Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpenTeam]

Trading Forex vs Stock CFDs: Differences and Advantages

Forex and stock markets are two of the most popular options for traders, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. While forex focuses on trading global currency pairs, stocks involve buying and selling shares of companies. Understanding their differences—from market size and liquidity to trading costs and risk—can help traders choose the market that best suits their strategy. Let’s break down the key differences between forex and stocks.

What Is Forex Trading vs Stock Trading?

Let us start with some general information that you may already know. The forex market revolves around trading currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, and operates globally, making it the largest financial market with a daily turnover exceeding $7.5 trillion (April 2022). It’s decentralised, meaning transactions occur directly between participants across time zones, with no single central exchange.

In contrast, the stock market involves buying and selling shares of publicly listed companies, like Tesla or Nvidia, through centralised exchanges such as the NYSE or LSE. Trading hours are fixed and tied to each exchange’s location, creating more defined trading windows.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Faces Trouble, USD/CAD Builds on Gains

GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2720 zone. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for more gains above the 1.4245 resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound started another decline from the 1.2800 resistance zone.
• There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at 1.2650 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.4200 support zone.
• There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at 1.4245 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to continue higher above the 1.2840 resistance zone. The British Pound started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.2750 support zone against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair even traded below 1.2650 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2610 level. A low was formed at 1.2608 and the pair is now consolidating losses.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near a short-term declining channel at 1.2650. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2787 swing high to the 1.2608 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.2674 zone.

The main hurdle sits at 1.2720 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2787 swing high to the 1.2608 low. A close above the 1.2720 resistance might spark a steady upward move.

The next major resistance is near the 1.2785 zone. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2850 resistance in the near term.

Initial support on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.2610. The next major support sits at 1.2585, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2520.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Market Year Wrap 2024: Key Highlights and Outlook for 2025

The year 2024 has been a transformative period in the global financial markets, characterised by a mix of challenges and opportunities. Inflation battles, monetary policy shifts, economic uncertainties, and surprising bouts of optimism dominated the landscape. These forces created a volatile yet dynamic environment where some markets flourished while others struggled under significant pressure.

From central bank interventions to geopolitical developments and technological advancements, every corner of the financial world experienced notable activity. In this article, we will take a detailed look at the major trends and events shaping the global economy in 2024 and provide insights into what lies ahead in 2025.

Inflation and Interest Rates: A Balancing Act

In 2024, inflation showed signs of moderation globally. In the United States, it stabilised around 2.7%, marking a notable shift that bolstered market confidence and set a cautiously optimistic tone for the broader economy.

Throughout the year, rate cuts dominated monetary policy discussions. Following the unprecedented rate hikes implemented in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, major central banks began scaling back rates. However, they had to walk a tightrope between a complex landscape of lower but still stubborn inflation and resilient labour markets and the necessity for monetary easing. The magnitude and pace of these cuts varied significantly, reflecting differences in economic conditions across regions and creating complex relationships in the forex market.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Stock Soars Nearly 20%

The chart shows that at the end of last week, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) stock price surged nearly 20%, breaking the psychological barrier of $200 per share and pushing the company’s market capitalisation to $1 trillion.

Last week, the company released its quarterly earnings report. The actual figures were close to analysts’ forecasts — earnings per share of $1.42 vs $1.39 expected and fourth-quarter revenue of $14.05 billion vs $14.07 billion expected. However, the extraordinary rise in stock price was driven by a strong market reaction to the company’s optimistic forecast, which is based on robust sales of chips designed for artificial intelligence (AI) applications.

Media reports highlight that the company’s revenue growth from the AI boom reached 220% year-over-year, and the total AI chip market could reach approximately $90 billion by 2027.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Trading Forex vs Stock CFDs: Differences and Advantages

Forex and stock markets are two of the most popular options for traders, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. While forex focuses on trading global currency pairs, stocks involve buying and selling shares of companies. Understanding their differences—from market size and liquidity to trading costs and risk—can help traders choose the market that best suits their strategy. Let’s break down the key differences between forex and stocks.

