Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpenTeam]

Analysis of XAU/USD: Gold Price Rises by 5% in a Week

As shown in the XAU/USD chart, last Thursday, the price of gold dropped below $2,540. Today, however, the precious metal has surged above $2,660 per ounce.

The more than 5% weekly increase was driven by a new wave of international tensions, particularly the escalation surrounding the approval for Ukraine to use Western long-range weapons for strikes deep into Russian territory.

Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart highlights that last week’s upward reversal once again demonstrates how effectively parallel channel lines can work. During the summer, the median line of the ascending channel (marked in blue) acted as support. However, following its bearish breakout on 11 November, the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by the $2,535 level (which served as resistance in August and September), provided support for the price.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Strategies for Trading Exotic Currency Pairs

Exotic currency pairs offer unique opportunities in forex trading, combining major currencies with those from emerging or smaller economies. While they may be less frequently traded than major or minor pairs, their higher volatility can lead to significant price swings. This article delves into exotic currency pairs and trading strategies for speculating on these volatile price movements.

Understanding Exotic Currency Pairs

In the forex market, pairs are categorised into three types: major, minor, and exotic currency pairs. Exotic forex pairs typically involve one major currency paired with the currency of aУn emerging or a strong but smaller economy. They are less frequently traded compared to major or minor pairs, leading to higher volatility and potentially larger price swings. An exotic currency example is the pairing of the US Dollar (USD) with the Turkish Lira (TRY).

These pairs often exhibit unique market dynamics. For instance, political events, economic developments, or changes in commodity prices can significantly influence exotic pairs due to their local market sensitivities. This aspect can lead to both opportunities and risks for traders.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Dollar Resumes Gains Amid Weak Rivals and Fresh Economic Data

After a brief correction, the US dollar is back on an upward trajectory. The GBP/USD pair has fallen to 1.2600, USD/CAD has bounced from 1.3940 and is heading towards 1.4000, while EUR/USD is approaching 2023 lows.

USD/CAD

At the start of the trading week, dollar buyers managed to push USD/CAD up to 1.4100. However, the pair failed to consolidate above this level and lost over 150 points in subsequent sessions. Nonetheless, the 1.3940–1.3900 range, which had served as resistance for two years, acted as support.

The bounce from 1.3940 allowed buyers to form a reversal pattern, potentially paving the way for another attempt at 1.4100. A decline below 1.3900, however, could lead to a full-fledged downward correction towards the 1.3870–1.3800 range.

Key events influencing USD/CAD pricing today:

• 16:30 (GMT +3): Canadian core retail sales for October.
• 17:45 (GMT +3): US services PMI for November.
• 21:00 (GMT +3): Baker Hughes rig count data.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Drop Over 4.5% in a Single Day

As the chart shows, during yesterday’s trading session, the stock price of Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), the parent company of Google, declined by more than 4.5%. The drop was driven by regulatory pressure on the company concerning its Chrome browser, which may face a forced sale or breakup.

The US Department of Justice believes Google should end its monopoly on online search. A court case is scheduled for April next year, but the sharp decline in GOOGL’s share price reflects growing investor caution.

The technical chart for Alphabet Inc. shares reveals further reasons for concern due to several bearish indicators:
→ The price reversed downward (indicated by an arrow) from the median line of the long-term channel (shown in blue).

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

EUR/USD Breaks 2023 Low

Today’s PMI figures were released and came in worse than analysts’ expectations. The Flash Manufacturing PMI and Flash Services PMI for both Germany and France fell below the 50.0 threshold, indicating that Europe’s economy is slowing down.

This weakened the euro further and exacerbated the situation on the EUR/USD chart, which has been in a downtrend since early October (as indicated by the red channel):

→ Earlier, support near the 1.0800 level (drawn through the spring-summer lows) was breached.
→ Today, the pair fell below the psychological level of 1.0500 and beneath the 2023 low.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

How Can You Trade with an Inverted Hammer Pattern?

