Agreed. Close some of it, take some profit, and tighten up your SL on the remainder.
Todayās high was an OTE of Friday
High to low. A 28 or 62% extension of that is reasonable.
I assume you closed some at 30 pips (or moved to breakeven). Iād take some now and let more ride for the extensions. Some more off at 28% and the remaining for the 62% (or if structure supports itā¦hold till thu close for weekly range )
Thanks for the input and reminder guysā¦ I closed it all out at + 55 pips just now. I think I had made enough off the trade. The only thing that deterred me from closing it out was the idea of converting an intraday trade into a swing trade as Iāve never taken one before and I felt as if the high of the week had just been made. Iām new to this and i like to experiment. I believe that there are no hard rules in forex and being flexible and knowing why youāre doing what youāre doing is key to becoming successful, in my book at least, but thanks for looking out. I took profits early in my fiber short so I let this one ride.
For example, Iād take profits earlier than 30 pips if I thought there was an area of support/resistance with a high probability of turning my trade into a loser. On the contrary if there was no such area, Iād take profits at the next area, which was greater than 30 pips.
Check out the Euro chart making a lower low. Now look at the USD Index failing to make a higher high. Asian session may be pointing to accumulation right under that blown out stop from Fridayās NY session.
Possible smart money footprint?
Nice catch, I always forget to check my USDX chartā¦ :24:
Cable short
Enter: .5802
30% still running
NZD short
Enter: .8350
30% still running
Fiber short
Enter: .3273
Exit: .3215
- 58 Pips ( got impatient and didnāt hold out for daily rangeā¦ )
3 shorts today ( I was in the shorting mood) days like this make trading funā¦:)ā¦had some bad entries into position I was a little to quick on the trigger today (something I need to work on ) ā¦all in all not a bad dayā¦ any day you donāt lose money is a good dayā¦
Certainly something to watch. But s&p downgraded a bunch of Eu countries credit ratings at 1800ET. Probably a reaction to that. Euro is one of 6 currencies used to calculate usdx. Think this is euro falling more than a dollar reaction.
Should have said 128 or 162 extensionsā¦
The fiber and cable make up 70% of the USDX which both made lower lows. I wouldnāt discount divergence based on news. Trust the tools.
:57:
i might make myself look like a fool now but thats fine ā¦ anyway ā¦
LO james into 5680 and then up for a bit
thanks for attention and good night :24:
Since the cable and fiber have been somewhat out of whack lately I have been looking to take more trades on the fiber and using the USDX as divergence. The 2 are practically identical so divergence really stands out.
Unfortunately the USDX did just stab above itās previous high, but obviously it and the fiber are at some decent S&R levels. Iāll be watching closely for the next few hours to see if I can find some more reasons to enter a trade in the LO.
Chris Lori of ProTradersClub.com has been teaching the āreflectionā pattern for years, he calls it a Deep Fib Zoneā¦
Hmmmmmm
This is my small time frame setup but I leave the SMT overlay chart with USDX visible in all time frames.
All the Indiās are in this ZIP file ICT_Indi-stuffv2_1.zip (128 KB). Hope this helps keep an eye on that pesky usdx.
Wally
p.s. White dashed lines are from high TF (1H and up to monthly) previous SMTās, thats all the long term lines I put on this chart, as u can see interesting.
p.p.s. I forgot to mention this USDX.ex4 should work with any mt4 broker as long as they supply the pairs that make up the index.
I thought the Deep fib Zone was the fib extensions, Iāll have to have another look.
Still I like the way ICT explained the Reflection Pattern and when I looked back it works really well, looking forward to using this tool.
Wally
I havenāt completed the new video yet, so I canāt comment on the reflection pattern, but I think you are right about deep
fib zone being a Fibonacci retracenment (79%)
Thanks Wally,
Not sure why but the USDX indi crashes MT4, Itās Oandas version, never mindā¦ might not have all the basket currencies with them?
Cheers!
Bummer! Iāve got in working in my mt4 Alpri demo. Hereās the code listing, see if there all in your symbols list.
string symbols[] = {āEURUSDā,āUSDJPYā,āGBPUSDā,āUSDCADā,āUSDSEKā,āUSDCHFā};
double weights[] = {-0.576,-0.136,-0.119,-0.091,-0.042,-0.036};
Wally
Hey Wally, I have always liked the Overlay Indy that you use, but I was wondering how you put multiple pairs onto it? Do you separate the pairs with only a comma, because it doesnāt work for me. I also like the fact that I can now get USDX on a line basis on my Alpari platform, but I am wondering how you got it on the Overlay window rather than its own window. Any help would be much appreciated.
Ali