What Is Forex Trading vs Stock Trading?

Let us start with some general information that you may already know. The forex market revolves around trading currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, and operates globally, making it the largest financial market with a daily turnover exceeding $7.5 trillion (April 2022). It’s decentralised, meaning transactions occur directly between participants across time zones, with no single central exchange.

In contrast, the stock market involves buying and selling shares of publicly listed companies, like Tesla or Nvidia, through centralised exchanges such as the NYSE or LSE. Trading hours are fixed and tied to each exchange’s location, creating more defined trading windows.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

European Currencies Consolidate Near Key Extremes of the Year

There are only two full trading weeks left until the end of the year and just over a month until the inauguration of the 47th President of the United States. At the moment, the market is seeing flat trading in most currency pairs. However, since many macroeconomic news releases are expected this week, along with the final Fed meeting of the year, trends may either strengthen or change dramatically.

EUR/USD

For the past four weeks, the EUR/USD currency pair has been trading within the 1.0420–1.0620 range. Following the ECB’s rate cut last week, the pair fell below 1.0500 but failed to update the November lows.

Technical analysis of EUR/USD points to a potential rise toward the upper boundary of the four-week range, as a bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. If the pair manages to firmly break above 1.0620, it may target 1.0680–1.0700. A cancellation of the upward scenario could be considered if the pair moves below 1.0450.

Further clues for determining the direction of EUR/USD could come from the following events:

Today at 12:00 (GMT+3): Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index,
Today at 13:00 (GMT+3): ECB member Frank Elderson’s speech,
Today at 13:00 (GMT+3): ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for the Eurozone.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record High

On 29th October, analysing the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024.
→ Noted that the price was in a consolidation phase (indicated by narrowing purple lines) at the channel’s median, suggesting a potential balance of supply and demand forces.
→ Warned that earnings season could trigger a volatility spike.
→ Suggested that the price was likely heading toward a new all-time high.

Since then:
→ Amid company earnings reports, we observed a volatility spike in November, which was further amplified by the release of US presidential election results.
→ The index achieved a new all-time high.

The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that the index surpassed the $22,000 level for the first time yesterday. This was supported by positive trader sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s Fed interest rate decision. According to Forex Factory, the rate will be cut by another 25 basis points (returning to the February 2023 level).

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Falls to a Two-Month Low

While the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) climbed to an all-time high, Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock price dropped below $131 during yesterday’s trading session for the first time since mid-October. This bearish behaviour suggests a weakening of Nvidia’s leading position. What is the reason?

A key driver could be the significant surge in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares, a competitor to Nvidia. Following a roughly 20% price increase for AVGO in one day, another growth day followed, as we anticipated yesterday. As a result, amid Broadcom’s strong forecast for 2025, AVGO shares have risen by 54% since early December, and investors may be reallocating their portfolios, selling NVDA and buying AVGO.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Why Is the Mexican Peso So Liquid?

The Mexican peso, a dynamic player in the global forex market, embodies a unique blend of historical resilience and modern financial attractiveness. As we delve into the reasons behind its impressive liquidity, this article offers valuable insights for traders and investors eager to understand the intricacies and opportunities presented by one of Latin America’s most prominent currencies.

The Mexican Peso: An Overview

The Mexican peso, a currency with a rich history and a significant presence in the global market, often surprises investors asking, “How much is the Mexican peso worth?” when they discover it’s one of the strongest emerging market currencies around.

Its performance in the forex market is closely tied to macroeconomic indicators, particularly those from the United States, including benchmark interest rates. The currency has benefitted from Mexico’s nearshoring boom and soaring remittances, alongside a healthy fiscal position, contributing to its appeal to investors and traders worldwide.

