Pro Forex Secrets Predicting News Trading ( Currency Strength Trend )

[HyperScalper]

OVERVIEW AND INTRODUCTORY REMARKS
====> PLEASE READ FIRST 10 POSTS BEFORE RESPONDING

I specialize in Trading Forex News Events as marked on various
calendars such as ForexFactory dot com and other publicly
known upcoming News Events in FOREX only, looking at the
28 Major Currency Pairs only.

Like many of you, I used to avoid News Events because they
seem to be inherently unpredictable. After all, how could you
know which way a Currency Pair will move on an announcement?

This thread is designed to discuss that, and to provide some hope
that News Event trading can be approached profitably, and rationally
including concepts of Risk Management of Volatility which occurs.

Now, I regularly seek out upcoming News Events and, in most
cases, can predict where the primary affected Currency will move.
But how could this be possible? Are we predicting the future ?

No. We are not so much analyzing fundamentals, and making
predictions based on that; nor are we using a Crystal Ball. Instead, we
are watching where “the Market Movers” are positioning their
investments prior to the News Event, and planning to Profit from
those investments, once the News Event result is revealed.

This is what I call “the First Move Theory”. We want to know where
"the market" is planning to move on the News Event, and we plan
to gather evidence of their intentions, from observing their
behavior prior to the Event. We want to know what “they” are
expecting to do as their “First Move” on the News Event !

What behaviors can we observe? This is the most critical aspect
of the approach. We are working in Forex, and traders are Trading
Currency Pairs which are based on an interaction of 2 Currencies
X and Y in a relationship X/Y . We need to know what X is doing,
independently of Y. Then we observe the Primary Currency which
is being affected by the upcoming News Event, and make predictions
based upon *Currency Trend Analytics" data.

To achieve this, we may require looking back several days or even
several weeks, to observe the positioning of the target Currency.
Therefore, there is a dependency on data which is a proprietary feed,
and so some training and consultancy will be required.

You should be prepared to pay a reasonable consultancy fee if you
want focused consultancy, to gain experience in this approach.
It will be difficult in a thread like this one, to provide other than a
discussion of general principles, strategy. To include specific
examples, you would need to PM me, and be prepared to spend
some consultancy and training fees to get rolling with this new
approach to News Event trading.

This thread will try to discuss the general principles, and areas of
concern in this general Strategy. But there is a proprietary component
here, which is the Currency Analytics data you’ll need on which to base
your own decisions.

But the most important thing is to break the habit of looking at
individual Forex Currency Pair Symbols. Instead, look at the Forex
individual CURRENCY strength movements, which will guide us to
the relevant Currency Pair(s) which appear to offer the best
opportunity to profit on the News Event.

And finally, in general, we do not chase pricing volatility that
occurs on a typical News Event. Instead, we must be "in the trade
BEFORE the News Event occurs*. This is very important.

Techniques like “predatory” placement of Limit Orders, and control
of Risk by modulating Lot Sizes, and also by using a Binary Option
as a Risk Management technique; all of these topics play a role in
successful News Event trading.

So let’s get started discussing a strategy for successful News
Event trading with an understanding that Trading is difficult but
that we can take a rational and technical approach to News Events
which will allow us to WIN most of our trades, even though we
recognize that SOME TRADES may be lost, as is the case
with all real Trading !!

HERE ARE OPEN LINKS TO THE DATA YOU WILL NEED

On this page OPEN LINK IN A NEW BROWSER TAB :
http://xscalp.com/quick/#Charts

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

CURRENCY ANALYTIC DATA WE NEED TO HAVE

First of all, we must have Data on which to base our Analytic
Technical decisions. Unfortunately, this is proprietary data.

THIS PAGE CONTAINS THE DATA YOU WILL NEED, and
you don’t have to pay me money to get to it.

HOWEVER, if you want me to help train you, customize a
strategy which fits your lifestyle, give specific signals, do
post-mortem analysis; and other such “training or mentoring”
then PM me, and I’ll ask you for a modest retainer fee for
getting you up to speed.

IF YOU DON’T want to pay for this. Then, as I say, the access
to this rather simple and “sloppy” little page (I am not interested
in this being pretty) is free.

