Trading The News

First check the forex calendar. Mark the big impact news. Place a buy limit and sell limit order based on support and resistance point at the day. Enjoy your life.

News trading is a helpful tool related to the market movements as market is influenced by the impact of the market. Traders always keep an eye on the news sources for getting a clue about the future of the Forex market. Many traders only trade on the base of news impact. Do you know any news trader?

I do not trade during before and after big impact news like NFP. To me trading news is just like gambling. But if you have excellent fundamental knowledge, that’s different. Just by assuming or listening from different news taking a decision is foolishness. Actually most newbie trade during news time because of the fear of missing an opportunity.

Well trading during times different from news proved to be much more complicated, since market is random and even with good risk management you would arrive at breakeven level at best?

Why would news stir some strong market reaction if every trader is adviced not trade? Maybe because it’s new important information which determine true changes of market expectations?

Second last day of the month, descending triangle etc etc:

Note the red line in the image above, see what happened a few hours later below - what’s important is not the red line (it’s been there for many weeks, probably on one of the earlier posts also) , more what happened in between, low was 30, sells would be at 20 so programmed not to go there, protecting the 20 means the bots are in buy mode:

Finally, in the absence of news were there are techs indicating a little Euro buying?

10yr German and US bonds with Eur/Usd:

Or maybe USDX would be better:

Sometime before news high impact was released the movement on the market on low volatile, like as yesterday when news adp no farm employment change beforex releases the market on slow movement and tendencies being flat, but after news been released then eurusd on bullish strong

Month end over - Euro land woes remain, even heightened re Spain so guess what happens:

Almost boring but yet again anything on TA (thinking with the FA) to suggest the fall on Eur/Gbp today, i.e. Euro weakness?

Using US10yr (risk)

And to be completely boring was there anything else, not too technical, just something simple like…

Trading the news and trading the techs, imagine the power of two :slight_smile:

And finally that’s all hindsight nonsense, as always it’s right side that counts.

The market is unsure, that hammer - the wick didn’t get to the 20, sells were not triggered.

Some risk over the weekend, upcoming trade war (mostly losers are consumers) Italy and Spain politics etc.

Possible weekend gaps up ahead.
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The uncertainty manifested in price on Monday up, on Tuesday down.

The 20 remained protected, so sells yet again not triggered.

The news factor here is Brexit, the market remains focused on GBP side of the news.

If price breaches the 20 on Brexit news then likely soaking of orders between 00 and 20 and then a leg down, sells would be triggered.

And a little more hindsight nonsense, imagine that on Monday evening that a trader agreed with me that the market was unsure, was there anything to back up that it could turn on Tuesday morning UK time - after a tight Asian?

And even more looking back (post 46) - the shift in risk, here is how the Eur/Usd chart looks a week later, that blue line seems to have been a red line for buyers.

And finally over to the right side, tomorrow will be a Brexit news day, it’s difficult to see how the market will react, it already has a sense of that news as the Price Action guys will advise - it’s already priced in.

But is it? - GBP/USD says GBP positive since May 29, 08.00 gmt, so good news for the pound.

Hmmm… thinking in broader terms, looking at that blue line above, then the chart above that c/w it’s red line.

Of course the news was not ‘priced in’ - that’s offered as a reason not to bother learning the news, the blue line gives an indication of how the market perceives the Euro right now, buy or sell.

‘Tomorrow’ in the post above was Thursday which the market knew was going to be a Brexit news day.

The red line was a ‘support’ price where the short term bots were programmed to buy.

Ahhh…the red line

Edit: btw same red line as back in post 45

That was at the close of last week - so how good was the red line for the first half of this week:

Final post on this - just pointing out the value of levels and how they can be used as a reference point - a marker of where buys/sells happen.

Back up I mentioned the 20 level (decided to show that level ).

The day following the above post was a ECB news day and the buys bailed. New or existing buyers came to the game at the 20 level.

Now they are having a think about taking it higher, having gotten past yesterday’s high (that red line yet again :slight_smile:

I know I said final post, but thought I’d mention what happened after above post - price fell on ECB news - back down to the 20 yet again - and of course back up thru the red line before Friday close.

The red line was yet again support this morning - support and resistance in action.