March 16th in this thread I posted VIX target $16 for a duration for 2-8 weeks from a quote of $12.88. The target was a success, it filled this week at the end of the duration for a 24% difference.
This thread has had high accuracy in hitting targets within or nearly within posted duration. I’m going to create some new threads with a simpler format in order to be more organized for viewers.
Check my profile AUdvantages to see what my new threads are.
EURUSD cleared target 1.126 today for the 0.5% difference from original quotes, 12 days after the idea was initiated, 2 days outside the intended duration 1-10 days.
Closing thread with that success, check profile for new threads upcoming that I will use to organize my trade ideas better.
EURUSD going up.
Target 1.135 and 1.14 for a 1% and 1.4%, respectively.
Latest quote 1.1237.
I made a full thread to extend that EURUSD reply.
GBPUSD target 1.27 quote 1.256 for a 1.1% difference.
Duration 1-6 weeks.
GBPUSD target 1.27 reached from original quote of 1.256 for a 1.1% difference.
The target closed in 2 days; relative to the 7-42 day target.
Current quote 1.2708. Previous highs 1.2723 today.
Closing time.
June 24th.
Russell 2000 leads US stock indexes on the downside after the Dow 30 opened up.
Dow 30, NASDAQ and S&P 500 remain mostly flat (and down) to close this Monday.
Gold remains up and steady.
Bear sign for the NASDAQ, S&P 500 and Russell 2000. Outlook 1-3 weeks. Downside expectations are around 5% from latest quotes, Russell 2000 quoted $1,532.
June 28th, 2019
USD short trade is back on, EUR pullback much slighter than I anticipated after my target was hit surprisingly quickly in a specific thread I made about it this month (June). The USDCNY looks weak on the 1-month chart. The CAD is paired with the USD short as well as a hedge. The JPY short hedge is ongoing from another thread this month. It’s time to gear up again. Also time to take some profits on short majors vs. exotics; including South African Rand, Turkish Lira, Brazilian Real and the Indian Rupee.
Bullish - EUR and GBP
Bearish - USD, JPY and CAD
Outlook - 2-12 weeks
EURUSD - Buy - Target: 1.145 - Quote: 1.138 - Difference: 0.6%
EURJPY - Buy - Target: 123.5 - Quote: 122.6 - Difference: 0.7%
EURCAD - Buy - Target: 1.5 - Quote: 1.49 - Difference: 0.6%
GBPJPY - Buy - Target: 138.5 - Quote: 136.9 - Difference: 1.1%
GBPCAD - Buy - Target: 1.695 - Quote: 1.665 - Difference: 1.8%
PS: I’m still figuring a new content format out. I haven’t transitioned to it yet.
July 2nd 2019
XAUUSD (Gold - US Dollar) looks good to short sell after selling into an intra-day bounce.
Quote XAUUSD $1,406 with a target to sell to $1,380 for a 1.8% difference. Duration 1-30 days.
June 28th QUOTE
June 9th
Prices improved dramatically in the past 11 days. Time to double across the board.
7 days in and bear signs (positive for XAUUSD short-sell outlook) continue to mount.
GBPUSD target 1.264 quote 1.252 0.9% difference. Duration 1-6 weeks.
July 11th
Macro-market difficulties with current Forex pricing
CAD, AUD, CHF, JPY rallied in the short-term but prices are still risking relative upside in the long-term making the selection for short-sell opportunities more narrow.
July 12th, guidance as a trinket for this content format still being in its’ unfinished limbo phase… Expect a more organized, useful and uniform format in the future; eventually.
Commodities
XAUUSD (Gold - US Dollars) - Quote $1,415. Anticipate downside towards $1,375-$1,340 which is a 3%-5% difference. Reason being 5-year charts makes it apparent its’ upside has extended fully, distribution near highs and a consolidation pattern marked by lower lows on the 30-day chart makes it apparent this trend has probably reached its’ zenith and is poised to pull back.
