Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

British Pound Sterling (GBP): A History and Trading Overview

The British pound, one of the oldest and most traded currencies, holds a central role in the global forex market. Known for its volatility and economic significance, the pound presents unique opportunities and challenges for traders. This article explores British money’s history, key factors driving its value, major trading pairs, and insights into how it’s traded.

Origins and Historical Evolution of British Pound Sterling

The British Pound Sterling, represented by the pound symbol £ and known by the British pound abbreviation GBP, has a rich history stretching back over a thousand years, making it one of the oldest continuously used currencies. Its origins trace to the Anglo-Saxon period, around the 8th century, when it was first introduced as a silver-based currency.

Back then, one pound of sterling silver could be divided into 240 silver pennies—a substantial amount. The currency evolved as England developed its economy and trading networks, solidifying the pound’s status as a cornerstone of UK money and commerce across Europe.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: Gold Consolidates While WTI Crude Oil Faces Continued Struggles

Gold price is consolidating above the $2,600 support zone. Crude oil is showing bearish signs and might decline below $66.80.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil Prices Analysis Today

  • Gold price started a recovery wave from the $2,610 zone against the US Dollar.
  • A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $2,650 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
  • Crude oil prices failed to clear the $70.00 region and started a fresh decline.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $67.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $2,610 zone. The price remained in a bullish zone and started a recovery wave above $2,620.

There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $2,635. The bulls pushed the price above the $2,640 zone. Finally, the price climbed as high as $2,650 before the bears appeared. The price is now consolidating below $2,650.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Hits a 4.5-Month High

On 31 October, our analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) stock highlighted:
→ The price is forming a long-term upward channel, illustrated in blue.
→ The channel’s lower boundary serves as a significant support level.

On Friday, MSFT stock climbed to $445, its highest level since mid-July, buoyed by news that OpenAI may grant Microsoft access to key AI-related technologies.
Will the Price Continue to Rise?

There are reasons to suspect that the bullish momentum may not sustain.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

AUD/USD at a Critical Support Level

The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions.

Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment.

Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Weekend Trading: What and How to Trade on Weekends?

Weekend trading allows traders to capitalise on markets outside regular hours. While stocks and forex generally take a break, cryptocurrencies remain active around the clock, providing opportunities for those interested in trading on Saturdays and Sundays. This article covers the essentials of weekend trading, including strategies, tools, and key risks.

Understanding Weekend Trading

For anyone wondering “Can you day trade on the weekends?”, the answer is yes. Weekend trading has seen rising interest in recent years, largely driven by the cryptocurrency market, which operates 24/7. While over the weekend, stock markets and forex trading are paused, crypto never takes a break, allowing traders to continue analysing and placing trades.

This continuous market access appeals to a growing base of traders looking to make the most of the quiet period when there’s generally less news and fewer participants. However, while weekend trading provides extra opportunities, it also presents unique challenges, primarily because it lacks the usual activity and volume seen during weekdays.

Weekend trading differs significantly from weekday trading, regarding market liquidity and price behaviour. Lower liquidity is a common factor in weekend markets, meaning fewer participants are actively trading. This can result in wider bid-ask spreads and greater price slippage, especially in volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Amid Investigation in China

On 21 November, our analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) stock price revealed:
→ The continuation of a long-term upward channel (illustrated in blue).
→ The significance of resistance at the psychological level of $150.

Since then, NVDA’s stock price has failed to surpass the highlighted resistance level, despite stock indices reaching record highs, indicating Nvidia’s relative underperformance compared to the broader market. It seems the AI-driven rally may be losing steam.

Investor concerns were heightened yesterday by news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Nvidia, suspecting the company of violating the country’s competition laws. In response, Nvidia stated that it complies with its obligations wherever it operates and is ready to cooperate with regulators.

Following this announcement, NVDA’s stock price experienced a modest decline, further reinforcing a bearish outlook.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

HSI Index Falls Amid Disappointing Chinese Economic Data

On Tuesday, Hong Kong’s HSI index (traded as Hong Kong 50 on FXOpen) declined, erasing gains from the previous session due to worsening market sentiment following the release of disappointing Chinese economic data for November. As reported by the media:

→ China’s export growth slowed to 6.7% year-on-year, falling short of the forecasted 8.5%, according to a Reuters survey. This marks a significant deceleration compared to the 12.7% growth recorded in October.

→ Additionally, Chinese imports contracted, decreasing by 3.9% year-on-year in November, further deteriorating from the 2.3% decline seen in the previous month.

These figures have heightened concerns about the state of China’s economy, with consumer demand remaining weak amid the potential for tariff increases under the Trump administration.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Master Short-term Trading in Stock, Forex, and Crypto Markets

Short-term trading is a fast-paced approach that demands skill, strategy, and quick decision-making to capitalise on small price moves in financial markets like stocks, forex, and crypto. This article dives into advanced techniques, adaptive strategies, and psychological discipline needed to improve your trading edge.