PLEASE don’t complain that it’s simple, or crude because I really
don’t care about that very much. What matters are the Standard
and Divergent view up-to-date “snapshots” which the page gives
you. This is ALL the information you will need, in addition to a
good Calendar; and knowledge of just HOW to interpret the data
which may seem very confusing.

BREAK THE HABIT of thinking about Forex Symbols, which are
Currency Pairs. Begin thinking of the Forex Market as an interaction
of the 8 Major CURRENCIES which we present.

OLD HABITS DIE HARD, but if you begin “Thinking in Currency” instead
of thinking about the 28 Currency Pairs, then you will find that these
8 Major Currency movements and Trends will simplify your view of the
Forex market, guide you much more easily to which Pair might be
the best choice but, relevant to this thread, will…

Enable you to approach News Event Trading in a simplified and rational
way, with a specific Strategy for making your Predictions and deciding
whether (and how ! ) you wish to participate in any given upcoming News
Event on the Calendar.

DO NOT CONCERN YOURSELF WITH ANYTHING ELSE BUT
THE AREA SHOWN HERE. I WILL EXPLAIN BASICALLY WHAT
YOU WILL BE LOOKING AT, AND LOOKING FOR…

On this page OPEN LINK IN A NEW BROWSER TAB :
http://xscalp.com/quick/#Charts

I’ll be explaining just the basics of the data we want to use, and the
two major views, Standard and Divergence of Currency Strength
trending, and relative movement.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

CURRENCY COLORS AND CHART TYPES

Two types: Standard View and Divergence View

Here is the Standard Chart View over 350 hours into the past:

And here is the same timeframe in "Divergence Chart View*
where the leftmost origin is brought to a fixed zero point,
and emphasizing the divergences or relative movements
of the Currencies from that common point forward:

Later on, these two views; and their Correct Usage and
Interpretation, will be discussed.

For now, get used to the Colorations for the 8 Currencies
and I am very sorry if you have color vision deficiencies,
as I don’t have a black and white equivalent.

Also, you may find the overlapping of traces to be confusing,
but generally picking alternate timeframes or using a FREE
Utility on Windows called “ZOOMIT” or other such techniques
will allow you to visually “disentangle” and show a CURRENCY
effectively.

So, get used to it, as they say… You’ll find that these are very
useful, and so please resist the temptation to say that it all
looks too complicated. You’ll find that it’s much easier to understand
than looking at a Price Chart for a Currency Pair Symbol,
as time goes on…

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

WHAT IS THE MEANING AND PURPOSE OF A NEWS EVENT ?

Here you must initially accept the hypothesis that a "News Event"
is "an excuse for the market to reverse a trend*.

One way of thinking about a News Event (even ones where no
change is expected) is an opportunity for the MAJOR MARKET
MOVERS to cash in on Huge Profits as they take Positions
AGAINST the Retail Market in general.

This is a somewhat “huge” and mind-boggling concept to grasp,
so let me break it down.

In general (just to simplify things as an initial cut) Retail Traders are
forced to “follow a trend”. When a Currency Pair is moving UP, then
generally speaking, the Retail trading population is BUYing that
Currency Pair.

(bear with me, as this is important)

Set aside for the moment, the fact that this is an OVER SIMPLIFICATION.

As the Currency Pair X/Y trends upward, the retail population is generally taking
a BUY in that Pair. As the Currency Pair Z/X is trending downward, the
Retail population is generally SELLing that symbol Pair.

Those TWO Pairs (and there are 7 Pairs for EACH CURRENCY) share the
Currency X. X/Y has X as the numerator of the fraction; and Z/X has X as
the denominator of the fraction.

IF THERE WERE NO CHANGE IN THE STRENGTH OF Y AND Z, THEN
from a Currency Strength perspective, generally the CURRENCY X must be
RISING in strength in these 2 examples.

Specifically
When X increases in strength, with no change in Y, then the Pair X/Y generally
must RISE. Also, with no change in Z, then when X increases in strength, the
Currency Pair Z/X must generally be FALLING .

THIS IS THE BASIS FOR CURRENCY STRENGTH ANALYTICS, which yields
an estimate of the strength of CURRENCY X, as it participates in these 2
example Currency Pairs.

