Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Forex Correlation and Diversification Strategies

In forex trading, currency correlation and diversification strategies are vital tools for managing risk and optimising returns. This article explores the nuances of these techniques, providing traders with insights to navigate the forex market effectively using currency correlation.

Understanding Forex Correlation and Diversification

In forex trading, understanding the correlation between currencies is pivotal. This concept refers to how currency pairs move in relation to each other. For example, some pairs exhibit positive correlation, moving in tandem, while others show negative correlation, moving in opposite directions. Grasping these correlations aids traders in analysing market movements and in developing strategies that may minimise risks.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

HP Inc. (HPQ) Shares Drop 11%

HP Inc. (HPQ) shares plummeted 11% following the release of its quarterly earnings report:

→ Earnings per share (EPS): Actual = $0.93, Expected = $0.93
→ Revenue: Actual = $14.05 billion, Expected = $13.09 billion

While HP Inc.'s reported revenue and EPS aligned closely with analysts’ expectations, the market was disappointed by its forward guidance. According to FactSet, the company forecast EPS for the next quarter at $0.73, falling short of the $0.85 expected by analysts.

As a result, HPQ shares dropped below $35 for the first time since October 1. Is now the time to buy shares in this leading provider of PCs and high-tech products?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Bears Target the 150 Yen per Dollar Level

Thanksgiving in the U.S. might have been expected to bring calm to financial markets, but Forex trading in Asia tells a different story following the release of Japan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI).

According to Forex Factory:
→ Actual = 2.2%
→ Forecast = 2.0%
→ Previous = 1.8%

Signs of sustained inflation growth have spurred currency market participants to buy yen, speculating that the Bank of Japan might raise interest rates. The upcoming December meeting could see rates increased to 0.5%, which would mark the highest level since 2008.

As a result, the yen strengthened by approximately 1% today, hitting its highest level in six weeks and briefly dipping below the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Watch FXOpen’s 25 - 29 November Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: SP500, US Dollar, Brent Crude Oil, Black Friday

Get the latest scoop on the week’s hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

  • S&P 500 Index Hits a New Record
  • Dollar Declines Following Weak Macroeconomic Data
  • Brent Crude Oil Consolidates Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting
  • How Black Friday Could Impact the Stock Market in 2024

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don’t miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

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#marketwrap #marketanalysis #forexmarketanalysis #stockmarketanalysis

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

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What Is the Difference Between Brent and WTI Crude Oil for Traders?

Brent Crude and WTI are two of the most important oil benchmarks in the world, influencing global markets and trading strategies. While both represent high-quality crude, they differ in origin, composition, pricing, and market dynamics. This article explores questions like “What is Brent Crude?”, “What is WTI Crude?”, and “What is the difference between Brent and crude oil from West Texas?”, helping traders navigate their unique characteristics.

Brent Oil vs Crude Oil from West Texas

Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) are two primary benchmarks in the global oil market, each representing distinct qualities and origins.

What Is Brent Crude Oil?

Brent Crude originates from the North Sea, encompassing oil from fields between the United Kingdom and Norway, like Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll. This region’s offshore production benefits from direct access to sea routes, facilitating efficient transportation to international markets. The North Sea’s strategic location allows Brent Crude to serve as a global pricing benchmark and influence oil prices worldwide.

This blend is slightly heavier and contains more sulphur compared to WTI. Despite this, Brent Crude is extensively traded and serves as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world’s oil contracts, primarily on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Climbs Back as EUR/GBP Faces Pressure

GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave above the 1.2600 resistance. EUR/GBP declined steadily below the 0.8340 and 0.8330 support levels.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

  • The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2620.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2680 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8330 pivot level.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8305 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3000 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound even traded below the 1.2800 support against the US Dollar.

Finally, the pair tested the 1.2500 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2600. The pair even climbed above the 1.2700 level.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Price Surged Over 60% in November

According to the MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) stock chart:
→ At the start of November, the stock price was around $244;
→ Last Friday, it closed just below $395;
→ This represents a more than 60% increase in MSTR’s price over the month, making it one of the top performers on the U.S. stock market;
→ At its peak on 21 November, the stock traded above $520, reflecting a 115% surge in just three weeks.

Two key drivers supported the bullish sentiment:

  1. Bitcoin holdings by MicroStrategy.
    According to Benzinga, the company owns nearly 2% of the global Bitcoin supply, a figure projected to rise to 4% by 2023. The current surge in BTC/USD towards $100,000 has significantly increased MicroStrategy’s value. Co-founder Michael Saylor stated that the company earns an average of $500 million daily from its Bitcoin investments.

