Video Analysis of the Daily and 4 Hour Charts

Hey traders

I believe that avoiding market traps is just as important if not more than capturing profitable trading opportunities.

Today was an example of this.

As you can see below, the accurate warning I gave to the traders I help, averted trading losses on the NZD CAD as it reversed sharply. By using Candlesticks, it is easier to spot and avoid these market traps set every week that lead to losses.

Charts below. Video to follow.

OVERALL SETUP

Pair appeared to be forming a Pennant on the Daily Chart. With the Double Bottoms on the 4 H Chart, it was expected to give us a Bullish Entry Signal to continue higher to target what would be the Resistance Boundary…

DAILY CHART

4 HOUR CHART

Eventually the 4 H Chart started to show signs of providing the needed signal. However, it needed to be of a certain size to justify entry otherwise would be too risky…

CHART OF 4H - SIGNAL NEEDED

Instead of a strong signal, what was given was a weak signal that was too risky… I warned that this was weak and that trading it was not wise…

…and lo and behold…warning was spot on…

There are certain types of Candles that lead to profitable movements but if they are smaller than these, Candles have a low chance of leading to a successful trade…

The Key is being able to distinguish between the profitable ones and the risky ones that lead to reversals and unnecessary losses.

Duane
DRFXTRADING

Here is the video describing how we avoided the market trap above

Duane
DRFX SWING TRADING

Hey traders

100 Pips on GBP AUD as the Pair Rallied in response to the Weekly Chart Double Bottoms and Daily Chart Counter Trend Line Break.

WEEKLY CHART

In addition to the Double Bottoms, there was also a Trend Line Break to support the rally as the pair looks to be in the early stages of the formation of a Consolidation Setup…

DAILY CHART

This was followed by a Counter Trend Line Break on the Daily Chart…

Breaks of these lines are strong indicators of the continuation of the existing trend…

Entry took place with the Stop Loss placed at the Uptrend Line on the 4 Hour Chart …

…and the trading gain that resulted from it…

These are the Setups and the type of Gains you can achieve with Candlestick Signals especially when used on the reliable larger time frames…

This chart represents the 2 approaches I use to take advantage of the larger Pip Ranges provided by the Daily snd 4 Hour Charts…

  1. 50 to 70 Pips

  2. 100 to 200 Pips

The key is being able to predict the 200 to 500 Pip movements of the Larger Time Frames and then choosing the Pip Targets of your choice.

Check out the Video that predicted this move.

Questions…let me know…

Duane
DRFXTRADING

Following along, thanks!

Another GBP AUD trade plus EURO AUD

Candlesticks allow you to forecsat and trade with greater accuracy.

Especially on the larger charts…

Duane
DRFXTRADING

The Video Analysis of the CAD JPY 76 Pip/3.68% Gain on my Live Account shows how Japanese Candlestick Signals allow us to Accurately Predict the Forex for strong trading gains each week.

VIDEO ANALYSIS

https://youtu.be/1pyUutNfEfc.

THE CAD JPY TRADE

In this case, I took advantage of the formation of the Range Consolidation Setup on the Daily Chart.

This result has meant that my Rate of Return since this new approach started in February this year is now up to 10.98% after being down from 16% as at June…

RATE OF RETURN FEBRUARY TO JUNE 30, 2018

RATE OF RETURN FEBRUARY TO SEPTEMBER 13, 2018

This trade along with a small gain on the USD JPY means Return for September is now just below 4%.

DETAILS OF TRADE

As you can see, this recent Bullish Movement that I traded was predicted last week as I expected the formation of this Range…

A few days later, the Bullish Signal was provided as expected…

So what was taking place was that the Resistance Boundary had already been formed with just 1 Support Point formed and the Bullish Signal and rally was then going to create the 2nd Support Point and complete the Range Setup…

Given this signal and the Bull Crown Setup on the 4 Hour Chart…

…the trade therefore had a very strong chance of rallying as expected.

I then went down to the 4 Hour Chart to look for a setup to take advantage of this pair…

There were actually 2 options for your Stop Loss.