In general, with 8 Currencies and 28 Currency Pairs, 7 Currency Pairs are
used in a calculation to yield a CURRENCY STRENGTH ESTIMATE for one
single Currency X. EACH of the 8 Currencies derives a Currency Strength
estimate, from considering the normalized index values of SEVEN (7)
individual Currency Pairs.

Without going into any more details, which are many, we can say that
IF we have a CURRENCY STRENGTH TREND HISTORY, then we can
observer what the Market Movers are doing as they move Currency Pair
prices in the Forex market.

In general, Currency Pair movements are “confusing”, because we are
looking at a Pair formed by X/Y and we do not know what the individual
Currencies X and Y are doing independently of the Pair price.

So, a “more fundamental” view of the Forex Market is clarified through the
usage of CURRENCY STRENGTH, instead of the focus on Currency Pair
pricing, as most traders use.

NOW THAT WE HAVE CURRENCY TRENDING, we can say what the
main point of this post is:

CURRENCY TREND REVERSAL ON NEWS EVENTS
A News Event facilitates the reversal of a CURRENCY TREND so it is
BEST UNDERSTOOD as a catalyst for reversal in a specific CURRENCY,
the Currency most associated with the News Event.

In the absence of a “catalyst” for REVERSAL of a Currency trend; we may as
well assume the Currency trend will be in a “continuation”… more later…

hyperscalper

[Rickster99]

I dont mean to offend but I think the way you are proposing to trade is not a reliable method. Atleast you were transparent and have said you would like to be paid to get more details on your ‘system’. If it’s so good, you’d obviously be making enough that you wouldnt need to charge right? Next will probably be a VIP paid chat room? Even with the divergent view at an extreme the currency can still keep moving lower. So your stop loss would be very far or god forbid not have one at all.

[HyperScalper]

I dont mean to offend but I think the way you are proposing to trade is not a reliable method. Atleast you were transparent and have said you would like to be paid to get more details on your ‘system’. If it’s so good, you’d obviously be making enough that you wouldnt need to charge right? Next will probably be a VIP paid chat room? Even with the divergent view at an extreme the currency can still keep moving lower. So your stop loss would be very far or god forbid not have one at all.

Please have some patience. This is an attempt to address a major issue which
Forex traders grapple with. I’m trying to provide as much “free” content as I
can; and I’m not motivated by any fees which might be needed for consultancy.

But because the primary Analytics information is proprietary, and because
there is a specific methodology for making predictions; some fee based
training could be involved.

But my purpose here is to enlighten traders, provide a solution to one very
significant issue which all Forex traders confront. It ain’t to make money
off the advice… believe that if you can !!

I intend to put as much as I can into this thread so that people can understand
the approach, see the Forex market differently; and I hope increase profits
through incorporating these methods into their trading operation.

I’D LIKE TO KEEP THE NEGATIVE COMMENTS TO A MINIMUM;
AND KEEP THIS A POSITIVE FORUM TO ANALYZE THE
METHOD AND SOLUTION I’M PROPOSING.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

CURRENCY STRENGTH ANALYTICS THAT ARE USEFUL

The most significant part of creating the Currency Strength Trend
Data, is to make it so that we can see Trends as they develop
over time, and be able to compare values from several weeks
back, for example, with values we see currently.

Seeing the TREND of the Currencies, suddenly makes the Forex
market much more transparent. We change our focus from
individual Currency Pairs, and we allow Currency Trending to
guide us to Currency Pairs which seem to offer the best
opportunities for Profits.

INSTEAD OF BEING “WEDDED” TO SPECIFIC CURRENCY PAIRS
we see “more fundamental” drivers of the Forex Market’s behavior
and we allow these Currency Strengths to clarify our view of
"WHAT’S GOING ON"?

Obviously, when X/Y is rallying, for example, we really have NO IDEA
whether 1) X is rising or holding constant, or 2) Y is falling or holding constant
since we cannot directly see what is going on.

By focus on Currency movements, we can see the Forex market in a
more simplified, and I’d argue a more useful way. This happens to
helps us in dealing with News Event trade predictions.

