GBPCAD is taking off from a key horizontal support.
The price has formed a bullish engulfing candle on 4h, approaching that structure.
A double bottom on an hourly time frame was formed.
I expect a pullback to: 1.618 / 1.622
I expect a pullback to: 1.618 / 1.622
Resistance 1: 0.6412 - 0.644 area
Resistance 2: 0.6505 - 0.6538 area
Support 1: 0.619 - 0.6226 area
Support 2: 0.6155 - 0.6165 area
Support 3: 0.606 - 0.6095 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
Here are the important key levels to watch on Gold.
Resistance 1: Major broken trend line
Resistance 2: 1897 - 1904 area
Resistance 3: 1946 - 1959 area
Support 1: 1817 - 1832 area
Support 2: 1765 - 1777 area
The market remains relatively weak.
It looks like the market may retest the broken trend line.
Update for USDJPY.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed breakout of a falling parallel channel on a daily.
The price has nicely respected the underlined blue zone we considered the buy zone.
The price bounced from that and set a new local higher-high higher close.
I will expect a further bullish continuation.
Next resistance - 134.5
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watchlist.
Dollar Index (#DXY) daily time frame
The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range.
Taking into consideration that the index is very bullish from the beginning of February,
I believe that a bullish rally will continue.
Wait for a bullish breakout of the resistance of the range,
daily candle close above that will most likely trigger a bullish continuation.
#GBPUSD daily time frame
The pair was rejected heavily from a key daily structure resistance.
A rejection candle with a long wick was formed.
It indicates an intense bearish pressure.
I believe that the pair will most likely keep falling.
#USDCAD daily time frame
The market is trading within a wide horizontal trading range.
Its support was reached yesterday, and the market was rejected from that.
Probabilities are high that a resistance of the range will be reached soon.
#EURNZD daily time frame
The price is forming a substantial ascending triangle formation.
A bullish breakout of its resistance will initiate a solid bullish wave.
Wait for a daily candle close above the neckline as a confirmation.
After a strong bearish movement, the pair is consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range.
1.065 - 1.068 is its support.
I am waiting for its breakout (daily candle close below) to be short.
The pair will most likely drop then.
The goal will be 1.053
EURJPY finally broke and closed above a major horizontal resistance cluster on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a key support now.
I will expect a bullish continuation to 145.0 / 146.3 levels.
AUDNZD reached a wide horizontal demand area.
The price formed a double top on that.
Its neckline has just been broken.
I expect a pullback to 1.101 / 1.102
[Consistent actions lead to consistent results]
I remembered my first trading system.
It was a Bollinger Band mean reversion strategy.
You buy when the price is at the lower band and sell when it’s at the upper band.
The first few trades I did were winners, then the losses came and I figured this trading strategy doesn’t work.
So, I moved on.
Next, I chanced upon harmonic patterns.
I spent half a year learning how to draw these patterns (guess I’m a slower learner).
At the start, I had some wins but slowly, the losses kicked in and eroded all my profits.
Again, I told myself…
“This trading strategy doesn’t work. Let’s try something else.”
This brought me to the world of price action trading, support and resistance, candlestick patterns, etc.
Again, the same pattern repeated itself.
I had some winners, some losers, and I gave up the strategy.
One day, I asked myself…
“Why does this always happen?”
“Why am I not getting any consistency in my trading?”
“It’s always a few winners and then the losses pile up and take everything away.”
Do you know what I realized?
The problem was me.
I was hopping from one trading strategy to the next.
My actions were inconsistent. And because my actions were inconsistent, I got inconsistent results (duh).
So, don’t make my mistakes.
If you want consistent results from trading, you must have consistent actions.
Stick to one trading strategy, master it—and then move on.
GBPCAD reached a key daily structure support.
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern on that
and broke its neckline, then.
I expect a pullback to 1.6165 / 1.62
EURCAD is approaching a solid horizontal resistance cluster.
The price formed a double top, testing that.
Its neckline was broken then.
I expect a bearish move to 1.4333 / 1.4319 levels now.
So the range, that we spotted earlier on Dollar Index, is finally broken.
The market successfully closed above that on a daily.
Now a further bullish continuation is expected.
Next target - 105.1
CADJPY broke and closed above a wide horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone now.
Probabilities will be high that the price will bounce from that.
Next resistance - 100.95
Gold reached a solid horizontal key level this week.
The price formed a doji candle on that on Thursday and then a rejection candle was formed.
We see the attempt of buyers to push.
To catch a pullback, watch a falling parallel channel and a minor horizontal supply zone.
I would suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of these 2. It will most likely trigger the initiation of a correctional movement.
Let 4h candle close above the trend line and a yellow area to confirm the breakout.
Goal will be 1866.
I will monitor this trading setup and post an update later on.
EURNZD broke and closed above a neckline of a huge ascending triangle formation on a daily.
Watch the underlined blue zone carefully. It is a contracting buy zone based on a trend line and a broken neckline.
I will expect a bullish wave from that.
Next resistance - 0.728
Here is my fresh structure analysis for USDJPY.
Resistance 1: 134.48 - 135.475 area
Resistance 2: 137.6 - 138.6 area
Support 1: 132.6 - 132.9 area
Support 2: 129.7 - 131.05 area
Support 3: 127.2 - 128.2 area
Consider these structures for pullback, breakout trading.
We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout on Dollar Index.
The market is retesting that at the moment.
To catch a bullish move from that with a confirmation, watch a double-bottom pattern on the 4H time frame.
104.05 - 104.09 is its neckline.
Wait for its bullish breakout; we need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then to 104.55.
If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will become invalid.
CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
The goal for buyers - 101.0
NZDJPY is taking off from key support.
The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline.
Goals: 84.35 / 84.8