In trading, patterns are powerful tools, allowing traders to anticipate changes in trend direction. One such pattern is the inverted hammer, a formation often seen as a bullish signal following a downtrend. Recognising this pattern and understanding its implications can be crucial for traders looking to spot reversal opportunities. In this article, we will explore the meaning of inverted hammer candlestick, how to identify it on a price chart, and how traders can incorporate it into their trading strategies.

What Is an Inverted Hammer?

An inverted hammer is a candlestick pattern that appears at the end of a downtrend, typically signalling a potential bullish reversal. It has a distinct shape, with a small body at the lower end of the candle and a long upper wick that is at least twice the size of the body. This structure suggests that although sellers initially dominated, buyers stepped in, pushing prices higher before closing near the opening level. While the inverted hammer alone does not confirm a reversal, it’s often considered a sign of a possible trend change when followed by a bullish move on subsequent candles.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Market Analysis: Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Signal Bullish Bias

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $2,600 resistance level. WTI Crude oil prices climbed higher above $70.00 and might extend gains.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

• Gold price started a steady increase from the $2,535 zone against the US Dollar.
• A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support near $2,645 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
• WTI Crude oil prices extended gains above the $68.50 and $70.00 resistance levels.
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $70.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $2,535 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $2,600 and $2,605 resistance levels.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,675. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,700 resistance zone. Finally, the bears appeared near $2,720. A high was formed near $2,720 and the price is now consolidating gains.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Moderna (MRNA) Stock Rises 7.5% in a Single Day

Last week, shares of several major European and American vaccine manufacturers dropped in response to the appointment of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as head of the Department of Health and Human Services, given his well-known anti-vaccine stance.

This added pressure to Moderna (MRNA) shares, which have been in a downtrend (illustrated by the red channel). Since the start of 2024, they have fallen by over 50%, even as the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has gained more than 25%.

However, during Friday’s trading session, MRNA shares surged by 7.5%, making them one of the market leaders (by comparison, the S&P 500 gained approximately 0.4% on the same day).

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Finds Support at Psychological Level

As the GBP/USD chart shows today:
→ Since the start of the month, the pound has declined by approximately 2.5% against the US dollar.
→ The 1.2618 level has shifted from support to resistance (as indicated by arrows).

Bearish sentiment has also been fuelled by Friday’s UK data (according to Forex Factory):
→ Retail sales fell by 0.7% month-on-month.
→ PMI figures came in below analysts’ expectations.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

What Indicators Do Traders Use for Scalping?

Scalping is a fast-paced trading style where traders aim to take advantage of small price movements within short timeframes. Such traders often rely on technical indicators to make quick decisions. This article explores some of the most popular scalping indicators, providing insights into how they can help traders spot opportunities in fast-moving markets.

Understanding Scalping Indicators

As you know, scalping is a trading strategy where traders aim to take advantage of small price movements by executing numerous trades within short timeframes, often closing trades within a few minutes. This approach requires swift decision-making and precise timing.

Technical indicators are essential tools in this context, as they provide real-time data and insights into market trends, momentum, and volatility. Using these indicators, traders can identify optimal entry and exit points, potentially enhancing their ability to navigate the rapid pace of the market.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

How Black Friday Could Impact the Stock Market in 2024

Black Friday, one of the most anticipated and significant days in retail, falls on the Friday following Thanksgiving in the United States. This day is considered an early indicator of the success of the Christmas shopping season and can serve as a trigger for the so-called “Santa Claus rally” – a period of stock market growth typically observed from late December to early January. Let’s explore how Black Friday might influence the stock markets this year.

Fundamental Analysis
According to data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, consumer spending accounts for approximately 70% of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Many analysts view stimulating consumer spending as key to sustaining economic activity. Thus, Black Friday sales figures are often seen as a vital indicator of the nation’s economic health.

In 2024, Black Friday takes on added importance amid the Federal Reserve’s recent cycle of interest rate cuts. Consumer spending levels during the sales period will reflect the current state of the economy, which could influence the Fed’s future monetary policy direction.

