We also have another accumulation taking place on M5, where the spring is yet to form. This should be the trigger into the trade with stops below the potential low of the formed spring.
Just as you’d imagine, I was shaken out of the position yesterday. My entry like I said was based on price springing on the M5 accumulation range, placed a stop below the spring, turns out I was too early.
There’s yet another accumulation at current market price and this time this time, the spring is quite convincing, forming a pin bar on H4. I’ll be entering on retracement with a stop right below the swing.
Revisiting EURUSD; we had a retracement very similar to that of EURCHF, to the last points of support. Price ranged and failed to close below the demand zone, viz
Everything we wanted has been achieved in this particular trade. But holding the last ambitious position currently for the possibility of a new trend in its dawning stages.
A new high was established at 1.398000 (BOS), now following to see if there’s a higher low that will be formed. If that holds true, new positions will be added otherwise we can’t ignore the presence of the bears in this market
Turned out to be a loser, was fortunate to catch the current bottom.
I must admit however, this week’s losses were quite amateur-ish . I found myself trying to force a trade out of the market as opposed to letting it come to me,
The goal was to achieve 20% EOM. Currently sitting at 12.4%, chasing stats will eventually kill a trader’s plan.
The plan is to; by the end of each day, each month still have your principal and maintain a steady growth over time just as you would with your other investment portfolios
Exactly 7 days ago,I spotted this accumulation range above showing signs of strength. But I’ve been too distracted to check on it, seems price has tested the last point of support (LPS)
Typically, I’d have had my limit order where I’ve placed my protective stop loss but I was late to the opportunity so I just went in over ten minutes ago.
Revisiting EURUSD. I noticed how my thrill for simplicity can lead to being complacent. For a change in the current trend, at least a break of structure has to take place on slightly high time periods, similar to the one on the hourly chart
The entry was based on the test of the last point of supply but at the time the image was taken, price was creeping up so my stop placement had to be revisited. It ended up having to be shifted to a above the distribution structure, see below
With where it is now, I decided to close 80% of the position given the potential of a bullish takeover as the greater structure looks like an absorption
Price is seeing some demand coming in at the current zone marked out. If this holds true, we may see a resumption of the dominant uptrend on the macro lens.
The DBD area price is currently in could be an issue for continued upside but should we have a violation of the zone, the trend could really be setting up for a re-run.
In the more detailed image below, assuming price is pushing for bulls and the DBD area isn’t an issue, the supply area at $74.000 could be the one to bring price for a retest.
The horizontal line at $54.300 is to show the nearest HL in the bigger picture. For price to confirm a crashing oil market (or a less dramatized term - bear market), it would need to clear that HL to form a new low (LL), then we can talk. For now, we are still in an uptrend, aided by the fed reconstruction bills, the world opening up slowly, flights increasingly taking off … the petroleum market seems pretty good to regain ground fundamentally.
…we see the strongest 2 day recovery since the sell off began in June/July. Giving buyers hope that, the sellers may be losing ground.
If you also zoomed out your daily charts, you’ll notice how the distribution-like structure starting Q1, rising lows give the structure a reaccumulation description than a distribution. Price broke an uptrend dynamic support level to shake off some weak hands, but this looks very close to a reestablishment of a bullish trend.
Looking for entries would seem very possible around where the first LH was broken as seen below
Along GBPJPY, I went into CADJPY
Along GBPCHF – which I had initially missed an entry at 1.25040, I went into AUDCHF & EURCHF all of which I’ll share at a later stage
Should price close above the horizontal lines on CHF pairs — which is a major LH(lower high), buyers are out of the woods and will switch from active to overview monitoring
The link above is on a thread I just opened a few hours ago for the guys who’ve been following with interest.
Just in case you have been following the thread and are interested to continue doing so… I may be unable to sustain both threads simultaneously so please pop by and we can continue with trading Wyckoff with supply/demand