Many “Currency Meters” don’t allow us to see the data in a way
that helps us recognize the Trending relationships over time.

You might be surprised to hear that much of News Event Trading
involves the recognition of the Development, and subsequent
Reversion of BUBBLES or transient distortions in a specific
CURRENCY which at times involves multiple days or even
multiple weeks.

These distortions in the Currency Valuations are deliberate
manipulation of the Forex Market; and recognizing what is
happening is the first step in the process of being able to make
predictions.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

PLEASE READ EVERYTHING ABOVE, AND THEN
MAKE YOUR COMMENTS IN A POSITIVE WAY.

Now, let’s delve a bit further into the "First Move Theory"
rationale, and see how the method tends to protect
us against adverse events.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

HOW THE METHOD PROTECTS US AGAINST MISSES

We are observing what the Market Movers are doing with their
money. In which way are they Investing their resources,
ahead of the News Event ?

As I suggested earlier, these Market Movers can best be understood
as taking a huge position against the Retail trading participants
and this is the BEST WAY to think about it, in a simplified fashion.

By Moving a CURRENCY X up, ahead of a Major Event, they are

1. developing their SHORT position in Currency X at the highest
   possible average Price and 2) using the liquidity of the Retail
   market in order to accomplish that goal.

THUS, LET’S SAY THEY ARE INVESTING THEIR MONEY IN
A SHORT POSITION IN CURRENCY X, possibly for days or even
weeks ahead of the major News Event, which everyone knows
is coming…

THEY are betting that the News Event will either be "NO CHANGE*
or that it will be compatible with a DEVALUATION of Currency X, and
their PLAN for their First Move is to devalue Currency X (in which
they hold a SHORT position) and to cover their Short as a much
lower price by REVERSING and devaluing Currency X on and
in the aftermath of the News Event.

Note that they have INVESTED a huge amount of effort into this setup
process of distorting the valuation in Currency X upwards, which
they have (in this simplified understanding) been SELLING SHORT
as we would say.

BECAUSE they have then accomplished this distortion of Currency X
over an extended period prior to the Event, they are highly motivated
to devalue X in the aftermath of the News.

WHAT IF THEY ARE WRONG? IT HAPPENS !! In the event that the
Market Movers ( these huge “investors” dominating the market) are
incorrect in their Prediction of the News, then we are still PROTECTED
somewhat, by the following logic.

SINCE THEY HAVE ALREADY up-valued Currency X, and put a whole lot
of effort into it (just imagine what an effort that is) they are UNLIKELY to
up-value Currency X much higher !! If they are dead wrong, and can’t
devalue X right away; nevertheless, they probably won’t raise it much higher,
since it IS ALREADY DISTORTED IN A BUBBLE higher than its
TRUE FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION

For this reason, even in those rare cases when Market Movers are wrong,
THEY REMAIN HIGHLY MOTIVATED TO DEVALUE CURRENCY X and
not to push it even higher, because the News Event was unexpectedly
adverse RELATIVE TO THEIR EXPECTATION

THUS, there is a tendency for us to be PROTECTED against those cases
where the News Event fails to reverse the Currency as we have predicted

That’s what gives me a good feeling about this. When we are CORRECT
we Win BIG; and in those cases where WE, and the Market Movers are
INCORRECT, then we are not likely to be HURT nearly as much as
might otherwise be the case !! It’s a natural outcome of the view that

1. Market Movers are almost always right, and 2) they have already
   distorted a Currency Valuation as much as they dare, and most likely
   won’t distort it further, due to FUNDAMENTALS

That should help you to feel better about the Risk Profile of this approach.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

NEWS EVENTS ARE SPECIAL REVERSAL SYNCH EVENTS

Just a reminder that, in general, we may have no idea how far a
CURRENCY strength may trend… WITH ONE NOTABLE EXCEPTION

THE NEWS EVENT which is best thought of as a Reversal Event
in a Currency Trend

This definition or expectation, central to the Method here, gives us
a very definite event at which we expect Trend Reversal to
occur.

