
→ the company might start paying dividends. Rumours suggest the company has accumulated $100 billion in cash;
→ Amazon in Austin, Texas, is developing its own AI chip to compete with Nvidia.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Analysis of AUD/USD: Exchange Rate Falls to Early May Low
As indicated by the 4-hour AUD/USD chart today:
→ the rate fell below 0.652, a level last seen on May 2;
→ the RSI indicator dropped below 15, a level last seen during the panic over the spread of COVID-19 in spring 2020.
The weakening of the Australian dollar could be linked to participants’ expectations of upcoming news:
→ the US Core PCE Price Index will be published today at 15:30 GMT+3;
→ next week, Australian inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision (both events scheduled for Wednesday) will be released.
Is further decline in the AUD/USD rate possible?
It is possible that the release of significant news could trigger a surge in volatility, causing the AUD/USD rate to fall below the recent monthly low of 0.652.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Watch FXOpen’s 22 - 26 July Weekly Market Wrap Video
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Nasdaq, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, Crude Oil, Alphabet Inc. Shares
Get the latest scoop on the week’s hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.
- Nasdaq Composite: Worst Session since Late 2022
- Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains While USD/CHF Regains Strength
- Brent Crude Oil Price is Declining amid De-escalation in the Middle East
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Decline after Earnings Report
Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.
Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.
Don’t miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.
FXOpen YouTube
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo
MA Trading Strategies for Experienced Traders
Despite their simplicity, moving average (MA) trading strategies remain popular with experienced traders looking to refine their market analysis. This article delves into various MA types and four advanced MA strategies, including moving average ribbons, envelopes, and channels, providing actionable insights to potentially boost trading performance.
Moving Average Indicators: Advanced Types
This is a short overview of moving averages (MAs). If you already know this, please scroll down and learn advanced types of MAs and comprehensive trading strategies.
Moving averages are fundamental tools used by traders to smooth out price data and identify trends. By averaging the price over a specified period, MAs help traders filter out the noise from random price fluctuations, providing a clearer picture of the underlying market direction.
Traders use moving averages in various ways, such as determining trend direction, identifying potential support and resistance levels, and confirming other technical indicators. They can also help in spotting reversals and momentum changes. Below are the most notable moving averages that traders can use to construct a strategy.
TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
The Price of Natural Gas Finds Support. But for How Long?
On 21 June, we wrote that the trend in the market was weakening, noting that:
→ Forecasts of a hotter summer, published during April-May, led to a sustained bullish trend in the natural gas market.
→ According to the technical analysis of the 4-hour XNG/USD chart and the signs of weakness that have formed on it, the level of 3.160 appears to sufficiently account for the risks of an extremely hot summer.
→ Bears might push the price to the lower boundary of the ascending trend channel.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Oscillator Indicators for Experienced Traders (No RSI and MACD)
In the realm of technical trading, seasoned traders and beginners alike often turn to indicators to gauge market momentum and potential reversals. While many are familiar with popular tools like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), this article takes a different route. Here, we delve into other oscillators—each with its own unique features, significance in trading strategies, and methods for interpreting signals. Once you understand these instruments, you can open an FXOpen account to try them out on the live markets, trading with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50.
Stochastic
TO VIEW THE FULL ARTICLE, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.
McDonald’s Share Price Rises Despite Disappointing Report
On Monday, before the start of regular trading, McDonald’s reported its second-quarter results:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $2.97, expected = $3.07;
→ Gross revenue: actual = $6.49 billion, expected = $6.62 billion;
→ Net profit for the quarter was $2.02 billion, 12% less than the previous year.
The company’s management notes that consumers are limiting spending. CEO Chris Kempczinski mentioned that customers are buying fewer items per visit or opting for cheaper products. Many people prefer dining at home, a trend consistent across various regions of the world.
Nonetheless, McDonald’s share price rose by 3.7% on Monday’s trading, making it the leader of the day among Dow Jones stocks. Investors were encouraged by the following:
→ McDonald’s maintains its overall forecast for new stores, capital expenditures, and operating margin for the year, whereas, for example, the Domino’s Pizza chain announced it would reduce the number of new openings worldwide;
→ McDonald’s is seeking ways to boost sales, such as the $5 combo meal. Initially launched for just a month, this promotion has been extended through the end of summer.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Analysis of AMD Share Price Ahead of Today’s Report
The earnings season is in full swing: over 200 companies in the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) have reported their current cycle results, with average earnings up 6.5% year-on-year and revenue growth of 4.1%, according to a client note from Oppenheimer Asset Management published on Monday.
This week, investors are awaiting reports from mega-cap companies, including Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (META), and Amazon.com (AMZN). Among other major brands are Intel (INTC), Boeing (BA), Pfizer (PFE), Exxon Mobil (XOM), as well as chipmaker AMD, whose second-quarter earnings report will be released today after the close of the main trading session.
Analysts expect AMD’s earnings per share to rise from $0.62 to $0.68.
What does the AMD chart indicate?
Despite the S&P 500 index (SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rising approximately 15% in 2024, AMD’s share price remains near its January start price.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq Composite Index Reaches Key Support
Important news days are ahead, with high volatility likely in the US stock markets.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its monetary policy decision today at 21:00 GMT+3. Wall Street expects the FOMC to keep the rate unchanged at 5.25%. Traders will then analyse Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at 21:30 GMT+3 to assess the likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut in mid-September, as they anticipate.
In addition to this key news:
→ ADP will release its National Employment Report for July at 15:15 GMT+3 today. According to ForexFactory, analysts expect an increase of 146,000 jobs (excluding the agricultural sector) for the month.
→ The Institute for Supply Management will publish its Chicago Business Barometer for July today. The National Association of Realtors will release real estate market news.
→ Major companies are reporting their second-quarter results, including Meta (report due on 31 July), Apple, and Amazon (1 August).
Given that the Nasdaq Composite Index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has fallen more than 8% since 11 July, market participants might be wary of the downward trend continuing. However, the chart offers some hope for bulls.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Remains At Risk While NZD/USD Attempts Recovery
AUD/USD declined heavily from well above 0.6650. NZD/USD also tumbled and is now attempting a recovery from 0.5850.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a major decline below the 0.6610 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
- NZD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from the 0.5850 zone.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.5880 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to stay above the 0.6650 pivot zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6620 and 0.6600 levels against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below the 0.6550 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.6480 support zone. The recent low was formed near 0.6482 and the pair is now consolidating losses near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6562 swing high to the 0.6482 low.
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MSFT Share Price Plummets After Earnings Report, But It’s Not All Bad
Yesterday, after the main trading session on the Nasdaq, Microsoft released its second-quarter report:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $2.95, forecast = $2.93;
→ Gross revenue: actual = $64.72 billion, forecast = $64.38 billion.
Despite key figures exceeding analyst expectations, MSFT’s share price plummeted, falling below the psychological threshold of $400 in after-hours trading.
Investor disappointment may have been caused by the slowdown in growth of its cloud business and significant financial investments in AI infrastructure—a long-term investment with delayed payback.
Could the decline continue?
TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG
Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