Choosing the Right Market and Asset for Short-Term Trading

Short-term trading isn’t just about finding an opportunity; it’s about picking the right market and asset that aligns with your strategy, risk tolerance, and trading style. Different assets and markets move in unique ways, and understanding their traits can sharpen your trading decisions and improve your ability to identify favourable setups.

Stocks

When short-term trading stocks, movements often hinge on company-specific events like earnings reports, product launches, or even management changes. Ideal stocks for short-term trading typically include those in technology or high-growth sectors, which tend to show greater volatility and liquidity. However, specific stock trading hours limit opportunities (with after-hours trading often seeing lower volume), which can reduce flexibility compared to 24-hour markets like forex or crypto.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Resistance While USD/CHF Builds Momentum

EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.0550 support. USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward the 0.8880 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today

  • The Euro struggled to clear the 1.0635 resistance and declined against the US Dollar.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
  • USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8800 resistance zone.
  • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8785 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.0635 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0550 support against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.

The pair declined below the 1.0520 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0500 level. A low was formed at 1.0498 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shares Rise Over 5% in a Single Day

As the chart indicates, during yesterday’s trading session, shares of Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), Google’s parent company, climbed to their highest level since July. This surge was driven by market participants’ reaction to the company unveiling Willow, a quantum computing chip. According to Google, this chip can perform in less than five minutes computations that would take some of today’s fastest supercomputers 10 septillion years.

“We see Willow as a significant step on our journey towards building a practical quantum computer with real-world applications in areas such as drug discovery, nuclear fusion, battery design, and more,” Google CEO Sundar Pichai stated on X (formerly Twitter) on Monday.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/CAD Exchange Rate at a 56-Month High

As evidenced by the USD/CAD chart, yesterday the rate climbed above 1.4190 – a level not seen since April 2023, when the world was gripped by panic over the spread of the coronavirus.

Today, the weakness of the Canadian dollar relative to the USD is being influenced by a rich fundamental backdrop. As reported by the media:

→ Formerly elected President Donald Trump has previously stated that he would impose a 25% tariff on all goods from Mexico and Canada as soon as he takes office on 20 January, joking that Canada should become the 51st state. Yesterday, Trump posted on social media that he looks forward to meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau again to “continue our in-depth discussions on tariffs and trade.”

→ At 17:45 GMT+3 today, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision. It is expected to cut its interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% and likely signal that further rate cuts are possible in light of the sharp rise in unemployment levels.

→ At 16:30 GMT+3 today, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released. It is expected that US inflation will remain unchanged.

As a result, heightened volatility is highly likely today, which could significantly affect the nature of the current upward trend.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Advanced Charting Techniques for Forex Trading

In forex trading, understanding chart and candlestick patterns can help analyse the market direction and guide entries. These setups, formed by specific price action movements, offer traders vital clues about market trends and potential reversals. This article delves into several advanced formations, each signalling unique market sentiments and potential shifts in trend direction.

Understanding Chart and Candlestick Patterns in Trading

Understanding chart patterns and how to trade them is a key skill for forex traders. Chart patterns, which are formations created by the price movements on a chart, serve as visual indicators of market trends and potential reversals.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Commodity Currencies Adjust Following US Inflation Data

The release of US inflation data has led to a downward pullback for the USD in pairs such as USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and AUD/USD. Currently, these pairs are trading near key levels, with rebounds from these points potentially driving increased volatility and shifts in medium-term trends.

AUD/USD

This week, the AUD/USD pair hit new yearly lows near 0.6350. The price stopped just short of 0.6320 before correcting to 0.6400. If the upward correction continues, the pair may test resistance at 0.6470–0.6450. Price action around these levels could provide further direction for the pair. A break and hold above 0.6500 may pave the way for gains toward 0.6620–0.6570. Conversely, a rebound from 0.6470–0.6450 could trigger a new bearish impulse, possibly leading to fresh lows.

Key events likely to influence AUD/USD pricing:
→ Today at 16:30 (GMT+3): Weekly US Initial Jobless Claims data release.
→ Today at 16:30 (GMT+3): US Producer Price Index (PPI) publication.
→ Tomorrow at 05:00 (GMT+3): Release of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) for Australia in December.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Tesla (TSLA) Shares Surge to a New All-Time High

The chart for Tesla (TSLA) shares reveals:
→ At the beginning of December, the price was around $350;
→ Yesterday, the trading session closed above $420, surpassing the previous all-time high near $410 set in 2021.

The primary driver of this bullish sentiment appears to be the partnership between Elon Musk and Donald Trump. Since the 5 November election, Tesla shares have broken through a key resistance level near $265, rising approximately 69% and adding around $555 billion to the company’s market value.

Additional positive factors include:
→ Investor expectations that Tesla’s planned affordable new model could become a bestseller in 2025;
→ The company’s plans to launch self-driving taxis and other innovations.