As the most traded currency in Latin America, the Mexican peso’s popularity underscores its importance in the regional and global financial landscape. With this background in mind, let’s take a look at 3 reasons the Mexican peso is so liquid.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Market Analysis: AUD/USD and NZD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount

AUD/USD declined below the 0.6400 and 0.6375 support levels. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.57350.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6400 level against the US Dollar.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5790 resistance zone.
• There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6430 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6400 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis.

The pair even settled below 0.6375 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6340. A low was formed at 0.6317 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6340 level.

There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6340. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low.

The next major resistance is near the 0.6375 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6429 swing high to the 0.6317 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6385. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6430 resistance.

A close above the 0.6430 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6500.

On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6320 zone. The next support sits at 0.6350. If there is a downside break below 0.6350, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6320. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6300 support.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Amazon (AMZN) Stock Price Surpassed $230 for the First Time

On 12th November, while analysing Amazon (AMZN) stock chart, we:

→ drew two ascending channels (a long-term one marked in blue and a steeper one represented by black lines);
→ anticipated a test of the $200 level as part of a correction.

According to the AMZN chart, since then:
→ the price corrected with a test of the $200 level (indicated by an arrow), aided by the median line of the blue channel;
→ it continued to climb within the mentioned channels, reaching a new all-time high — this week, the price hit $233.

Positive market sentiment is driven, among other factors, by:
→ Amazon’s strong earnings report for the previous quarter;
→ expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which helped the Nasdaq 100 index reach a new record, as we reported yesterday.

Can the price continue rising?

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Forex Traders Await the Fed’s Decision

The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision today at 21:00 GMT+2, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell holding a press conference 30 minutes later. According to Forex Factory, the market expects a rate cut to 4.25%-4.50% from the current 4.50%-4.75%.

Analysts at Apollo Global Management, in their Economic Outlook, predict:
→ In 2025, the Fed will continue lowering rates but at a slower pace than the market anticipates;
→ By the end of 2025, the rate is expected to settle at 4.0%.

In anticipation of today’s decision, the currency markets are experiencing a period of calm.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

What Is a Fib Spiral in Trading?

In trading, the Fibonacci sequence, notable for its mathematical and artistic significance, is adapted into tools like the Fibonacci retracement and spiral. These tools provide traders with a unique perspective on market trends and potential reversal points, using ratios derived from the sequence to analyse price charts. This article focuses on the Fibonacci spiral, exploring its application and interpretation in financial trading.

The Fibonacci Sequence and Trading

Traders often ask, “What is a Fib in stocks?”. A Fib refers to a tool using the Fibonacci sequence, typically a Fibonacci retracement. This series of numbers, where each is the sum of the two preceding ones, has long intrigued mathematicians and artists alike.

In trading, the Fibonacci retracement uses ratios (23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) to identify potential reversal points on price charts. These levels are drawn by taking two extreme points, usually a high and a low, and dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

The US Dollar Hits New Highs After the Fed Meeting

Yesterday the Federal Reserve cut the interest rate by 0.25% from 4.50%-4.75% to 4.25%-4.50%, as previously forecast. Despite this decision by the regulator, the US currency strengthened, and some currency pairs are nearing multi-year highs. For instance, the USD/CAD pair is trading near its 2020 highs, GBP/USD has dropped below 1.2600, and EUR/USD is approaching this year’s lows near 1.0330.

USD/CAD

After confidently breaking above the psychological level of 1.4000, the USD/CAD pair has been strengthening for four consecutive weeks. According to technical analysis, the uptrend could continue towards 1.4600-1.4700. At the same time, a downward correction to 1.4270-1.4360 cannot be ruled out, provided reversal patterns form on higher timeframes.

Key upcoming events that could impact the pair’s direction include:

Today at 15:30 (GMT+2): US Q3 GDP data,
Today at 15:30 (GMT+2): Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (US),
Today at 17:00 (GMT+2): US Existing Home Sales data.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision

On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024;
→ Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone;
→ Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing the price to a new all-time high.

