I’m a complete newbie here–first post–and I know that CERTAINTY has been banned. But as the thread has not been taken down, I’ll assume that it’s safe to comment.
After several or more hours puzzling all this out, it’s my belief that CERTAINTY was/is onto something. His style, to be sure, is on the opaque side: but in reaching for a descriptor here I don’t know whether to go instead with “tantalizing” or “cryptic” or whatever else. Just enough information is divulged that even a relative dunce like me CAN work it all out, with some thought. Just enough info withheld that anyone too impossibly dumb or know-it-all or lazy won’t get it.
And I think he’s right: why make it too easy? Why not instead provide just enough clues? And the brilliant thing is that you don’t have to try too hard with this approach. It’s really quite simple, if thought through step-by-step. You’ve just got to go back to the first post on this thread and read and evaluate each word very, very carefully. Then apply a bit of intuition/inference to fill in the blanks, which are not too big.
My own small contribution here will be to say that targets seem problematic. If contradictions must/will be corrected, as CERTAINTY insists, 99.8% of the time, might that mean riding out a 500-pip swing against you (with obvious MM implications) to gain just one pip? My tentative solution is to look for stochastic crossings of the 50 line as possible exits. At times that may get you just one pip, at times 50 or more. At times it may cost you a pip or two. It all depends on time frame, clearly.
Thank you, CERTAINTY, if you’re out there and reading.
P.S. I’ll go way out on a limb here and make a real-time prediction. It’s Jan. 23, 2012, two am my time, a Sunday, markets still closed for the weekend. EUR/USD sits at 1.2919. I see it going down to 1.2900, very likely within the next day, possibly after wading upwards some distance. If wrong–well, I’ll have been wrong, and no reflection on CERTAINTY, whose system/method I may well be misreading. This will be my first (and perhaps last, who knows) attempt at prediction going off my simulacrum of his ZZS. Hint: I’m going off smaller time frames (hence the small target), and honestly, I’ve got no idea what’s going to happen next (ha, who does?), but if right–well? And if wrong–well? Let’s see.
Oh my–into profit as I type? Must type faster, or won’t be believed. Target still not hit.
P.P.S. Target hit within the past few minutes that I typed the above P.S., so I can’t trust anyone to believe me (that I really did it in real time). I’m working from behind a proxy in China, and simply making an edit for spelling takes a little time. I’ll post more such predictions on demand, if there’s an interest.