OTHERWISE we don’t have any way of anticipating when a CURRENCY
may reverse, so we may as well expect a "Trend Continuation*

So, it’s this special property of a major News Event which is the
impetus or catalyst for REVERSAL

But, REVERSAL of WHAT? Reversal of a CURRENCY TREND…

So we need to be able to recognize a Currency Trend, so that we
can anticipate its reversal… hence Currency Analytics.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

CURRENCY ‘CLUSTERS’ OF CURRENCY PAIRS

Each CURRENCY is associated with 7 Currency Pairs, and here are
the Pairs for each Currency.

Note: For Currency X, we may have X/Y and Z/X as some of the Pairs.

TRADING: If I say SELL CURRENCY X, then you can choose Any single
Pair from the Cluster of Pairs,
or ALL of the Pairs in which to trade. SELL X/Y or BUY Z/X when
you anticipate Currency X will be DEVALUED

Later on, we’ll touch on how to choose which Pair or Pairs to Trade,
but note how easily we are led to the Primary Currency, relevant to the
News, and then we’ll be able to look at Divergence Charts to choose
a Secondary Currency in order to form a PAIR with the highest apparent
potential to help us to profit !!

Currency:
EUR cluster: EURAUD EURCAD EURCHF EURGBP EURJPY EURNZD EURUSD
GBP cluster: EURGBP GBPAUD GBPCAD GBPCHF GBPJPY GBPNZD GBPUSD
CHF cluster: AUDCHF CADCHF CHFJPY EURCHF GBPCHF NZDCHF USDCHF
CAD cluster: AUDCAD CADCHF CADJPY EURCAD GBPCAD NZDCAD USDCAD
AUD cluster: AUDCAD AUDCHF AUDJPY AUDNZD AUDUSD EURAUD GBPAUD
JPY cluster: AUDJPY CADJPY CHFJPY EURJPY GBPJPY NZDJPY USDJPY
NZD cluster: AUDNZD EURNZD GBPNZD NZDCAD NZDCHF NZDJPY NZDUSD

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

AN EXAMPLE OF THE METHOD
PREDICTING AUD BUSINESS CONFIDENCE

I’ll take you through the steps involved in the prediction of
an event which will happen 30 minutes from now. I’ll show
you what I said earlier, continued to predict, and the
actual outcome of the News Event…

…whether we WIN it or LOSE it.

Those opting for ongoing support at in a Whatsapp group,
so I’ll just take you through what was predicted; along with
the sample charts involved.

Sticking my neck out here; our prediction is that AUD will
rise on Tuesday 00:30 GMT Business Confidence news,
and there is a clear signal which I’ll explain in detail,
once we get past the event.

If I lose this prediction, you can all laugh; but if I WIN, you may
begin to take it seriously. In any case, I’ll do a post-trade
analysis.

WATCH THIS SPACE, and I’ll also do a post-mortem analysis
of the Trade.

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

BOO-YAH WINNING TRADE !!

Or, rather, I’ll just say a lowercase “boo-yah” since this
was a fairly tepid move which ran up AUD/CHF by about
7 PIPs and will probably run to no more than 10 PIPs.

Not huge; not exciting enough to write home about, right ?? LOL

The point is: Yes, this little boo-yah is not gonna impress you
skeptical traders but it is an illustration that:

1. The method works, and
2. The method is also extremely sensitive, even to small moves
   …and we’re in the horrible Asian Session LOL

If there’s any interest, then I’ll take you through the process of
predicting…

BUT, BEFORE YOU MAKE ANY DEFINITIVE COMMENTS,
ESPECIALLY LUKE WARM OR NEGATIVE COMMENTS,
READ ALL OF THE POSTS MADE TODAY, WORD FOR WORD,
PLEASE !

AUD/CHF price move as predicted:

Realtime CURRENCY reactions:

[edit] Also showing a CloseOption dot com Binary CALL Option
for this trade also:

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

CURRENCY VALUATION DISTORTIONS: BUBBLES

I have alluded to “bubbles” and it should come as no surprise that
the Market Movers use their financial power or muscle
to intentionally distort a Currency’s valuation, relative to its
true center value . I suppose this is part of the concept
of price elasticity for purposes of making profit.

As I said, the Market Movers could best be understood
as Market Manipulators since they distort valuations
in order to take large positions, and then eventually the
valuations are returned to normal.