Impact on the U.S. Stock Market
From 2001 to 2023, trends in the S&P 500 index around Black Friday have been variable, though generally positive. For example, the S&P 500 gained more than 1% in 2001, 2007, and 2012, while in 2009, it fell by 1.7%. This variability highlights the difficulty of finding a consistent annual pattern.

However, retail stocks often display discernible trends during this period. As noted by Yahoo Finance, some companies’ shares have shown positive momentum in the week before and after Black Friday.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

What Is a Pin Bar Candle, and How Can You Use It in Trading?

Understanding candlestick patterns is key for traders aiming to analyse market movements. One particularly insightful pattern is the pin bar candle, which can reveal crucial information about market sentiment and potential price reversals. In this article, we’ll explore what this candle is and how traders might use a pin bar trading strategy.

What Is a Pin Bar Candle?

A pin bar candle is a distinctive candlestick pattern that traders use to analyse potential market reversals. It stands out on a chart due to its unique shape: a small real body with a long wick. When a pin bar appears on a chart, it reflects a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers that resulted in a significant price rejection. This rejection is captured by a key element, the long wick, indicating that the market tested a price level but couldn’t sustain it, which marked a possible turning point.

There are two main types of pin bar candlestick: bullish and bearish. A bullish pin bar features a long lower wick and may indicate that buyers are entering the market after a period of selling pressure. This pattern signals a potential upward movement in price. Conversely, a bearish pin bar has a long upper wick, suggesting that sellers are gaining strength after sustained buying pressure, which can precede a downward price movement.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Euro and Pound Correct Ahead of Key Economic Data Releases

The start of the final trading week of November has been eventful. Several currency pairs experienced a “gap” or price difference between Friday’s close and Monday’s opening. For instance, the GBP/USD pair opened 60 pips lower, EUR/USD saw a 70-pip gap, and USD/JPY opened with a 50-pip difference. At the week’s outset, the USD faced a downward pullback, which in some pairs has since transitioned to a sideways trend. Analysts attribute this sharp retreat to market reactions following Trump’s selection of a Treasury Secretary. Scott Bessent recently stated that tariffs should be introduced gradually, and his supporters believe he could help curb the growth of the U.S. budget deficit.

EUR/USD

As anticipated, the EUR/USD pair has renewed last year’s lows, briefly trading below 1.0400. A sharp rebound from the 1.0330 level allowed buyers to regain momentum, pushing the pair up to 1.0540. Currently, the upward correction has shifted into a sideways movement within the 1.0500–1.0400 range. The next breakout with consolidation is likely to dictate the pair’s direction:

• A move above 1.0540 could prompt a test of the 1.0700–1.0800 zone.
• A break below the recent low at 1.0330 might pave the way for a test of 1.0200–1.0000.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Attempts Recovery While USD/JPY Dips

EUR/USD is recovering losses from the 1.0335 zone. USD/JPY is declining and showing bearish signs below the 154.00 level.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today

• The Euro struggled to start a fresh increase and declined below the 1.0500 zone.
• There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance at 1.0500 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 155.00 and 154.00 levels.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 153.60 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.0610 zone. The Euro declined below the 1.0550 and 1.0500 levels against the US Dollar.

The pair even declined below 1.0400 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.0335 zone. A low was formed at 1.0332 and the pair is now recovering losses. There was a move above the 1.0400 level.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

S&P 500 Index Hits a New Record

As shown on the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the stock index has reached a new record, surpassing the high set on 11 November.

Bullish sentiment on Wall Street was driven by the announcement that Trump has selected Scott Bessent, a renowned investor and hedge fund manager, as Treasury Secretary.

A technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reveals that the price is moving within two ascending channels:

→ The medium-term blue channel that began in August.
→ The short-term steeper channel (marked with black lines), which has pushed the price from the lower half of the blue channel to its upper half.
→ The decline from B to C retraced approximately 50% of the rise from A to B.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Spotify (SPOT) Shares Hover Near All-Time High

According to the Spotify (SPOT) chart:

→ The stock price has risen by over 150% since the start of 2024.
→ It has formed an ascending channel (marked in blue).
→ Growth accelerated in November, surpassing the $400 level and climbing to around $470.

