Update for my yesterday’s post on 
Dollar Index.
The market successfully broke the neckline of a triple bottom pattern on 4H.
We see a positive bullish reaction after a retest.
A bullish continuation is expected now to 104.56 / 104.95
[Here’s why you need proper risk management in trading]
Imagine:
There are two traders, John and Sally.
They both start with a $1,000 account
John is an aggressive trader and he risks $250 on each trade.
Sally is a conservative trader and she risks $20 on each trade.
Both adopt a trading strategy that wins 50% of the time with an average of 1:2 risk to reward.
Over the next 8 trades, the outcomes are Lose Lose Lose Lose Win Win Win Win.
Here’s the outcome for John:
-$250 -$250 -$250 -$250 = BLOW UP
Here’s the outcome for Sally:
-$20 -$20 -$20 -$20 +$40 +$40 +$40 +$40 = +$80
Do you see the power of risk management?
So here’s the deal:
As a trader, you’ll encounter losses regularly.
But with proper risk management, you can contain these losses till it feels like an “ant bite”.
The market keeps coiling on a critical daily horizontal support.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, I spotted a potential inverted head & shoulders pattern.
The price has already completed the left shoulder and the head and currently, it is forming the right shoulder.
1842 - 1850 is its horizontal neckline.
The trigger to buy Gold will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above).
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1866 / 1879 levels then.
If the price sets a new low, the pattern will become invalid though.
CADJPY reached a solid horizontal key level yesterday.
The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken then.
I expect a bullish move to 100.0 / 100.25
GBPAUD was stuck for some time on 1.75 - 1.763 horizontal supply area.
That structure was finally broken this week.
It turned in a demand zone now.
I will expect a bullish wave from that at least to 1.788
[Removed for Forums Policy Violation]
EURGBP has nicely respected a wide 4H horizontal supply area.
The price formed a triple top pattern on that and broke its neckline then.
I expect a bearish move to 0.8798 / 0.8789
Nasdaq Index is approaching a key daily structure resistance.
The price has formed a descending triangle formation on that on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken, and an hourly candle closed below that, confirming a highly probable coming bearish movement.
Next support: 12000
USDJPY is testing a solid horizontal daily resistance.
If the price breaks and closes above 134.5 - 135.5 area,
it will push the market much higher.
The next goal for buyers will be 137.6 level.
So it turned out that Gold dropped again.
After the release of US fundamentals on Friday,
bears started to push.
The price managed to close below a key daily horizontal structure support cluster.
It turned into resistance now.
Probabilities are high, and the market will keep falling next week.
Next support - 1787
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 105.3 - 105.8 area
Resistance 2: 106.8 - 107.2 area
Resistance 3: 107.80 - 108 area
Support 1: 103.6 - 103.95 area
Support 2: 102.25 - 103.2 area
Vertical Support 1: rising trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
Update for my Friday’s post on USDJPY.
The price managed to close above a solid resistance cluster.
It turned into a support now.
The bullish rally will most likely continue.
Next resistance - 137.8
Wait for an occasional retest of a broken structure for safer entries.
Gold is retesting a recently broken structure.
The price has nicely respected a confluence point based on the underlined resistance and 618 retracement of the last bearish impulse.
As the extra confirmation, the price formed a double top pattern.
I expect a bearish move to 1808 / 1801
Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCAD.
Resistance 1: 1.366 - 1.3707 area
Resistance 2: 1.3745 - 1.381 area
Support 1: 1.347 - 1.352 area
Support 2: 1.3225 - 1.329 area
Vertical Support 1: major falling trend line .
Consider these structures for pullback or breakout trading strategy.
Here is the wave analysis for EURCAD.
The market is currently consolidating with a horizontal trading range on a weekly, after a strong bullish impulse.
1.46 - 1.465 is the resistance of the range,
1.423 - 1.43 is its support.
The upper boundary of the range matches perfectly with a key weekly resistance.
Depending on the reaction of the price to the boundaries of the range, I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price breaks and closes above the resistance of the range, one more bullish wave will be expected.
While, a bearish breakout of the support of the range will most likely initiate a correctional movement.
Wait for a breakout and then follow the market.
GBPJPY remains very bullish from the beginning of the year.
After the last impulsive movement, the market retraced to a peculiar confluence zone.
I see a perfect match between 0.5 retracement of the last bullish leg and a horizontal structure support.
I will expect a pullback from that to 165.0 / 165.7
Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCHF.
Support 1: 0.928 - 0.933 area
Support 2: 0.922 - 0.923 area
Support 3: 0.9137 - 0.916 area
Resistance 1: 0.942 - 0.946 area
Resistance 2: 0.954 - 0.955 area
Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading.
Dow Jones Index reached a key level.
Testing that, the price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and broke a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern then.
I expect a pullback now.
Goals: 32950 / 33110
EURCAD broke and closed above a major horizontal supply cluster with a high momentum bullish candle yesterday.
1.441 - 1.446 is now turned into a demand zone.
I will expect a bullish wave from that area to 1.455 / 1.46 levels.
Crude Oil is coiling on a key horizontal resistance.
The price formed a double top pattern, testing that
and broke its neckline then.
We may see a retracement from the underlined blue zone.
Goals: 76.9 / 76.36