These distortions are best understood as “bubbles” which
form, and which are then burst as valuations return to
their true levels.

This actually happened a few hours ago, and I’ve just tried
to annotate it to explain how NZD was up-valued prior
to NZD Inflation Expectations at 02:00 GMT (overnight
for me – I was asleep) and then how clearly NZD returned
to its baseline or “true” valuation level.

The Market Movers enjoyed profits both on 1) the up-valuation
move, and hold; and then 2) on the RE-valuation “bursting of
the bubble” on the News Event release. This is a very clear
example of the information we use to make predictions.

When you can see the Currency Trends and relative Valuations,
from a trading perspective, you can see where the Market
Manipulators er…, umm… the Market Movers are expecting
to move on the News !

hyperscalper

[paul1000]

Jeeeeeezzz… that’s a lot of posts and effort to ‘help’ people… I full time trade the Economic News Events with some success (fingers crossed so far)… I would never give away fully (or even partially) info on how I do it… and I would never seek to make further gains by offering complete internet forum randoms to pay in to a scheme that would flood the system with people directly copying my strategy and competing with me.

I will say however, I’d 100% not recommend it … you have to be a total 100% unique out of the box weirdo such as myself to devote full time to building a strategy that is the most risky of all within the Forex arena… As I have done, you will have to code your own Robot (not an Expert Adviser code) that works as fast as the super computers that the banks use with their robots when they trade which causes any movements. You have to have a mega strategy, and a custom built robot to trade it for you… a crazy daft combination.

[HyperScalper]

Jeeeeeezzz… that’s a lot of posts and effort to ‘help’ people… I full time trade the Economic News Events with some success (fingers crossed so far)… I would never give away fully (or even partially) info on how I do it… and I would never seek to make further gains by offering complete internet forum randoms to pay in to a scheme that would flood the system with people directly copying my strategy and competing with me.

I will say however, I’d 100% not recommend it … you have to be a total 100% unique out of the box weirdo such as myself to devote full time to building a strategy that is the most risky of all within the Forex arena… As I have done, you will have to code your own Robot (not an Expert Adviser code) that works as fast as the super computers that the banks use with their robots when they trade which causes any movements. You have to have a mega strategy, and a custom built robot to trade it for you… a crazy daft combination.

@paul1000
Thanks for replying. Let me comment on a few of your points.

1. Yes, I am trying to ‘help’ traders by helping you to understand how
   Market Mover intentions can be discovered through sensitive Currency
   Analytics, and how those movements cannot be concealed as easily
   as they are when watching only Currency Pairs. And because they
   cannot conceal those manipulations or distortions, we as traders can
   discern more clearly what their intentions and investment directions
   are… in preparation for upcoming News Events which affect the
   Currency in question.

2. “Giving away information” on how this is done, can in no way
   change the outcomes. I don’t need to keep this information to myself,
   since the Forex market is HUGE and cannot be affected by a few
   traders who are better able to predict, by using this information.

3. One issue here is the proprietary nature of the information, in the
   sense that it has to be accessible to traders; and I know of no other
   sources.

4. Another issue is Training or Mentoring on how to best interpret
   the data. I’ll try in this forum to provide FREE advice; but that is
   necessarily limited. It certainly isn’t going to be real time, in many
   cases, but I’m committed to providing both a) the data, and b) the
   general concepts of interpretation and trade predictions here.

5. RISK is a very good topic. Note that a) with strong prediction from
   Analysis, RISK is necessarily reduced to a great extent. And also
   note that b) either Binary Options or other options can be used to
   control risk, or appropriate Lot Sizing needs to be employed
   appropriately by traders. YES, due to the inherent volatility,
   News Events are generally to be avoided, but it is the intent of
   this information and data, to make those opportunities much
   more safely accessible to traders.

6. NONE of this requires any form of "micro scalping* since it
   applies on timeframes which “normal traders” use; with manual
   trading techniques. No high speed or super computer
   resources are needed here. This is ordinary trading but
   targetting News Events which have high potential for short
   term profitability.