The large bullish gap on 13 November followed the release of a Q3 earnings report, which fell short of expectations: earnings per share were 14% below forecast, and gross revenue was 1% lower than anticipated.

However, the market reacted enthusiastically to the company’s plans to launch a “Super-Premium” tier, offering Hi-Fi music streaming and other innovations, including features related to video.

Spotify first announced its intention to introduce a higher-end Premium subscription with features like lossless, CD-quality audio several years ago, but licensing issues delayed the rollout.

According to TechCrunch, the new tier is expected to cost approximately $17–$18 per month, about $5 more than the current Premium subscription. Investors appear optimistic about potential revenue growth, driving SPOT’s stock price to a historic high of $470.

Technical Analysis of SPOT

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Forex Market Sentiment Strategies

In forex trading, high performance often hinges not only on fundamental knowledge and technical analysis skills but also on the collective psychology of market participants. Leveraging market sentiment can thus be effective. This article discusses forex market sentiment, unravelling its nuances, exploring key indicators and sources, and offering strategies you may use to integrate sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

Understanding Forex Market Sentiment

Market sentiment in forex encompasses the collective mood and attitude of traders towards a particular currency pair. Traders often categorise market sentiment into various types, primarily:

• Bullish Sentiment: Indicates an optimistic outlook, where traders expect the price of a currency to rise.
• Bearish Sentiment: Reflects a pessimistic outlook, suggesting that participants expect a currency’s value to decline.

Market Sentiment Indicators and Sources

Sentiment analysis in trading requires research into specific indicators and data sources, allowing for the integration of market psychology with objective market data.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Dollar Declines Following Weak Macroeconomic Data

The final trading week of November may prove to be the worst this month for the US dollar. Following the release of Chicago PMI data and the US Q3 GDP report, USD/JPY and USD/CAD have fallen to key support levels.

USD/JPY

A retest of the critical resistance level at 156.00 proved decisive for USD/JPY buyers. The rejection from this level confirmed the previously formed “bearish engulfing” pattern and led to losses exceeding 400 pips. Yesterday, the price fell below the 152.00–151.50 range, which had initiated the pair’s rally after Donald Trump’s election victory. In upcoming trading sessions, this range may be retested, but now as resistance. If buyers fail to hold above 152.00, a further downtrend toward 150.00–149.00 is possible.

Key upcoming events that could shape USD/JPY’s trajectory include:

• Today at 17:00 (GMT +3): Dallas Fed Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index (US)
• Tomorrow at 02:50 (GMT +3): Japanese Industrial Production data
• Tomorrow at 17:45 (GMT +3): Chicago PMI report (US)

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Analytical Tesla Stock Predictions for 2024, 2025 – 2030 and Beyond

Tesla’s stock has experienced significant volatility since its IPO in 2010, driven by its significant technological advancements and status as a leading electric vehicle producer. This article explores Tesla’s recent price history, analyses its outlook for 2024 and 2025, and provides detailed analytical forecasts for 2026 to 2030 and beyond, offering insights into the company’s future performance and potential growth in the EV market.

Tesla’s Recent Price History

Tesla’s journey in the stock market has been marked by significant milestones and periods of volatility. Since its initial public offering (IPO) in June 2010, when it debuted at $17 per share, Tesla has seen dramatic price changes driven by key events and developments.

If you want to follow TSLA CFD price movements, head over to the TickTrader trading platform.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Brent Crude Oil Consolidates Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting

The ATR indicator on the XBR/USD chart has dropped to its lowest level since early autumn, signalling reduced volatility. This likely reflects market participants awaiting announcements from the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for 1 December.

Overall, Brent crude prices remain under pressure due to:
→ reduced tensions in the Middle East, with reports this week confirming a ceasefire agreement between Israel and the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah;
→ news of rising crude oil inventories in the U.S.;
→ forecasts of slower oil demand growth from China in 2025.

On the other hand, the $70-71 range serves as strong support, marked by key lows from 2023-2024.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.