Brent Crude Oil in US Dollars - Neutral outlook with probabilities favoring upside for a 1-6 month outlook.
Foreign Currency Exchange
US Dollar - Anticipate downside for a 1-3 week outlook.
Euro - Anticipate upside (contrary to US Dollar) for a 1-4 week outlook.
Great British Pound - Anticipate upside for a 1-3 week outlook.
Japanese Yen - Anticipate downside for a 2-8 week outlook.
Australian Dollar - Anticipate slight upside for a 1-3 month outlook.
Canadian Dollar - Neutral while recognizing it has sharp downside risk with a 2-8 week outlook.
EURUSD - Bullish - 1-3 weeks
GBPUSD - Bullish - 1-2 weeks
EURJPY - Bullish - 2-6 weeks
GBPJPY - Bullish - 2-4 weeks
AUDUSD - Bullish - 1-3 months
USDCAD - Bullish 2-4 weeks
GBPCAD - Bullish 1-3 months
USDSEK - Bearish 1-3 months
USDHUF - Bearish 1-3 months
Stock Market Indexes
Dow Jones Industrial Average - Initiated a corner breakout from all time highs, in this phase of the market cycle this means short-selling or hedging is advisable with probabilities favoring significant downside from current prices with a 1-3 month outlook.
S&P 500 - See above “Dow Jones Industrial Average”.
NASDAQ - See above “Dow Jones Industrial Average”; with probabilities favoring even more significant downside compared to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
FTSE 100 - Bearish outlook 1-3 weeks.
Shanghai Composite Index - Neutral outlook 1-3 months.
Individual Corporate Stocks
AAPL (Apple) - Distributing under highs, momentum failing. Probabilities favor downside from current prices with a 2-12 week outlook.
MSFT (Microsoft) - Prices flattened to end the week slightly above June 24th all time highs. Upside likely to be extremely limited from today’s quote 138.9 while probabilities favor downside with a 2-8 week outlook.
AMZN (Amazon) - Breached May 3rd all time highs this week and began distributing the past 2 days. Probabilities favor downside in the 2-8 week outlook. A short-term trade opportunity has been presented to sell from quote $2,011 targeting $1,937 (3.8% difference) with a 1-3 week outlook.
PTR (Petro China) - Probabilities favor upside with a 1-6 month outlook as it seems to have not priced in the boom in Crude Oil rendering it undervalued. There is a trade opportunity present but this trades value may be diminished as it is poised to rally while the broader market is due to pull back due to speculators taking profits. An advisable defensive hold.
XOM (Exxon Mobil) - Neutral as it is under highs but posted substantial gains in the most recent 2-month period.
JNJ (Johnson & Johnson) - Recent selloff from highs hints at US stock markets to broadly take profits.
F (Ford) - Market cap and relative price combined render it a good stock to hold defensively in expectation of a broader US stock market sell off with a 1-6 month outlook.
HMC (Honda Motor Co) - See above (Ford), it’s a similar scenario and may pair well with F for diversification.
BTC-USD (Bitcoin in US Dollars) - Overvalued with a quote of $11,901 and a market cap of $212-BLN. Bearish 1-6 month outlook ultimately targeting $8,000 for a whopping 48% difference.
FB (Facebook) - Near all time highs from July 2018 will offer great resistance and with it a short-selling opportunity. With a market cap bloated at $580-BLN at quote $204.87 the upside risk may be more limited than the NASDAQ Composite Index.
July 18th
NASDAQ going down, apparent by 1-month and 5-day charts.
NASDAQ quote $8,179 sell target $7,950 for a 2.8% difference with a duration of 1-12 weeks.
Still working on creating a content format…
July 18th
Direction 1-12 weeks; an easy and risk-averse hedge opportunity.
BUY
GBPCAD
GBPAUD
GBPJPY
GBPUSD
EURCAD
EURAUD
EURJPY
EURUSD
I’ve realized short oil exposure seems risky. That goes as well for related Canadian Dollar.
Close EURCAD, GBPCAD.