Can the Bullish Momentum Persist?

According to Barron’s, Tesla shares might be overvalued from a fundamental perspective. Currently, TSLA trades at roughly 125 times the expected earnings for 2025, a ratio reminiscent of the previous peak when the stock dropped by about 50% in 2022.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Gold Price Hits Monthly High

The XAU/USD chart shows:
→ A notable peak in November near the $2716 level (indicated by the first arrow);
→ Yesterday, gold surpassed this peak, reaching a new one-month high.

Factors Supporting Bullish Sentiment

→ Yesterday’s US Consumer Price Index data met analysts’ expectations. This bolstered market speculation about a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, enhancing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.

→ Geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, along with uncertainty surrounding the policy direction and tariff plans of newly elected US President Donald Trump, are contributing to gold’s safe-haven appeal.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Quantitative Trading Models in Forex: A Deep Dive

Quantitative trading in forex harnesses advanced algorithms and statistical models to decode market dynamics, offering traders a sophisticated approach to currency trading. This article delves into the various quantitative trading models, their implementation, and their challenges, providing insights for traders looking to navigate the forex market with a data-driven approach.

Understanding Quantitative Trading in Forex

Quantitative trading, also known as quant trading, in the forex market involves using sophisticated quantitative trading systems that leverage complex mathematical and statistical methods to analyse market data and execute trades. These systems are designed to identify patterns, trends, and potential opportunities in currency movements that might be invisible to the naked eye.

At the heart of these systems are quantitative trading strategies and models, which are algorithmic procedures developed to determine market behaviour and make informed decisions. These strategies incorporate a variety of approaches, from historical data analysis to predictive modelling, which should ensure a comprehensive assessment of market dynamics. Notably, in quantitative trading, Python and similar data-oriented programming languages are often used to build models.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

Euro Drops After ECB Rate Cut, Pound Consolidates Near 1.2600

EUR/USD

Euro buyers were unable to overcome resistance at 1.0620–1.0600. Following a sharp decline in November, the pair attempted a recovery and made several attempts to hold above 1.0600, but so far, all efforts have failed.

Yesterday, the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting delivered a widely anticipated 25-basis-point cut to the base rate, lowering it from 3.25% to 3.00%. In response, EUR/USD saw a sharp decline, breaking below key support at 1.0500.

Technical analysis of EUR/USD suggests the possibility of a further bearish impulse if the price breaks the recent low near 1.0340. The downward scenario would be invalidated if the pair manages to secure a strong close above 1.0620.

Key events for EUR/USD pricing today:
→ 10:00 (GMT+3): German trade balance data.
→ 11:00 (GMT+3): Harmonised Consumer Price Index (HICP) for Spain.
→ 13:00 (GMT+3): Eurozone industrial production data for December.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Adobe (ADBE) Shares Plunge Over 13%

On Wednesday evening, Adobe Inc. (ADBE) released its quarterly financial results:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $4.81, Expected = $4.66;
→ Revenue: Actual = $5.61 billion, Expected = $5.54 billion.

Despite exceeding analyst expectations and showing growth compared to the previous quarter, Adobe’s stock opened Thursday with a bearish gap and continued to decline throughout the session, closing more than 13% lower than Wednesday’s close.

The sell-off was driven by Adobe’s disappointing 2025 forecast, projecting slower-than-expected revenue and earnings per share growth. According to Yahoo Finance, this stems from increasing competition (from Google, OpenAI, and others) and concerns over monetising AI tools, which have already contributed to a 20% drop in Adobe’s stock this year.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

GBP/USD Declines Following UK GDP Data Release

Today, the UK GDP changes for October were published, as reported by Forex Factory (month-on-month):

→ Actual = -0.1%;
→ Forecast = +0.1%;
→ Previous = -0.1%.

The data revealed a slowing UK economy, defying analysts’ optimistic expectations. According to Reuters and other outlets, the latest GDP figures:

→ Could strengthen traders’ expectations of a more rapid interest rate cut by the Bank of England in 2025;
→ Undermine the target announced last week by Prime Minister Keir Starmer to make the UK the fastest-growing economy among G7 nations.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Outlook

Market Year Wrap With Gary Thomson: 2024 Market Insights & 2025 Outlook

As we approach the close of 2024, it’s time to reflect on results and think of potential opportunities for the year ahead. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he sums up the key market trends that shaped 2024 and provides insights on what to expect in 2025.

  • Inflation and Interest Rates
  • Forex Market Trends
  • Commodity Markets
  • Stock Market Highlights
  • 2025 Outlook

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don’t miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.

FXOpen YouTube

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

RISK WARNING: Trading on the Forex market involves substantial risks, including complete possible loss of funds and other losses and is not suitable for all members. Clients should make an independent judgement as to whether trading is appropriate for them in the light of their financial condition, investment experience, risk tolerance and other factors.

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