Yesterday, the Fed cut the interest rate by 0.25%. Although it was anticipated, the market reaction was sharply negative. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by approximately 4%.

The steep market reaction was driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments during the press conference, where he stated that the FOMC plans to cut rates only twice in 2025, contrary to market expectations of four cuts.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

USD/JPY Rises to a Nearly 5-Month High

According to the USD/JPY chart today, the US dollar has climbed to 157 yen. This movement was driven by monetary policies of both countries’ central banks.

The Federal Reserve took a hawkish stance, with Chair Jerome Powell suggesting the possibility of fewer rate cuts in 2025 than earlier expected.

On the other side, the Bank of Japan’s Governor Kazuo Ueda, as reported by Reuters, made “surprisingly dovish” remarks. He delivered a cautious outlook on monetary policy following the central bank’s decision to maintain its interest rates unchanged.

He emphasised that:
→ Real interest rates remain very low.
→ New risks are emerging due to trade policies proposed by US President-elect Donald Trump.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Advanced Candlestick Pattern Analysis

Welcome to the intricate world of advanced candlestick patterns, a realm where subtle shifts in market sentiment are captured in the form and structure of candles on a chart. This article delves into some of the more sophisticated patterns that, while less common, offer insightful signals to those who can identify them. For readers eager to try spotting these patterns themselves, FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform provides an ideal canvas to practise and observe these formations in real-time markets.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

[FXOpenTeam]

Micron Technology (MU) Stock Drops 16%

On Wednesday, Micron Technology released its quarterly earnings report after the main trading session closed. The results aligned closely with analysts’ expectations: earnings per share came in at $1.79, slightly above the forecast of $1.76, while revenue met projections at $8.71 billion.

Despite meeting estimates, the chipmaker issued a disappointing forecast for the next quarter, citing weak demand for personal computers (PCs) and smartphones. This overshadowed positive projections for the growth of artificial intelligence (AI) chip market. Morningstar analyst William Kerwin warned of a potential “significant decline” in revenue from chips used in smartphones and PCs in 2025, driven by challenging market conditions.

As a result, Micron Technology’s stock opened Thursday’s session with a significant bearish gap and continued to slide throughout the day, closing 16% lower than Wednesday’s closing price.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

GBP/USD Analysis: Pair Recovers from 7-Month Low

The GBP/USD pair dropped below the psychological level of 1.25 today, a level last seen in early May. Over the past two days, the pair has declined by more than 1.5%, driven by central bank decisions.

On one hand, the US dollar strengthened after the Federal Reserve chair’s comments on Wednesday, hinting at potentially higher interest rates in 2025.

On the other hand, the pound weakened on Thursday after news from the Bank of England (BoE). According to media reports:
→ The BoE kept the interest rate unchanged.
→ Market expectations for the BoE’s February decision are putting additional pressure on the pound.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

[FXOpenTeam]

Santa Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock Markets in 2024

The Santa Claus rally is a well-known seasonal phenomenon where stock markets often see gains during the final trading days of December and the start of January. But what causes this year-end trend, and how does Christmas influence stock markets overall? In this article, we’ll explore the factors behind the rally, its historical significance, and what traders can learn from this unique period in the financial calendar.

What Is the Santa Claus Rally?

The Santa Claus rally, or simply the Santa rally, refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. For instance, Santa Claus rally dates for 2024 start on the 24th December and end on the 2nd January, with stock markets closed on the 25th (Christmas day) and the 28th and 29th (a weekend).

First identified by Yale Hirsch in 1972 in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this phenomenon has intrigued traders for decades. While not a guaranteed outcome, it has shown a consistent pattern in market data over the years, making it a point of interest for those analysing year-end trends.

In Santa rally history, average returns are modest but noteworthy. For example, per 2019’s Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has historically gained around 1.3% during this period, outperforming most other weeks of the year. Across the seven days, prices have historically climbed 76% of the time. This trend isn’t limited to the US; global indices often experience similar movements, further highlighting its significance.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.