  1. Placing your Stop Loss at the Support of the Bullish Candlestick Formation.

  1. Or place it a little higher using the Trend Lines.

The choice depends on how much you want for a Stop Loss. Both options are possible as trendlines offer a strong area to protect your trade.

I decided to use the Trendline for my Stop Loss and therefore this was the Setup I used , with the target set for the area just below the Resistance Boundary…

After the market pulled back temporarily as expected ( to offer an even better entry price)…it rallied to the Resistance Area as expected…

Exit actually took place 5 Pips before the actual target was hit because at the end of the 2-Day Holding Period I set for these types of trades, it had not yet been hit. So decided to exit for 76 Pips instead of waiting indefinitely for just 5 more Pips.

My FXCM Demo Account is used for my Analysis because of the greater clarity of their Charts…but my Live Account trades are done with FXPRO. FXPRO allows me to see the exact Risk% and Return% values and I receive alerts when trades are closed so that we dont have to monitor the trade. However, trades are done both on the FXCM Demo and FXPRO Live Account together.

…so you can see the results on my 4 Hour and Daily Charts from my Live Account…

KEY POINTS

1. NEVER MONITOR THE TRADE

Despite what is a common practice in the Forex, it is highly destructive to monitor your trades and watch the charts. Why?

After you execute a trade, the market will not always shoot to your target in a straight line. It will wave and pullback and eventually resume the movement to your target. If you watch the market and see these movements on your Live Account however, it is natural to become stressed and doubt yourself, leading you to be tempted to close trades too early. Doing this over the long term may reduce your losses , but will self sabotage your profit potential and defeat the purpose of having a profitable strategy.

This is why I recommend having a strategy with a specific Holding Period where 95% of the time it will hit the target within that time without any intervention on your part.

2. ACCURATE EXIT TARGETS

Even though the market tends to hit the Resistance/Support Boundary, there are times when it will pullback and start its reversal without hitting it. This is why I set the trading target to an area just ahead of the Resistance and as you can see from the charts below, the market has in fact started to pull back…

I call this area the ‘Near End’ Value and exiting trades here allows you to avoid sharp reversals that take away your trading gains.

So this was a great trade that showed how accurate Japanese Candlestick Signals - especially when used on the Larger Charts - allows you to Forecast and Aggressively take advantage of the profitable moves of the Forex each week.

Stick to this approach, profits will come.

More to come!!!

Duane
DRFXTRADING

1 Like

This was the latest in a series of trades identified by my Methodology over the last few weeks…proving that Candlestick Signals are your best bet for Trading Success…

GBP AUD

USDJPY

GBP AUD AGAIN

EURO AUD

AUD USD

EURO AUD

1 Like

Possible False Breakout Reversal on the USD JPY. Usually whenever the market struggles like this outside of Consolidation, it means that a reversal back inside is likely to take place soon. Get ready! But we have to wait for the right signals and setups before trading.

DAILY CHART

4 HOUR CHART

Duane
DRFXTRADING

Small trade. Exited early when realized it was overbought. Still got 1.2% from it.

September now up 5.0%…

8 Month Return now up 12.3%. February was when the new strategy started…

It was up by 16% in June after which experienced a little rough patch…

However just a few more trades left to hit 14% again and the 30% target…

Lets see what next week brings.

Hey traders

A more detailed analysis of the USD JPY trade and possible upcoming setups this week.

Duane
DRFXTRADING

29 Pips and 1.5% Return from the EURO USD. Took advantage of EURO weakness over the last few days as it forms Consolidation on Daily Chart and headed to Support. The signal to start selliing it was the Evening Star Bearish Candlestick Signal. The trade shows how to trade the early trends that form Consolidations instead of waiting until they are formed to then trade between Resistance & Support.

Live Account is now up to 14% with favourable statistics…after a period of setbacks in the middle of tge year…The 30% target expected to be hit in the next few weeks.

Average Risk of 2% to 3% per trade, targeting 4% to 5% in most cases. Will therefore need around 4 trades to hit that 30% target.

Duane
DRFXTRADING

Nice!

I just started following you thread things look great!

KC

Great appreciate it. Questions welcomed

Hey traders

4.6% and 46 Pip Gain on the NZDUSD overnight.