I HOPE THESE ADDRESS SOME OF YOUR COMMENTS.
I DON’T SEE WHY THESE PRINCIPLES AND THIS STRATEGY
AND THE DATA ON WHICH IT DEPENDS,
SHOULD NOT BE DISCLOSED TO TRADERS. WHY NOT?

Forex Trading is not a “zero sum” game here; where disclosure of
a successful approach is going to change any Forex behavior. It
is simply too huge and liquid a market in general.

[EDIT] I’d say I’m 101% out of the box “weirdo” myself, in the sense
that I push things pretty far in R&D investigations… (you have
no idea the extreme things I’ve done)… so I try to avoid pushing
"normal traders" into the weird areas. But using Currency Trend
Analysis for ordinary Forex traders is, I think, the only rational
way for them to profit consistently on “normal” manual trading
timeframes.

hyperscalper

[Adolfson]

Interesting… I trade the News and see the importante macro data that can really mové and I wait After the event and catch the trend… And can take few minutes or little more. And that’s it… Simple… (kiss method) keep it simple) Work for me… But is interesting to see you method

[HyperScalper]

@Adolfson

I wait After the event and catch the trend

Yeah, well that might work since the major trend should
have the mythical “momentum”. But I like to get in
before the News Event.

Study this image, and I’ll bet if you look very closely (well,
I marked it up to show what you’re looking for…)
then you can see the upward “setup” for AUD
before the event, and the the down move…

I think it was AUD Employment data:

Sometimes, as you can see, the sensitivity of the data is
important, and it can seem like a very subtle setup bias !

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

EUR GERMAN PRELIMINARY GDP

First move, as predicted is UP for EUR !

hyperscalper

[HyperScalper]

REVIEW OF WHAT WE ARE DOING HERE

What we are not doing:

We are NOT relying upon any of the Analyst or Pundits, even
though it is very important for you to be aware of their
possible predictions about what may happen !!!

WHAT WE ARE DOING

We ARE RELYING upon the technical behavior of the Market
in Forex, which uses sensitive Currency Trend Analysis to show
us WHERE MARKET MOVERS ARE PLACING THEIR BETS
and what appears to be their expectation and intention about
the upcoming News Event .

We are saying: *Show me where Market Movers are placing their
investments in the Currency" ahead of the News, which will
generally result in a Reversal or Profit Taking Move by these
primary Market Movers, when the News is Released.

Our First Move Theory takes into account the positioning of a
CURRENCY and does NOT PRIMARILY CONSIDER CURRENCY
PAIRS , at least, not until we make a final decision on a Pair to
Trade.

MARKET MOVERS use Deception, and the fact that Currency Pair
movements are Confusing and DO NOT SHOW CLEARLY how
the MM’s are positioning a CURRENCY prior to the News Event.

SENSITIVE CURRENCY TREND ANALYTICS allows us to See
through the Deception and Concealment so we can directly see
where a CURRENCY is being moved ! MM’s cannot conceal this
from us, and cannot confuse us by distortions in particular Currency
Pairs, as is the case with the more conventional approach in
Forex.

So, in general, Forex traders should focus much less on Currency Pairs
and much more on CURRENCY trend movements which generally
will help us to find Currency Pairs to trade, as a final stage in the
process.

WE WANT TO PREDICT and generally enter the Market BEFORE
THE EVENT instead of trying to chase a Move in Progress. If we
can predict the move; then we are not affected by slippage which can
occur on extreme volatility as happens with some News Events.

AHEAD OF THE NEWS is the setup of MM’s position in the CURRENCY,
and the aftermath of the News is PROFIT TAKING BY MM’s in the
aftermath of the News Event.

THESE MOVES WILL TAKE PLACE EVEN WHEN THE MARKET
EXPECTS A ‘NO CHANGE’ and, indeed, this is the most common
outcome. But the Price moves can be significant even though
everyone knows that the News content may only be Neutral or No change !!

Hoping this helps you to begin to grasp how this technique is used,
and why it can be expected to produce a high degree of accuracy in
prediction; once we accept that this is a better way to view News Event
predictions. PRACTICE AND SKILL ARE STILL REQUIRED so that
we are able to evaluate the data in a logical and rational way, in the
wide variety of situations and types of News which regularly occur !!!

hyperscalper