I opened a new position in USDJPY currently the indicators looks strong to go short, but in the last hours I missed an opportunity of more than 100 pips that the HLHB system would catch easily, I hope I didn’t arrive late to the bearish trend.
I can confirm with the ADX a strong trend since the indicator is higher than 25.
Hello @anon46773462, I have a question I hope you can help me, previously you mentioned something about a 200 EMA, How do you use 200 EMA in your trades?
The 1H chart shows that bearish trend of the last days in USDJPY, but there are 2 specific hours with more than 50 pips change, maybe I should start to use the economic calendar to understand better the fundamental behind these impacts
It is the 200 SMA not the EMA that I use. (maybe I made a typo before? Can’t find it now!)
There is no magic behind the choice of this MA. I only keep an eye on it because it is widely used in forex markets as a S/R level/zone. This means there is reason to be cautious in entering a position that is close to, and towards, this line as it may reject and reverse there -. better in those circumstances to just wait and watch what happens.
The nice thing about a system like HLHB is that it keeps a clear chart and therefore it is easy to add various PA stuff like S/R lines and trendlines etc without the overall chart becoming too cluttered.
Hope you all had a great day, there were many pips to be had and I wish you all a happy weekend!
Congrats @ria_rose for starting your own thread and testing HLHB system. I am really glad that most of the senior members are also actively participating in your (Newbie) thread.
Here are few of your posts few times back from which you would observed that how much confidence you have acquired in yourself as well as in your trading and have also improved better understanding of the charts.
I’ve been doing some kind of recap over the last week (but only for EU) just to summarise how it would have turned out if traded according to 5/10 crossovers and RSI. (I don’t really like the ADX indicator, I’ve never used it and I don’t find much benefit from it here, either - so I’ve ignored its input here).
There are two reasons for doing this:
Last week was quite a narrow range and it is interesting to see how this trend-based method survived in a trendless week.
My own recognition of signals seems to differ sometimes from the system owner and I would really like to try and find out why!! I will compare my own signals for last week with those from HLHB when they are published on her blog (especially trades 3 and 4 are questionable).
I had a total of 5 signals, the first of which was opened the prior week on Fri 13.7. and was closed last Tuesday and the 5th trade was opened on Fri 20.7. and is still open.
Even though the week was trendless the end result was positive with +33 pips from closed positions and +65 on the open position number 5. But the table also shows how inefficient this kind of crossover method is when the moves are fairly small - the end two columns show the max number of pips each move achieved, which can be compared with the actual pips that the crossovers achieved.
No great surprises here.
This is a theoretical analysis only and ignores spreads, slippage, commissions, etc. Since we all seem to be trading this method with different variations, I just thought it might be useful to analyse it this way i.e. close to the original (with the exception of the ADX)
Thanks for that analysis @anon46773462 - In honesty I’m surprised it came out that well - that 65 pip ongoing bet is going to cash at least 30 pips on it’s own I would guesstimate.
As you say - somewhat wasteful of pips, but bearing in mind most cannot manage to trade a week positive at all, It give a great start for newbies, especially when as you say it is a trending system used in a consolidation zone !
From your chart, even to get the results you got, we cannot afford to miss the entry by even one bar and there are cases (pn bar - middle area of trade (1) ) where an early exit would have cost a significant number of pips which the bet recovered and went in to make a profit. The inference I take from this is that a LOT of time needs to be spent at the screen, so as not to miss a bet, or it needs to be a programmed trading system !
Seems to me as well, that it would be most unlikely to go more than 30 - 40 pips into loss without an opposing crossover, save on “News” (which is often temporarty move in any case) or a “Black Swan event” - did / would you use a catastrophy Stop loss in there at say 100 pips ?
Ooooh. Then I must really check that out. I was planning to do so but I guess I got a bit busy that I just focused on EUR and GBP. Did you open a position?
Awww Thank you so much @anon58863749! It took me a while to really share my demo experiences here but it’s all thanks to you guys that I finally gathered the courage to share. Haha. I was so scared to be judged. But, I realized that people here are just super awesome so I don’t really need to worry that much, as long as I’m sincere and hardworking.
It was the weekend over here already so I guess I just missed the pips again cause I was sleeping!! I guess I’ll just try to make up for those next week. Haha.
Happy weekend guys! Get some rest. You’ve all done great!
As I anticipated, the EURUSD chart is very different to my own. Clearly, I cannot replicate the signals that the system is supposed to generate! Whereas I had 5 trades, Huck only had one! and that wasn’t until Friday where we did actually agree.
I did mention that my trades 3 and 4 were dubious due to the ADX (and which my own similar method did not agree with) but I do not understand why the long trade opened on 13.7. and the short trade on 17.7.did not register on the official version. Here are the three set-ups side by side - I find it hard to distinguish why those with the red dotted lines (mine) are invalid compared with Huck’s one and only signal on the RHS (which we both registered).MAs cross, RSI crosses and even the ADX is crossing. I do not know how precisely all three of these HAVE to occur precisely on the same candle. In my opinion if the next candle also confirms all three then there is a valid signal. HUCK mentioned in one post that crossovers should have occured “recently”. I am not sure what “recently” means in the context of a mechanical system, but it does at least suggest that all three crosses do not have to occur simultaneously.
The good news is that taking the other two would have earned pips anyway! But I cannot continue “testing” a system where I cannot even confidently interpret the signals correctly! So I won’t continue with this any more.
Hi Manxx , i can only think that she use closed price for the indicator… and dont forget that different broker can have a little difference in the value of indicator… further more she enter only if the condition are meet on the candle that generate the cross…I can not think of anything else … If she can reply will be great and clear
and I wish you all a happy weekend!
I will compare my own signals for last week with those from HLHB when they are published on her blog (especially trades 3 and 4 are questionable).
Then I must really check that out. 
I was planning to do so but I guess I got a bit busy that I just focused on EUR and GBP. 
Haha. I was so scared to be judged. 
I guess I’ll just try to make up for those next week. 
I just checked my demo account and apparently, I still have a running trade. 
I’m at 85 pips for GBPUSD. Yaaaay! 
. Santa Claus is still towards the North Pole from here 
Whereas I had 5 trades, Huck only had one! and that wasn’t until Friday where we did actually agree.