Rate of Return now up to 19.35% since the new Methodology began in February…

Meaning only a few trades needed to hit 30%…

Trade basically involved trading to the Support of the Pennant being formed on Daily Chart…

Entry Signal and Setup took place on the 4 Hour Chart which provided the Evening Star Candlestick Formation to resume the Downtrend…

And after just 17 hours…target hit…

Recall that my analysis and trade signals are taken from FXCM Charts (clear, easier to use), but my Live Trades are done with FXPRO (1. You Can see exact Risk Reward in Percentages to ensure you keep within your Risk/Reward Parameters. 2. You Receive Alerts when trades are closed so you dont have to monitor the trade).

So a good trade that shows how to spot and trade Consolidation Setups on the Larger Charts using Accurate Candlestick Signals.

WEB FRONT CONSOLIDATIONS GRAPHS MANUAL

Video to follow.

Duane
DRFXTRADING

Congratulations Dwayne! Nice job!

Looking forward to reviewing your complete thread.

KC

Sorry about the name spelling… Voice recognition…

100 Pips and 4.16% Return on NZD JPY pushes Live Account Return up to 24% since the new Methodology began in February this year. With this result, only 2 trades are needed to hit the 30% Target and half way to the 48% Target. (Targets assume a 7% Monthly Return Compounded. FXCM DEMO Account Charts used for Analysis and Signals. Trades are then done both on this Demo and my Live Trading A/C with FXPRO)

Basically the Daily Chart was forming a Range Consolidation and was heading to Support. Entry took place on the 4 H using the Downtrend Line as Stop Loss. This was in sync with the overall strategy.

Another great example of how Candlesticks and Trend Lines and Consolidations can provide Accurate, Stable and Profitable Setups when used on the Larger Charts.

By targeting between 4 to 5 of these Consolidation Setups each month, you can earn between 10% to 25% per month targeting 50 to 100 Pips per trade, depending on the Risk Per Trade you use.

At 10% for the month so far, 3 more trades should allow me to hit the 25% level by month end.

Detailed Video to follow.

Duane
DRFXTRADING

1 Like

Hey traders

Here is the Video Analysis & Summary of this great trade which gave 100 Pips & 4.2% Return on NZD JPY.

This is how we can become Profitable Forex Traders in this Trillion Dollar Market. Once we use Japanese Candlestick Signals, Trend Lines and Consolidation Setups on the Daily and 4 H Charts, becomes easy to spot and accurately identify market direction & High Probability Trades

Among the highlights of this trade was the use of Trend Lines from Consolidation Breakouts as Stop Loss areas to protect the trade…

Once you place them comfortably above the Trend Line, you will be protected.

DRFXTRADING

Hey traders

Another trade here on my Live Account. GBP USD 42 Pips and a 2.0% Return. Took advantage of the downtrend over the last few days as it headed to Support as projected. 30% Return should be just 2 trades away. FXCM Charts are used for analysis, FXPRO used for my Live Trades.

Screenshot_20181024-100242

Nice trend of gains…

Duane

DRFXTRADING

Hey traders

Here is the video describing the main technical factors that supported this GBP USD 42 PIP trade on the Daily anf 4 Hour Charts, proving once again the benefit of using Candlestick Signals and Larger Charts instead of the deadly and complicated Indicatiors and the Lower Time Frames.

It also goes into detail about the Methodology that I use and why you should NEVER MONITOR YOUR TRADES!!

MAIN ASPECTS/LESSONS FROM VIDEO

  1. How to Spot the Formation of Consolidation Setups.

  2. The 4 Main Forms of Consolidation Setups traded.

  3. The 3 Main Trade Setups traded as part of my Methodology.

  4. Why I no longer trade/recommend Consolidation Breakouts.

  5. Double Tops as Entry Signals that also start Downtrends.

  6. The use of Counter Trend Line Breaks for Entries in Trends.

  7. How to use Trend Lines for Stop Loss Placement on the 4 Hour Chart.

  8. The importance of Never Monitoring your trades to avoid Self-Sabotaging your Long-Term Gains!

Duane
DRFXSWINGTRADING