  2. Market capitalisation milestones.
    In November, MicroStrategy’s market capitalisation exceeded $100 billion for the first time. On this note, Seeking Alpha highlighted the potential for MicroStrategy’s inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 index. This could prompt large funds tracking the index to purchase MSTR shares for their portfolios.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Balances at Key Support

As reflected in the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver this morning is trading near $30.2, just above a critical support zone formed by:

→ The psychological level of $30.00;
→ The lower boundary of the ascending channel. As indicated by the blue arrows, this lower boundary has consistently provided support, enabling bullish reversals in silver prices throughout 2024.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Direct Access Trading Systems

Direct access trading systems (DATS) offer traders a direct line to financial markets. By bypassing traditional brokerage routes, DATS enable swift, precise trading, essential for strategies reliant on speed and accuracy. This FXOpen article delves into the workings, benefits, and considerations of DATS, providing valuable insights for both seasoned and aspiring traders navigating the fast-paced world of modern trading.

Understanding Direct Access Trading Systems

Direct access trading systems (DATS) revolutionise how traders interact with financial markets, typically in the realm of stock trading. Unlike traditional brokerage platforms, these systems offer direct market access trading, a method allowing traders to place orders directly into the market’s electronic order book. Such immediate access is crucial for those who require precision and speed in their trading decisions.

Traditionally, orders placed through brokers are processed internally before reaching the market, potentially causing delays. However, brokers with direct market access provide a conduit for traders to bypass these intermediate steps. These systems typically appeal to day traders and other short-term investors who value the ability to respond swiftly to market movements.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Under Pressure, Downtrend Persists

AUD/USD declined below the 0.6500 and 0.6455 support levels. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might struggle to recover above 0.5900.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

  • The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6500 level against the US Dollar.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6465 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
  • NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5930 resistance zone.
  • There was a break below a short-term contracting triangle with support at 0.5865 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6530 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6500 support against the US Dollar.

The pair even settled below 0.6455 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6430. A low was formed at 0.6407 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6430 level.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike Expectations; Euro Tests Recent Lows

USD/JPY

Over the past week, the USD/JPY pair dropped by approximately 500 pips. As anticipated, sellers tested the critical 150.00–149.00 range. This level may serve as the starting point for an upward corrective rebound.

The sharp decline in USD/JPY is likely tied to recent comments from the Bank of Japan’s Governor, Kazuo Ueda, hinting at a potential rate hike soon. He noted that “economic data is progressing as planned.” Following Tokyo’s inflation data showing an uptick and increased business investments, experts now predict the BoJ may raise rates by 0.5% at its December meeting.

Technical analysis suggests USD/JPY may begin an upward correction after its sharp fall, as a reversal “doji” candlestick pattern has formed on the daily timeframe.

If the 149.00–148.60 range holds as support, the pair could strengthen towards 151.50–151.00. However, a break below yesterday’s low may resume the downtrend towards 147.00–146.00.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Apple (AAPL) Stock Hits Record High

The Apple (AAPL) stock chart reveals:
→ Yesterday’s closing price exceeded $242 for the first time in history.
→ The stock has risen nearly 30% since the start of 2024.
→ Over the past 30 days, it has gained approximately 9%.

Dan Ives, an analyst at Wedbush, commented that: “Wall Street is beginning to grasp that the iPhone 16 marks the start of a supercycle.” According to his insights shared via Barron’s:
→ Sales in China remain robust.
→ New AI-powered features in the iPhone 16 could drive over 90 million users to upgrade.
→ This could lead to a record-breaking year for iPhone sales and push Apple’s market capitalization to $4 trillion by 2025.

Ives has set a price target for AAPL at $300—roughly 23% above current levels. But is now the right time to invest in AAPL stock?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

DAX 40 Index Closes Above 20,000 for the First Time

On 24 October, we noted that the DAX 40 stock index (Germany 40 mini on FXOpen) was losing bullish momentum and could break downward from the Bearish Rising Wedge pattern (marked with black lines).

Since then, as indicated by the orange arrow on the DAX 40 chart:
→ The price dropped below the pattern.
→ It found support at the psychological level of 19,000, which had previously acted as resistance (marked by arrows).
→ The price then rose to a historic high, breaking the 20,000 level.

Interestingly, the index has risen despite media reports stating:
→ The IFO Business Climate Index has fallen for the fifth consecutive month.
→ The German Services PMI has remained below 50.0. New data released today confirms that economic weakness is spreading beyond the manufacturing sector.

The bullish sentiment may be driven by the weakening euro, which makes German export-oriented companies more attractive to investors.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

What Is Stage Analysis in Trading?

Stage analysis is a powerful technique in trading that segments market trends into distinct phases, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. Developed by Stan Weinstein, this method helps traders understand and anticipate market movements. This article delves into the four stages of this analysis, offering insights into how traders apply these concepts, particularly in the context of stock trading.

