Dorian is shaping up to be a monster.
A visible-wavelength high-resolution satellite image shows the sharply defined eye of Hurricane Dorian at around 2200Z (6 pm EDT) Friday, August 30, 2019. Image credit: tropicaltidbits.com
Right now, Dorian is a category-4 hurricane, heading directly toward Palm Beach, Florida.
But, according to the National Hurricane Center, the most-probable projected track has Dorian turning sharply toward the north, before it reaches the Florida coast, and then remaining off shore as it follows the Florida coastline toward the Georgia border.
This track would spare most of Florida, although storm-surge up and down Florida’s east coast could be severe. If this track holds, the storm would then make landfall somewhere between Savannah, Georgia, and Charleston, South Carolina, as a weakened category-2 hurricane.
However, the “cone of uncertainty” associated with this projection is so large that almost all of the Florida peninsula is still in the storm’s target zone.
Here’s the projection as of Saturday, August 31, at 1 am EDT.