But now I’m even more curious about this “System” and think about buying it. I don’t care about spending $100 to find out about something, I want to know. But I care about time! If somebody can explain, why I’m wasting my time here, I’ll at once forget about this and concentrate on my other businesses …
You raise some very good questions Dan. I can only give you my perspective on them so I hope its of some use. Why is it a waste of money? because there are many useable systems here on the forum and you can analyse any number of them for free to understand there basis. If such a system worked it would not make the banks millions because they would all be on the same side of the trade and there would be no takers, think about it
You see, only thing I know about forex is, that it’s a science. I don’t want to become a forex scientist, I only ask myself, if it is possible, to take advantage of this huge market in any form with a system.
No its not a science. Extensive research (most recently quoted in John Mauldins ‘thoughts from the frontline’ have shown that technical analysis conveys no advantage over the long term. But what has been shown is that trending is a real phenomena and potentially can be exploited. Doing this though is an art and requires psychological fortitude ++
For me as an “outsider” there is more room to move. Maybe an example can make clear, what I mean: I use my computer to make money online, this computer is my system. I’m not a programmer and I don’t know fortran, except of, that it is, what makes a computer work. But I know, what to do with my computer, to make money online. I have no idea, what happens inside my computer, when a buyer sends me money, and I don’t care. I care about success, not the means. When I use working systems in the right way, I’ll have success.
I understand your point but if you dont understand your edge then how will you keep going through the bad times
Now what is forex, is it a game like “deal or no deal”? Hopefully not, for such a stupid game I don’t need a system, as well as for any kind of lottery. But there are very sophisticated, attractive, addictive systems to make you lose money. Don’t need such a system for forex.
There are no games you can play with an allways winning system, looks like the same with the forex game?
The analogy with Deal is not that it is a game show, but that it exposes the psychology of people which prevents them from winning at trading
Recently I read an article about pleople, still searching for a “Roulette System”. How stupid is that? 50/50 odds are wasted time (or just fun), but the zero (or even with 00) makes the house win and the gambler lose, in the long run, basta. Is that comparable to forex? I don’t hope so.
The only way to win the roulette is, if you own the house. What a “System”, to have a share on the other side of the forex table??
If you have a real edge then YOU are the casino
Anyways, in my fantasy there may be repeating patterns in forex charts, that analyzed by a comtuter program by the millions can create a system producing more than 50/50 odds. Fantasy, wasted time?
I think it is more correct to observe that price action does at times do reasonably predictable things that can give you that elusive edge
Some links to articles about this topic appreciated (not how to trade or salesletters, please)
Sorry dont have. Mauldin is proprietary though free so you can wack that in your browser. I find it far and away the best commentary on all things financial
PS: Sorry about my lousy kraut english, my second language …