I stumbled across A professional trader on youtube named Martin Cole. He has opened my eyes to the real world of FX, to understand “why” the market moves the way it does instead of just trading blind off of signals and the formations the chart portrays. He says that 95% of traders look at the shop window instead of through it. This is what most traders do, they use indicators and candle formations and well… most people lose. It says it all really…
He trades Forex without a strategy. He plays “off of the Market Makers own Strategy” He says they use a business system which is as follows.
- accumilation - these are the congestion boxes where Market Makers accumilate either buy orders or sell orders “covertly” so not to be seen doing so (which would break the whole operation). If they want to buy low and sell high they “important!!” MUST PLAY WITH OUR BELIEFS TO MAKE US BELIEVE PRICE WILL FALL"
What does this mean? It means all newbie traders and well, 95% of traders are using there indicators and tools and coming to the decision price will go down when infact the Market Makers move the market not us, and are 100% certain to make price rise!! They use us to oppose there trades. They need us to sell so they can buy…
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Manipulation - All the false breaks and whipsaws… this is merely the Market Maker finishing off there quota of buy/sell orders. They may have 90% and need another 10%. How do they get it? by pushing price to “important” WHERE TRADERS HAVE PUT THERE STOP LOSSES IN ORDER TO GAIN BULK BUY ORDERS and finish the quota. You see Market Makers have access to information we do not. To put it simply were all using the tools they want us to use so that they can trick us into placing trades, and they will use this to there advantage whenever they want to add to there accumilation by eating up our stop losses and add to their accumilation process… Think about it. When we place a sell order below a key support line… they know this. They eagle eye the bulk of buy stop losses above the support line and target this area to get buy orders from us.
Why do we all get stopped out only to see price turn around 1 pip later and go on to what would have been a massive profit? exactly because of this, the Market Maker just took out our stops to add to their accumilation. -
Profit release - The break out, the trend. This is the “only” time the Market Makers invite us to join in. Why? well all the accumilated buy orders they took from owning us in the congestion box, buying low… they now need us to push prices up so they can sell back for profits. It’s supply and demand. When they oversell this is the retrace, not only this, they will happily play off the fear in traders and use our SL for accumilating mre buy orders before prices rise again. This process repeats until exaustion and then goes back into another accumilation phase to start all again. This is why we see zig zags formations. You see it’s not good enough to now that fibs work some times… you must understand why price is retracing!
Now I have surely misses out vital points here and probably not explained it very well. But now I actually understand why price moves the way it does.
So I will never look at Forex in the same way ever again. I will be plotting the likely areas where traders will place Stop losses and focusing my attention closely at these point because that area is likely where price is going.
The magic to this, is that you can get winners by default. Even the Market Makers have to show their hand eventually. This might be shown in the form of a false break. Why was there a fault break? they took out our stops and price is likely to go the other way to what we thought.
I’m explaining this **** but anyway… most traders lose and this is the reason why. If your tricked into the belief that price will fall but the Market Maker is only accumilating buy orders on the other end of your trade… your going to be trading the wrong way… lol
The trick is waiting for them to reveal their hand and then getting in the trade at the right time. Don’t be a victim of there manipulation.
Now… i’m not saying this is the Holy grail or anything of the sort. Infact I feel I understand what i’m looking at on the screen alot better but jesus… it doesnt help know when to enter and exit trades. To know when the Market Maker is actually going to go into stage 3 “profit release” is very difficult Im at the stage where im staring at the chart thinking “hmmm” but i think soon I would be able to read the mind of the big boys purely by looking for when they show their hand…
Some people say that Market Makers do not do any of this, that they do not manipulate the market. BS!!
It’s a business and they have a model. The Market is not too big to control in this way. The various Market makers communicate with each other and take us traders all for mugs… I truly beleive what Martin Cole has taught is true and very very helpful. Check him out. Buy his Ebook on Amazon for £6. Very worth it… I did. But don’t sign up to his course. Total ripp off…
I’m unsure how all this works with multiple time frames… by that I mean how this kind of manipulation business model creates fractals… I’m also unsure how it works with news. But that;s for another day.
Thanks