Understanding Stage Analysis

Stan Weinstein’s stage analysis, a concept introduced in his seminal work “Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets,” offers a structured approach to evaluating market phases. Stage analysis in stocks divides the market cycle into four distinct phases. Each represents a specific phase in a stock’s lifecycle, characterised by unique price movements and investor behaviour.

Weinstein’s methodology is rooted in the identification of these stages through technical analysis, focusing on price action and volume. By discerning the current phase of a stock, traders gain insights into its probable future trajectory. This analytical framework assists traders in making more informed decisions about entry and exit points, aligning their strategies with the market’s natural rhythm. Notably, it can be used in both intraday trading and long-term investing.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Meta Platforms (META) Stock Surges Above $600

On 19 November, we analysed the Meta Platforms (META) stock chart, highlighting:
→ the formation of a long-term upward channel (shown in blue);
→ the importance of the psychological $600 level;
→ the scenario of a bullish trend resumption with a rebound from the channel’s lower boundary.

Since then:
→ as anticipated, the price reversed upwards (indicated by an arrow);
→ it broke key resistance at $600, reaching an all-time high.

The bullish momentum in META’s stock price was supported by reports that:
→ AI-based tools are helping the company better monetise its vast user base and boost advertising revenue;
→ CEO Mark Zuckerberg dined with Donald Trump, suggesting their relationship may improve after Trump’s prior criticism of Zuckerberg’s platforms over information policies.

What’s Next?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Natural Gas Prices Rebound from 2.5-Month Low

On 19 November, we analysed the natural gas price chart, noting:
→ the formation of an upward channel (marked in blue);
→ a potential bullish attempt to break the key $3.200 level, which had acted as resistance (highlighted with arrows).

As seen on the XNG/USD chart, the price did rise above $3.200 but failed to hold. After fluctuating in the upper half of the channel, it dropped below $3.200 to the channel’s lower boundary, driven by:
→ a bearish report from the Energy Information Administration, showing US gas inventories above the five-year average;
→ a report from financial firm LSEG noting increased average gas production across 48 US states.

This decline pushed natural gas prices to a 2.5-month low around the $2.935 level.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Trading Divergences With Wedges in Forex

Divergence trading in forex is a powerful technique for analysing market movements, as is observing rising and falling wedges. This article explores the synergy between divergence trading and wedges in forex, offering insights into how traders can leverage these signals. From the basics to advanced strategies, learn how you could utilise this approach effectively, potentially enhancing your trading skills in the dynamic forex market.

Understanding Divergences

In forex trading, the concept of divergence plays a pivotal role in identifying potential market shifts. A divergence in forex, meaning a situation where price action and a technical indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) move in opposite directions, often signals a weakening trend. This discrepancy is a valuable tool in divergence chart trading, as it may indicate a possible reversal or continuation of the current trend.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Pound and Euro Adjust Ahead of U.S. Employment Data

The first trading week of December has seen a corrective rise in major currency pairs. USD/JPY tested support at 149.00, EUR/USD strengthened above 1.0500, and GBP/USD is nearing key resistance at 1.2800. However, the situation could change dramatically in the coming hours. The release of the final U.S. employment report for the year might either bring dollar buyers back into the market, reviving its upward trend, or trigger a broad upward correction in the mentioned pairs.

GBP/USD

Technical analysis of GBP/USD suggests the potential for further growth, as a “V-shaped reversal” pattern is forming on the daily chart. In the coming trading sessions, the pair may strengthen toward 1.2870–1.2800 if the 1.2640–1.2620 zone continues to act as support.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Uber Shares Drop Nearly 10%

In 2024, Uber Technologies (UBER) stock has come under significant pressure, partly due to mounting competition:
→ Tesla is reportedly advancing its autonomous taxi development.
→ Yesterday, Waymo (owned by Alphabet, Google’s parent company) announced plans to train its driverless taxis in Miami in 2025, aiming to launch the service in 2026.

According to Business Insider, Uber and Lyft drivers report that Waymo’s autonomous taxis, already operating in Phoenix and other cities, are noticeably impacting their earnings. This seems to exemplify a scenario where humans are being replaced by robots.

What’s Next for Uber Stock?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Watch FXOpen’s 2 - 6 December Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: DAX 40, Yen, Natural Gas, Apple stocks

Get the latest scoop on the week’s hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

  • DAX 40 Index Closes Above 20,000 for the First Time
  • Yen Strengthens on Rate Hike Expectations; Euro Tests Recent Lows
  • Natural Gas Prices Rebound from 2.5-Month Low
  • Apple (AAPL) Stock Hits Record High

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don’t miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

FXOpen YouTube

#marketwrap #marketanalysis #forexmarketanalysis #stockmarketanalysis

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo